UPDATE October 24 and 31
 

BETS = 38
OUTLAYS = $38
RETURNS
WIN = $177.9
(Cavalry Black $8.2, Blazing Hearts $169.7)
PLACE = $34.8
(Cavalry Black $2.2, Blazing Hearts $24.4, Ruse De Guerre $8.2)

PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 438
OUTLAYS = $438
WIN RETURN = $571.7 (+ $133.7)
PLACE RETURN = $390.3 (- $47.7)

Hope you had something on Blazing Hearts mate not sure how you picked it but extremely well done.

Yes, I had a small amount on it, Raw. I can't say I had booming confidence but this horse had shown a bit. When you're betting the sort of prices of many of my selections it allows you to be wrong quite a few times and still be in front. I think I was prouder to be just $7 behind after 400 bets. Anyway, the proof now is in the pressing on.

Tuesday 3 November 2009
 

Life is good! What a great day's racing today. Does it get any better? Maybe if you back a few winners. Hope some of these are among them. Good luck everyone!
MELBOURNE
R2 no11 Blue Collar Jill
R3 no13 Jara & no 19 Linton Street
R4 no1 Chinchilla Rose
R5 no 6 Devil's Force
R6 no 13 Miss Shamardal
R7 no12 Harris Tweed & no24 Leica Ding
R8 no 14 Last Man Out
R9 no12 All Cheval & 17 Fully Armed
R10 no4 Bonindi
SYDNEY
R7 no7 Pass The Bubbly
R8 no10 Lucky Feet & no16 By Jeeves
R9 no13 Afrothiti & no 20 Freetoair
BRISBANE
R1 no5 Pirate Cove
R4 no7 Sir Mossman
ADELAIDE
R2 no 1 Aussie Staar
R7 no 14 Emseven (21 bets)

Update Tuesday 3 November 2009
 

BETS = 21
OUTLAYS = $21
RETURNS
Win = $63.9 (Linton Street $63.9)
Place = $31.8
(Linton Street $15.8, Devil's Force $4.4, All Cheval $6.5, Bonindi $5.1)

PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 459
OUTLAYS = $459
RETURNS = Win $635.6 (+$ 176.6) Place $422.1 (-$36.9)

Thursday 5 November 2009
 

FLEMINGTON
R1 no11 I Got One no17 Sesotho
R2 no16 Conquering Queen
R3 no13 Beedeeo
R4 no18 Miss Octopussy
R6 no8 Money Angel
R7 no8 Tamland
R8 no11 Final Arbiter no12 Ferocia
R9 no13 Kaavert (10 bets)

7 November 2009
 

A few more at good prices:
RICCARTON
R3 no3 Lagerfeld
R8 no15 Asthecrowflies no16 **** Yeah
TE RAPA
R5 no7 Wida's Dream
R9 no14 Painted Zoe
R10 no12 Electronic Socks no11 Charlotte Russe
ASCOT
R8 no14 Blueclase
FLEMINGTON
R4 no10 It'll Be Fantastic
R6 no7 Red Lord
R7 no5 Lady In Luck
R8 no6 Hoorang
RANDWICK
R8 no5 Michelin Star
DOOMBEN
R1 no12 Big Boori
R4 no10 Singing Sovereign
R8 no7 Red Ferments (16 bets)

Update Meetings 5th and 7th November
 

November 5th
Bets = 10
Scratchings = 3 (Conquering Queen, Miss Octopussy, Tamland)
Returns = $3 (refunds for scratchings)
November 7th
Bets = 16
Win Return = $27.00 (It'll Be Fantastic)
Place Return = $18.00
(******** Yeah $4.1, It'll Be Fantastic $4.0, Blueclase $9.9)
PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 485
OUTLAYS = $485 win and $485 place
WIN RETURN = $665.5 (+ $180.5)
PLACE RETURN = $443.1 (- $41.9)

Note: Workout is on NSW tote odds. It'll Be Fantastic was 51/1 overnight on Sportsbet and Blueclase paid $16.6 on another tote)

Percentum is this a system you have be running for a long time now? If so have the results been this good for a long run? Gotta be the best system that anyone has posted on this forum for a long time, if not ever. well done mate.

