|
Yesterday there was one winner of $1.80 from the two selections, both placed paying $2.50.
Five selections today: Rosehill R8 no.4 - Kincharm Caulfield R7 no.1 - Serenade Rose Morphetville R4 no.1 - Bomber Bill Ascot R1 no.2 - Graduate Boy Ascot R5 no.4 - Belle Bizarre. |
Yesterday I listed Bomber Bill, but the race was less than 1,200 metres so it was not a selection.
From the remaining four selections there were three winners totalling $5.20 for the win and $3.30 for the place. Four selections today: Bendigo R8 no.3 - Tubular Bells Sun Coast R7 no.2 - Little Punc Balaklava R3 no.1 - Feel The Moment Balaklava R7 no.1 - Desert Mission |
Yesterday from the four selections there were three winners paying a total of $7.00, and all placed paying $5.50.
No selections today. |
One selection today:
Port Lincoln R4 no.1 - Yarterbery. |
Yesterday's sole selection won, paying $2.30 and $1.20.
Three selections today: Randwick R6 no.1 - Swishes Taree R4 no.1 - Murodane Ascot R9 no.1 - Main Stage. |
From yesterday's three selections thre was one winner of $2.30, and two placegetters paying 2.70.
One selection today: Werribee R4 no.4 - Martian Dust. |
Yesterday's sole selection placed paying $1.10.
|
Four selections today:
Pakenham R1 no.2 - Dawson Road Ascot R2 no.1 - Shy Wild Ascot R5 no.1 - Real Halo Ascot R6 no.1 - Scenic Shot |
Quote:
Dawson Road over hurdles ???? Good Luck |
Hi, aussieincanada.
This is the first Hurdle race I've looked at, but as it falls within the parameters of the system I've included it. I was "in two minds", but because I also rate Maidens I've decided to list it. Here's hoping... |
From yesterday's four selections there were three winners paying $5.60. The two odds-on winners were $3.50 pre-post.
Two selections today: Clare R6 no.1 - Western Jester Launceston R2 no.5 - Sahara Star. |
From yesterday's two selections there was one winner of $2.50, and both placed also paying $2.50.
Since limiting the minimum distance to 1,200 metres on 23/02/06 there have been 36 selections for 18 winners producing a POT of 10.5%. There have been 28 placegetters for a 0.6% LOT. One selection today: Dubbo R6 no.1 - Double Entendre. |
Quote:
Michael, what odds are you basing your returns on? If they are not based on best tote then maybe they should be as such dividends are available from a number of corporate bookies. |
Hi, La Mer.
All divvies quoted here are with the NSW TAB. I've had a few bets with Mark Read's Super Price which is generally slightly better than the TAB. If the system continues to perform I might consider Austote. |
Good Tip Michael.
Was a big go late on this one. Unitab was showing $7 with 5 to go. Well done |
It must have been a substantial plunge because unfortunately it only paid $2.60 and $1.30 here. I don't think any of the winners so far have bettered or even equalled their pre-post price.
Two selections today: Port Mac R6 no.2 - Lookslikekevin Bunbury R1 no.10 - Yield A Star. |
Yesterday I erred by including the Bunbury selection - it should not have been listed because the race was less than 1,200 metres. The other selection was unplaced.
Three selections today: Sandown R1 no.1 - Chakra Sandown R3 no.4 - River tribe Gold Coast R2 no.5 - Cackles. |
Of yesterday's three selections there was one winner of $1.60, and two placed paying $2.70.
One selection today: Townsville R4 no.1 - Crafty's Brother. |
Yesterday' selection won paying $1.90 and $1.10.
One selection today: Canberra R2 no.12 - Jade By Me. |
Yesterday's sole selection was unplaced.
Seven selections today: Flemington R8 no.1 - Serenade Rose Geelong R4 no.7 - Pride of Westbury Geelong R 6 no.6 - Last Waltz Gold Coast R1 no.8 - Valconic Gold Coast R5 no.7 - Danish Pearls Toowoomba R7 no.1 - Mister Alpha Ascot R6 no.1 - Wave Rock. |
A bad day yesterday. From the seven selections there were two winners totalling $3.60, and five placegetters totalling $6.50.
Since 23 Feb, the date limiting the races to 1,200 metres-plus, the system has had 50 selections and is now in the red, it's losing $0.50. I'll give it a little longer... Six selections today: Canberra R4 no.1 - Keltic Flash Canberra R6 no.3 - New Edge Benalla R1 no.1 - Aurangi Benalla R9 no.3 - Costa Marabella Devenport R7 no.10 - Coogee Beach Pinjarra R1 no.14 - Sharlington Ace |
Michaelg,
Don't give up mate, a very small loss is just that, no doubt you are on the right track with the record you have in the past. The application of only one extra filter could easily see you rocket into significant profit. I note that some of your unplaced selections were beaten by significant margins, even though the placing looked good on paper. Keep at it. |
Hi, Chrome Prince.
