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-   -   Shaun's Ratings (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=20153)

darkydog2002 25th May 2010 11:48 AM

Thanks Shaun.
Cheers.

Shaun 26th May 2010 12:13 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Todays Races

darkydog2002 26th May 2010 03:03 PM

Shaun.
With your ratings if you concentrated on the top 4 but excluded those under $5 how do you think I,d go.
Cheers
darky

Shaun 26th May 2010 08:23 PM

I am finding at the moment that backing the top 2 selections is performing better.

I have 252 races with results for all selections but will only be recording the top 2 selections as of Monday.

darkydog2002 27th May 2010 07:36 AM

Thanks Shaun.
In that case I,ll opt for a MINIMUM $3 +

Quoting from Malcolm Knowles booklet -"Weight"

"Runners carrying 55 KG or more account for 36.5 % of all runners but provide 50.6 % of the winners.It is stating the obvious where your handicapping efforts should be focused"

Hope thats of some interest to your rating method.

Cheers
darky

Shaun 27th May 2010 11:23 AM

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Todays Races

yster1 28th May 2010 05:00 AM

Hi Shaun, I am totally new using your selections and don't know what to pick.
This is the selections for 11:57 - 27 May 2010:

Gold Coast Race 4 Class 6 11.57am
Rated
8 8.62 $35.16 1 Main Vein (6)
4 23.77 $12.75 2 Sir Monashee (5)
3 39.07 $7.76 3 Danardos (NZ) (3)
9 5.73 $52.91 4 Bradfield (NZ) (8)
5 22.82 $13.28 5 Overanxious (7)
6 12.26 $24.72 6 Tootsie Zynsky (2)
1 96.55 $3.14 7 Passed In Twice (1)
2 84.36 $3.59 8 Royal Saint (4)
7 9.87 $30.70 9 His Boy Elroy (9)

Now, for the first 2, must I pick Main Vein & Sir Monashee or Passed In Twice & Royal Saint.
Can you advise please.
Thanks

Shaun 28th May 2010 09:26 AM

The first number under rated is there rated position so in this case
1--- 96.55--- $3.14--- 7 Passed In Twice (1)

Is the top selection with a rating of 96.55 and a price of $3.14 so if the runner was under this price you could say it is not worth backing, but i still working on the price part so this is of less importance rated position the amount separating each runner is more important.

Shaun 28th May 2010 10:56 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 28th May 2010 05:14 PM

The last 2 days have been pretty good and today with 3 on top and 2 2nd rated was not bad and we came close to taking out the 7 races with my top pick 2nd in the other races, i didn't hear how far away Yass River was but i backed it at 20s on betfair and rated it a $4.55 chance.

Should be at least 10 or more races for tomorrow.

Shaun 29th May 2010 09:31 AM

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Todays Races

I still have 1 race at Belmont Park WA to add and will post a separate sheet for that when scratchings are known.

Also i am informed it is very wet in Queensland and my ratings do not take track conditions in to account just to let you know.

Shaun 29th May 2010 10:27 AM

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Belmont Park

Shaun 29th May 2010 05:51 PM

Gees i hope a few were on that last one, it turned a very bad day into a small profit.

I got $21 on betfair for the race 6 at Belmont park

Shaun 30th May 2010 10:44 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 30th May 2010 04:31 PM

2 20/1 shots in 2 days way nice and both top selections, the top selections are realy going well.

Shaun 31st May 2010 10:37 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 1st June 2010 10:58 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 2nd June 2010 08:59 AM

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Todays Races

1 race for Belmont Park to be posted when scratchings are known

Shaun 2nd June 2010 11:30 AM

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Belmont race 5

Shaun 3rd June 2010 10:07 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 3rd June 2010 04:27 PM

Slow start to the week but a couple of nice winners $12.50 each on betfair to boost profits.

Shaun 4th June 2010 10:00 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 4th June 2010 03:39 PM

Another good day 3 from 4 races with all on top selections, we may have to just back the top selection the way things are going.

Shaun 5th June 2010 11:02 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 5th June 2010 05:56 PM

Well what a day, 9 winning races from 17 with my top 2 selections including the quinella in the oaks, my bank increase for the day was 60% this takes my bets to a whole new level and may allow me the split my bank so i can tackle the exotics

partypooper 6th June 2010 12:29 AM

Well done Shaun, I also had a bumper day, with my place plan netting over a grand if ONLY I could do it every day!!!!!

I've settled into only backing overs now and although my "investments" are about 1/4, my POT is up from about 4-5% to around 20%, that's after almost 400 bets so I'm pretty confident, Hey! you're not going to that Betfair thingo at Burswood next Thursday are you? thought we might hook up for a pint?

Shaun 6th June 2010 10:15 AM

I didn't know they were having one, i might look into it, would you have a link or anything handy on it.

Shaun 6th June 2010 10:50 AM

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Todays Races

partypooper 6th June 2010 11:29 AM

Shaun, addy is info@email.betfair.com.au or if you want me to forward the e-mail send an e-mail lumbasakabayo ATT hott male DOT comm. They give you a $50 credit just for turning up + nibblies. + gumph

Shaun 7th June 2010 09:36 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Todays Race

darkydog2002 8th June 2010 03:48 PM

Shaun,
Are you going to continue to put these up?
I,m trialling them.
Cheers
darky

Shaun 8th June 2010 05:43 PM

Sure it is no effort as i have to create the sheets for myself any ways, i am tired of changing ideas so i plan to stick with this as long as the bank holds out.

My current staking method is to back the top 2 and run a quinella bet with the top selection to stand out from the top 3

I would like to work some exotic as the ratings themselves are quite good from my point of view.

darkydog2002 8th June 2010 09:11 PM

Thanks Shaun.

Top 2 and the "forgotten" Quinella.
I like the way you think.
Cheers
darky

Shaun 9th June 2010 10:44 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 9th June 2010 11:21 AM

Small mistake race 2 at Sandown the top 4 should be 3-1-6-4

Shaun 9th June 2010 05:30 PM

A bit of a loss today for win bets but those quinellas made it an overall profit.

Shaun 10th June 2010 10:02 AM

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Todays Race

Shaun 11th June 2010 11:12 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 12th June 2010 10:51 AM

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Todays Races

Shaun 12th June 2010 08:59 PM

Hard to make a profit this week, i guess it does that good thing we had a bumper week last week.

Quinella bets are doing ok i am thinking to take my top 2 to stand out from the 3rd and 4th i want to avoid boxing them all if i can.


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