Thanks Horse Whisperer. I use my own rating method. I've tried to go outside the excellent, logical criteria of the mainstream following the principles of Don Scott etc. While they identify a large number of winners, just about everyone is doing them so the prices are short. With reliable markets put up nice and early by several of the online bookmakers I'm now able to place my bets in a single batch. I tried following this method several years ago betting race by race but because there can be long runs of outs found it wearing and frustrating. Also, work commitments meant that I was constrained by time. It's been a bit of a dream run this year but it has thrown up excellent winners in the past (Sapio $156/1 Doomben Cup, Frenzilian $150+ and Kindrate $90 are a ferw I can recall off the top of my head). I do know that being a successful punter is one of the ultimate challenges so I'm never over confident. Anyway, hope it keeps up and thanks for your comments.

Saturday 14 November 2009
 

These have some chance at odds today:
RICCARTON
R3 no13 Diamond Skeem
R6 no11 Go For Gold
R7 no15 Ginella no17 Groove Assassin
R8 no9 Outrage
R9 no10 Teakau Rose no17 Our Tigress no18 Sandie
R10 no13 Sand Toyz
TAURANGA
R6 no14 Street Party
R7 no11 Pinaffero no13 She Rules
R10 no6 Slavadaad
SANDOWN
R4 no3 Sheeznodoubt
R5 no8 Cocoa TycoonR7 no10 Miss Darcey
ROSEHILL
R3 no9 Letchworth
R4 no2 Centover
R5 no8 Ollie Vollie
R6 no8 Zazabeau
EAGLE FARM
R6 no10 Naniwa
R7 no9 Kentish Rose
R8 no14 Yamarjie
MORPHETTVILLE
R7 no10 Little Adam no13 Chanceux
R8 no7 St Fraser
ASCOT
R1 no 10 It's A Star
R3 no6 Rock My Pago
R4 no13 Underline
R6 no5 Dante's Banquet no11 Hawkeye Mort
R7 no 18 Delago's Choice (32 bets)

UPDATE
 

I think it's pretty clear that place betting following this type of horse is not a winning proposition so I'll stop updating place bets.
Results for 14 November 2009
BETS = 32
OUTLAY = $32
RETURN = $29.5 (St Fraser $28.5 Delago's Choice $1 [scratched])

PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 517
OUTLAY = $517
RETURN = $695

Lots of terrible runs, especially in NZ where I thought some of the horses selected had reasonable chances. With that in mind it was good to finish just $2.5 behind on the day.
I wonder if one of the corporate bookies has considered offering one quarter the odds of the best tote price for the place.

TThese have shown a little and have rough hopes today:
BALLARAT
R8 no6 Ladies In Luck
GOSFORD
R6 no11 Phonetics
R7 no11 All Time Champion

There's a bit of depth in some of the fields today. Hopefully a few of these will show up.
ASCOT
R3 no6 Cassius Grey
R7 no8 Colour Correct no18 Coconut Grove
MELBOURNE
R6 no14 Bashful Girl
PUKEKOE
R5 no7 Wida's Dream no19 Keepolaria
R6 no16 Scarlet Vanhara
R8 no13 Solid Billing no16 Fiorano
R10 no16 Whiritoa Bay
HASTINGS
R9 no14 Suma of India
BRISBANE
R4 no8 My Counsel
R6 no5 Red Story
R7 no12 Frosty no13 Regal Castanea
SYDNEY
R2 no5 Bright Mind
R3 no10 Ramsay's Curse
R5 no4 Our Cannavaro no13 Walpersdorf (19 bets)

UPDATE
RESULTS 17 and 21 November
BETS = 22 OUTLAY = $22 RETURN = $20.9 (Bashful Girl $19.9, Coconut Grove $1 [Scratched] )
PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 539 OUTLAY = $539 RETURN = $715.9


Place betting may be a goer if you're getting best of 3 totes. Sometimes it's a nice consolation to get a big place div. after just being nutted. I suppose it depends on your temperament. On those really bad days it means double the outlay for a meagre return. A bit of work would pull the place up to about level pegging I think.