I've been looking at different variations of it, but haven't got anything worthwhile yet. There would have only been one selection today which was Narromine R5 no.2 - it ran second paying $1.04. Maybe it's Bhagwan's shifting sands syndrome??? Maybe if there were more selections per day it would even itself out in a short period and not having to wait for a long time? |
I've noticed that the days since last run has had a positive influence on the selections and has performed quite well in the past week which I've tested. So I'll reintroduce the system based on days from last run. Using the neural DLR algorithym on a setting of 3 I'll base the first method on those that have a points allotment of 20 as I believe this is 7 days or less since last run. And the second method will have a points allotment of 18 as I believe this is less than 14 days since last run. Here's hoping...
First method (20 DLR points) has two selections today: Ipswich R1 no.2 - Fil The Bill Murray Bridge R1 no.1 - Danseur Noir Second method (18 DLR points) has five selections. Kembla R4 no.2 - Ledger Devenport R1 no.3 - Krakow Devenport R2 no.7 - Sagan Devenport R4 no.2 - Enfuego Devenport R5 no.4 - Doubly Bubbly |
Yesterday was not a bad day. Method A (first method) had two selections for only one placegetter of $1.70. Method B had five selections for three winners totalling $11.10, and all five placed paying $7.80.
One selection for method A: Geraldton R3 no.2 - Kontiki Sir No selections for method B. |
Yesterday's method A selection was unplaced.
One selection today, method B: Sandown R1 no.2 - Bello Signor. |
Sometimes a bit strange, these neurals. Just looking at Chartform in Sportsman for tomorrow. Adelaide R6 no 1 has had 2 sts @dist for no placings. Neurals set on 3 awards him 15 points for distance. Same race no 7 has had 1 win from 1 start - given 9 points for that. Makes you wonder what other anomalies there are. It is difficult to check on.
|
salty,
If I am correct the distance rating is based on class as well. No 1 probably ran in better class races and/or ran better times over the distance then No 7 did. Good Luck. |
Wesmip1, I've always wondered at some of the points the neurals allocate. You may be right about coming down in class. And it appears that the CF category allots unrealistic points (IMHO) to those dropping in class.
Yesterday's sole system B selection won, paying $2.10 and $1.30. One system A selection today: Ascot R4 no.2 - Lyrical Queen Four system B selections: Rosehill R5 no.1 - Bentley Biscuit Cheltenham R5 no.2 - Faxed Hawkesbury R7 no.2 - Nervate Toowoomba R3 no.3 - Frisco's Rose. |
The method A selection was unplaced. From the four method B selections there was one winner of $4.10, and two placegetters paying $3.90.
Two method A selections today: Strathalbyn R2 no.2 - Ascot Lane Launceston R1 no.2 - Buster Road One method B selection: Sale R3 no.5 - Gulaga |
No selections yesterday.
One system A selection: Albany R1 no.11- Kinchica One system B selection: Albany R2 no. 3 - Tactarki. |
Yesterday of the two selections there were no winners, one placegetter of $2.10.
Nine selections today, all system A Ipswich R2 no.8 - In A Circle Ipswich R4 no.2 - Eagle Street Devenport R1 no.4 - At St Georges Devenport R2 no.1 - Goodolbullsky Devenport R4 no.3 - Our Boy Darcy Devenport R5 no.5 - Barotis Devenport R6 no.2 - Sagan Devenport R7 no.10 - Major Extension Devenport R8 no.2 - Fritllary |
Given up on this Michaelg ?
Summary for W.A. I had Bets 24 Wins 11 (45.8% SR) Places 15 (62.5% SR) WPOT 1.4% (Still a profit....) PPOT (17.5%) LWS 2 LLS 5 Showed some potential from a small sample... |
Hi. Stix.
I'm still working on it. The main factor I'm looking at is that the horse must have had its last run less than 14 days. Yesterday Canterbury R3 no.8 was a selection paying $25.50 and $4.70. Unfortunately I've lost my recent results and have to start again. I'm also now looking closely at field size as per the Jockey/Trainer forum thread. Do you place any importance on field size? There are three provisionary selections today; Rocky R1 no2 Rocky R4 no.2 Rocky R7 no.4 |
Quote:
With respect to your provisional selections, i've got:
Good Luck |
| All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:27 PM. |
Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.