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Thanks Shaun.
Cheers. |
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Shaun.
With your ratings if you concentrated on the top 4 but excluded those under $5 how do you think I,d go. Cheers darky |
I am finding at the moment that backing the top 2 selections is performing better.
I have 252 races with results for all selections but will only be recording the top 2 selections as of Monday. |
Thanks Shaun.
In that case I,ll opt for a MINIMUM $3 + Quoting from Malcolm Knowles booklet -"Weight" "Runners carrying 55 KG or more account for 36.5 % of all runners but provide 50.6 % of the winners.It is stating the obvious where your handicapping efforts should be focused" Hope thats of some interest to your rating method. Cheers darky |
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Hi Shaun, I am totally new using your selections and don't know what to pick.
This is the selections for 11:57 - 27 May 2010: Gold Coast Race 4 Class 6 11.57am Rated 8 8.62 $35.16 1 Main Vein (6) 4 23.77 $12.75 2 Sir Monashee (5) 3 39.07 $7.76 3 Danardos (NZ) (3) 9 5.73 $52.91 4 Bradfield (NZ) (8) 5 22.82 $13.28 5 Overanxious (7) 6 12.26 $24.72 6 Tootsie Zynsky (2) 1 96.55 $3.14 7 Passed In Twice (1) 2 84.36 $3.59 8 Royal Saint (4) 7 9.87 $30.70 9 His Boy Elroy (9) Now, for the first 2, must I pick Main Vein & Sir Monashee or Passed In Twice & Royal Saint. Can you advise please. Thanks |
The first number under rated is there rated position so in this case
1--- 96.55--- $3.14--- 7 Passed In Twice (1) Is the top selection with a rating of 96.55 and a price of $3.14 so if the runner was under this price you could say it is not worth backing, but i still working on the price part so this is of less importance rated position the amount separating each runner is more important. |
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The last 2 days have been pretty good and today with 3 on top and 2 2nd rated was not bad and we came close to taking out the 7 races with my top pick 2nd in the other races, i didn't hear how far away Yass River was but i backed it at 20s on betfair and rated it a $4.55 chance.
Should be at least 10 or more races for tomorrow. |
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I still have 1 race at Belmont Park WA to add and will post a separate sheet for that when scratchings are known. Also i am informed it is very wet in Queensland and my ratings do not take track conditions in to account just to let you know. |
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Gees i hope a few were on that last one, it turned a very bad day into a small profit.
I got $21 on betfair for the race 6 at Belmont park |
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2 20/1 shots in 2 days way nice and both top selections, the top selections are realy going well.
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1 race for Belmont Park to be posted when scratchings are known |
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Slow start to the week but a couple of nice winners $12.50 each on betfair to boost profits.
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Another good day 3 from 4 races with all on top selections, we may have to just back the top selection the way things are going.
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Well what a day, 9 winning races from 17 with my top 2 selections including the quinella in the oaks, my bank increase for the day was 60% this takes my bets to a whole new level and may allow me the split my bank so i can tackle the exotics
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Well done Shaun, I also had a bumper day, with my place plan netting over a grand if ONLY I could do it every day!!!!!
I've settled into only backing overs now and although my "investments" are about 1/4, my POT is up from about 4-5% to around 20%, that's after almost 400 bets so I'm pretty confident, Hey! you're not going to that Betfair thingo at Burswood next Thursday are you? thought we might hook up for a pint? |
I didn't know they were having one, i might look into it, would you have a link or anything handy on it.
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Shaun, addy is info@email.betfair.com.au or if you want me to forward the e-mail send an e-mail lumbasakabayo ATT hott male DOT comm. They give you a $50 credit just for turning up + nibblies. + gumph
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Shaun,
Are you going to continue to put these up? I,m trialling them. Cheers darky |
Sure it is no effort as i have to create the sheets for myself any ways, i am tired of changing ideas so i plan to stick with this as long as the bank holds out.
My current staking method is to back the top 2 and run a quinella bet with the top selection to stand out from the top 3 I would like to work some exotic as the ratings themselves are quite good from my point of view. |
Thanks Shaun.
Top 2 and the "forgotten" Quinella. I like the way you think. Cheers darky |
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Small mistake race 2 at Sandown the top 4 should be 3-1-6-4
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A bit of a loss today for win bets but those quinellas made it an overall profit.
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Hard to make a profit this week, i guess it does that good thing we had a bumper week last week.
Quinella bets are doing ok i am thinking to take my top 2 to stand out from the 3rd and 4th i want to avoid boxing them all if i can. |
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