Saturday 28 November 2009
 

Hope a few of these can shape up today. The good ones are back in their stables now until autumn.
ELLERSLIE
R9 no10 Slavadaad
WANGANUI
R5 no5 Adjective no12 Ricky Bobby
R10 no7 Cindylotz
R11 no18 Lago Rider
RANDWICK
R7 no7 Al Sahra
R8 no8 Centover no13 Comet Watch
ADELAIDE
R6 no12 Xaieta
MELBOURNE
R5 no4 De Mars no9 De Arias no14 Cabazon
ASCOT
R6 no8 Ma Ma Machine no11 Follow The Road
BRISBANE
R1 no6 River Street
R4 no3 Raincoat no6 La Bella Luisa
R5 no16 Long Road To Glory
R6 no3 Kneel & Raise
R7 no6 Celestafy no16 Fuhrmatic
R8 no9 Deacon (22 bets)

Nov 28 Update and Moonee Valley Selections
 

BETS = 22

Outlay = $22
Return = $2 (Races 10 and 11 Wanganui abandoned)
Progressive

Outlay = $561
Return = $715.9

Fuhrmatic just missed. Paying $65 NSW for win.

These may get a bit of betting silver for Saturday:

MOONEE VALLEY Friday 4 December 2009
R2 no1 Catside
R3 no8 Tully Ranee
R4 no4 Agar
R6 no7 Testa Jesta
R7 no5 Hip Hop Dancer no13 Sesotho
R8 no16 Sherpa
MUDGEE
R8 no6 Canterdown no10 Istimaid no14 Smarting (10 bets)

Saturday 5 December 2009
 

UPDATE FRIDAY
10 bets Outlay $10
Return = $3 (Istimaid, Smarting and Sherpa scratched)

PROGRESSIVE
Bets = 571 Outlay = $571 Return = $718.9

BETS Saturday 5 December 2009
SYDNEY
R1 no10 Miss Veronica
R2 no8 Bold Contact
R4 no7 Buttido
R6 no10 Love & Kisses
R7 no9 Jordan Valley no13 Daad's Overtime
MELBOURNE
R1 no1 Baltic Spirit
R3 no10 Go For Home
R5 no8 Arctic Light
R6 no8 Wild One no19 Ready To Please
R7 no3 Grand Destiny no10 The Red Emperor no11 Okuma
R8 no11 Awimoweh

BRISBANE
R3 no11 Warbriks
R4 no13 Crystal Honour no14 Proofreader
R5 no15 Viva Heart no18 Tucson
R6 no9 Our Moscato no13 Sequaboom no19 Lady Selene
R7 no6 Soiled no15 Regal Castanea
R8 no16 Topkapi Palace no22 Blazing Hearts
ADELAIDE
R1 no3 Trust In Magic
R2 no5 Regalina
R3 no3 Raikonnen
R6 no7 Archalot no12 Club Royale no13 Dashing Doll
R7 no1 Honourable Kind
R8 no6 Tulavar (34 bets)

sorry mate ive backed this one so its no hope....lol

He ran ordinarily Horse Whisperer. Two preparations back he was running brilliantly and the hope was that he could dredge up some of that form early in a preparation. Wasn't to be. The one that really made me sick was Ready To Please who was in front a stride past the post. Sportsbet had him at 100/1 so at those odds, a definite each-way bet. I'd say any of these at 34/1 plus could probably be backed each way. Tote pays a long way unders on the place and I'm not sure why. Looking at it mathematically, shouldn't place odds work out at one third of the win div? Can anyone explain why it isn't so? I could be missing something really obvious here.

UPDATE Saturday 5 December 2009
 

Bets = 34 Outlay = $34 Return = $12 (Crystal Honour $12.0)
Progressive
Bets = 605
Outlay = $605
Return = $730.9 ($125.9+)
Comment: Frustrating day but a few horses ran above themselves. Ready to Please was this week's Fuhrmatic, being nutted at $52 NSW Tote and 100/1 early on Sportsbet.

Saturday 12 December 2009
 

These could defy logic today:
SYDNEY
R2 no 6 Tonk no9 Prost
R3 no10 Feorlan
R5 no7 Dane Fontaine
R6 no1 Mossumi no2 Molambo
R7 no12 Fair Choice
R8 no7 Mary's Grace no14 Centover
MELBOURNE
R1 no2 Lady Da Vinci
R3 no6 Princess Diablo
R4 no2 Ballack
R5 no10 De Mars
R6 no3 Kerdem no8 Keep The Dream Alive no9 Noble Samurai
R7 no8 Kudeta
EAGLE FARM
R2 no3 Tabulate
R5 no2 Lucky Luna no12 Dalzar
R6 no9 Deception Bay
R8 no15 Emma's Hope
ADELAIDE
R1 no4 Hellacious
R2 no4 Rocky Camp
R3 no 5 Rogue Scholar no7 Artuzov
R5 no8 Aegyptus no 9 Chanceux
R7 no13 Two Sons no17 Sir Sienna
R8 no2 Lucid Reflection no11 Tassie Gold
ASCOT PARK (NZ)
R7 no11 Georgie's Way no14 Winawinachikndina
AWAPUNI
R3 no5 Mr Grey no9 Noah's Delight no15 Zane Bay
TE RAPA
R9 no13 She Rules no16 Amirar (39 bets)

Hong Kong Races
 

Will have a go at these today.
Shatin
R4 no6 Jaguar Mail
R5 no6 Bordlescott
R7 no2 Egyptian Ra no 5 Gris De Gris
R8 no7 Mr Medici
R9 no11 King's Falcon no13 Fleet Commander no14 White Jade (8 bets)

Update 12th and 13 December 2009
 

OK, time to get out from under this rock after 47 straight losers. On the bright side, still showing better than 10% profit on turnover although it doesn't feel like it.
PROGRESSIVE RESULTS
Bets: 652
Outlay = $652
Return = $730.9 (+ $78.9)

Saturday 19 December 2009
 

Skepticism is all the rage these days. Be a now person! Rubbish these tips!
TE RAPA
R5 no11 Damuse no14 Translated
R6 no11 Allende
R7 no9 Barchetta
R8 no11 Jena The Guru
R9 no6 Catalina
AWAPUNI
R3 no10 Sir Dexaler
R5 no9 Coastal Mist
R6 no16 Sahara
R7 no17 Referred no20 Gotta Govern
R10 no1 Never Plead Guilty no4 Conquistador no6 Ferreira
SYDNEY
R6 no13 Adnocon
R7 no6 Gergis
R8 no2 Legendary Man
MELBOURNE
R6 no5 Awimoweh
DOOMBEN
R3 no3 Craiglea Rapper no15 Paris Blue
R4 no7 Raincoat
R5 no17 Pacific Express
R7 no16 Steel Lips no18 Soulima
ADELAIDE
R6 no14 Speculate
R7 no10 Mytika no12 Sacre Nazaire (27 bets)

Update
 

Back under the rock until Áutumn I think. Best I could do today was a late scratching.
BETS = 679
Outlay $679
Return $731.9
I think the curse of the forum was beginning to weave its evil magic. My observation, though not backed by hard evidence, is that horses in the longer price ranges show up early in their preparations. The horses resuming in the Autumn and Spring are often very talented gallopers and so, capable of beating city class when not fully wound up. The sort of horse resuming at this time of year is more often than not struggling to win in Saturday class when fully fit. Hope everyone has a merry Christmas and happy New Year.

Going to give this a try again now that I have a bit more time. Bets are win only unless stated otherwise.

SYDNEY
R1 no4 Hussousa, no2 Chez Harmony
R2 no3 Gottagun, no6 Lord Duveen, no 9 Red Excitement
R4 no4 Neeson, no 6 Hurtle Myrtle, no 7 Lucha Libre
R5 no 7 Gazza Guru
R6 no 8 Godspeed, no 9 Black Jag (EW)
R7 no 10 Pinnacles (EW) and no 15 Willy Jimmy (EW)
R8 no 7 Roma Giaconda, no 11 Choice Words (EW)
R9 no 12 The Verminator, no 17 Red Eye Special

EAGLE FARM
R1 no3 Dazzling Kind
R3 no 6 Uncle Jan (EW) , no 9 River Perfume
R4 no 5 Count Your Fingers (EW)
R5 no 9 The Cranberries, no 11 Looped, no 13 Irritant
R6 no 3 Primary Colour, no 13 Carry Me Baby, no 17 Mafioso, no 19 Strange Cove (EW)
R7 no 11 Angel From Above (EW)
R8 no 10 Teary Eyed (EW), no 12 Silver Scholar (EW), no 13 Celtic Dancer, no 15 Symposium (EW)


BETS = 43 (EW = 2 units, 1 win and 1 place).

I'll start my book keeping at today and stay satisfied that the earlier series finished with a tidy profit.

Outlay = $43
Return = $66.30
(Sydney R1 Hussousa $10.4, R4 Neeson $8.0, R9 The Verminator$22.90;
Brisbane R4 Count Your Fingers $2.6 (place), R5 Looped $22.4)

Note that divs shown are on NSW TAB. Shopping around could have got you 31/1 The Verminator and 15/1 Neeson.

Some nicely priced horses with ability running at Flemington today. These are win only unless stated EW (each way)
FLEMINGTON
R1 no 6 Holy Right, no 10 Strength (EW)
R2 no 7 Xavi, no 4 First Course
R3 no 8 Show Cause (EW)
R4 no 11 Smoulder, no 18 So Pristine, no 16 Heidelicious
R5 no 7 And Rock (EW)
R6 no 15 Sistine Angel (EW), no 9 Orbit Express (EW)
R7 no 3 Playing God, no 6 Shamrocker
R8 no 11 Power Broker, no 7 The Deep South

OUTLAY = 20 units (15 win and 5 place)

RESULTS Sunday 2 October, 2011

BETS = 20
OUTLAY = $20
RETURN = $20 (R3 Show Cause $9.5 place, R4 Heidelicious Late scratching $1.0, R6 Sistine Angel $9.5 place)

PROGRESSIVE

Bets (2011 series) = 63
OUTLAY = $63
RETURN = $86.3

Saturday 8 October 2011
SYDNEY
R5 n013 Lost For Words (EW), no14 Ramsay's Choice (EW)
R7 no2 Rockin Rocket
R8 no3 Adnocon, no6 Legsman, no8 Erewhon

MELBOURNE
R1 no6 Sort This Out (EW)
R2 no7 Miss Rendina
R3 no1 Bauer, no2 Mayenne Corniche (EW), Lopov (EW)
R4 no4 Tasos (EW), no8 Platinum Skye (EW)
R5 no8 Playing God, no9 Saharah Sun (EW)
R6 no11 Lord Pyrus (EW), no12 Dreamaway, no13 Majestic Miss
R7 no5 Specter, no6 Secret Hills (EW)
R8 no10 Lady Mahler, no12 Mayneda Strategy (EW), no15 Hinemona
R9 no 15 Too Deadly

BRISBANE
R1 no9 Dorchester
R2 no6 Lucky Us (EW), no8 Magnify
R3 no8 Prefect, no 10 Sierra Rapid (EW), no7 Never Despair
R4 no8 Equissential (EW)
R5 no12 Castlemagne King, no15 Griffith Lad (EW)
R6 no 8 Falontino (EW)
R7 no8 Flinders City (EW), no12 Ceramic (EW), no17 Savage River
R8 no 5 Nickiera

ADELAIDE
R1 no6 Queen's Fashion
R4 no6 Quack It
R8 no6 Valoroso

UPDATE
 

RESULTS SATURDAY 8 OCTOBER 2011
Bets = 59
OUTLAY = $59
RETURN =$45.5 (MR3 Moyenne Corniche $6.9, MR8 Hinemoa $20.9, B2 Lucky Us scratched $2.0, B3 Never Despair $15.7)

PROGRESSIVE RESULTS
BETS = 122
OUTLAY= $122
RETURN = $131.8

Sunday 9 October 2011

COONAMBLE
R8 no 8 Open Skies

CRANBOURNE
R8 no4 Paddy O'Reilly, no 12 Boom 'n Zoom (EW)

UPDATE
Sunday 9 October 2011
BETS = 4
OUTLAY = $4
RETURN = $18.8 (Boom 'n Zoom $14.8 win and $4.0 place)

PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 126
OUTLAY = $126
RETURN = $150.6

Wednesday 12 October 2011

CAULFIELD
R1 no7 Supreme Warrior
R2 no7 Trophies (EW)
R3 no6 Sylvan Power (EW)
R4 no8 Rhythmic King
R5 no3 Stoneblack
R6 no9 Kneeling (EW)
R7 no15 Royal Era (EW), no16 Sassy Bay (EW)
R8 no4 Nine Talews (EW) no10 From The Terrace (EW)

SYDNEY
R5 no 10 Tigon (EW), no11 Muklu Miss (EW), no12 Glad You Called (EW)
R6 no1 Palasport, no5 Mossamine
R7 no1 White Horse Inn (EW), no9 Tropicana Girl (EW)

MURRAY BRIDGE
R7 no16 Daydream Charlie (EW)


UNITS OUTLAID = 31

well done on the cranbourne cup mate

Thanks Jimbob. Exotics paid ok.

UPDATE
Wednesday 12 October
OUTLAY = $31
RETURN = $6 (Caulfield R3 Sylvan Power $6.0 place)
PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 157
OUTLAY = $157
RETURN = $156.6

Thursday 13 October 2011

CRANBOURNE
R7 no1 Banana Man (EW), no10 Dark Note (EW) and no12 Montogomery
R9 no 10 Supreme Delago (EW)

UPDATE
Thursday 13 October 2011

Bets = 7
OUTLAY=$7
RETURN = $14.0 (Montgomery $14.0 win)

PROGRESSIVE
BETS = 164
OUTLAY = $164
RETURN = $170.6

Note that divs are for NSWTAB

CAULFIELD
R2 no11 Monte Gambler (EW)
R3 no11 Pentimento
R4 no 2 Trump It (EW), no6 Scelto (EW), no 12 Sleepin Pete (EW), no14 Basham (EW)
R5 no 9 Curtana, no10 Basil Da Man
R8 no13 Dream Pedlar (EW), no 11 Tullamore, no6 Precedence (EW), no14 Niwot (EW)
R9 no 5 Screen (EW), no6 Sistine Angel, no11 Booklet
R10 no6 Miss Elvee

SYDNEY
R3 no3 Arlington
R4 no4 Mahisara
R5 no7 Myalla Gold
R6 no12 Praecido
R7 no6 Mascareri, no14 She Must Be Obeyed
R8 no6 Mentality (EW), no13 Midnight At Ascot

BRISBANE
R1 no10 Craiglea Mandy(EW), no9 Wonderful Arch
R3 no5 Restless Heart
R5 no14 Trombone Alley
R7 no4 Glow Heart (EW), no15 Eight Pieces
R8 no 5 Bazzooka (EW), no11 Silver Scholar

ADELAIDE
R1 no6 Gold Stinger (EW)
R3 no8 Value As (EW)
R5 no 9 Two Bees (EW), no7 Penn Station
R7 no7 Zizz (EW), no8 Bagman

BETS = 55