I FOUND IT!!!! :)

VANESSA JOHNSTON is a meagre 1.5 Rating :(

One that bothers me more if you watch out for it , is that occasionally the jockey and trainer ratings can be the complete opposite of what the neural values are saying. This I find hard to comprehend.

Maybe it is a warning that you cannot rely on a single data source?

Fair enough...thought there might be a reason but nothing obvious stood out for me at the time



Mooee, thought you might do a check on Ballybits as well

cheers

Trying my luck today with vr 8 no8. Going to record results starting next week

Just wondering, what did you have against C Puls in the first?
She won and paid over $5 for the win.

Basing my theory on a system at this stage. Jockey form must be 3.0. +
After a bit more data, will compare results to neurals and don scott prices to see if there is any correlation.

no offence but never heard of C Puls

Fair enough, but it's nothing like I've been doing
Good luck with it

She is a good SA jock coming to Vic for one race.

Christine Puls comes from the Western district of Victoria and is married to Dean Yendell.

Better still I knew she was racing a lot in SA and in the western part of Vic, she is not half bad as a jock.

lomaca your methods are based on a logical angle that can be argued from one punter to the next. Like one bank approving a loan and another not. Its judgemental.


This day and age, I like to emphasise more attention into a system of rules. (credit modelling in the banks). You list your rules for many systems, set up the database and away you go. At the end of the day, long term you won't hit more than 15% POT. The key is to do this with minimum effort. There must be 1000s of systems that can achieve the results long term.

If I can generate a system for the novice punter, based on a good variable you have listed then lets go with it.

I have absolutely no quarrel with your approach.

So you've back VR 8 - 8 :)

Try a $4 Win / $16 Place

I didn't say that.

On second thought I think I let it go.

Not betting on it I can't lose, and I don't rate that horse at all despite it's place% and the fact that the jockey&horse combo have a good record.

Maybe mistaken, have been often.

Good idea.

Ran like a donkey for 8th

MR 5 - 11 would have to be a selections!

MB race 6 G Davis

#8 Resenda $29.00 $5.30

Caulfield RACE 5 DAMIEN OLIVER

#5 Happy Trails $12 $2.50

Northam
Race 6 DANNY MILLER Rancher's Boy 11.90 2.70

Does not qualify D Oliver Had six(6) rides for the day

CAULFIELD Race 2 Nash Rawiller

#2 JIMANDO $12.80 $3.30

For the harliners, there were 34 single ride jocks to-day
with some pruning you could
have come up with a number
of combinations including:

Doomben R 1 N 1 Sammie Amie (A.Butler(app)) Tote price $7.2/2.7

Randwick R 3 No 2 Social Rank (A. Stokes(app)) Tote Price$3.3/1.6

M Bridge R3 No 19 Major De (T Pannell) Tote Price (place) $17.70

M Bridge R6 No 8 Resenda (G Davis) Tote Price $21.00/5.5

Caulfield R3 No 6 Sylvan Power S Vella) Tote Price (place) $3.70

Northam R1 No 4 Mannar Mia ( C Mccallum(app)) tote Price (place) $4.20

Northam R6 No 10 Rancher's Boy (Danny Miller) Tote Price $11.10/2.60


Northam R 8 No 1 Henry The Pharoah (P Black) Tote Price ( Place) $3.40

Did not qualify N Rawiller had THREE (3) rides to-day

When I ran my rating programme before the races, one of the tasks it performs is to look at jockeys with a single ride for the day.

I wonder what if any hidden variable is there to find us value.

Cranbourne R4 No 10 IRONSIDE 17.90 4.20

D.ADAM - Who???

I LUV DIS CISTERN!!!

Wyong R 3

2

GEEMEUP

10.1

10.9

3.7

L WRAY(A)

How many single ride jockeys today around the country and the results. I've missed the races due to university grrrr!

29 single ride Jocks
with 2 winners to date as listed here
Wyong r 4 $10.90/$3.70 ($15.00/$4.70 BF)
Cranbourne R 4 $17.90/$4.20 ($18.00/$4.10 BF)

Hi
Is there any advantage combining a good jock with a good trainer taking one horse to a distant meet. Its got to double the chance.
Beton

Whilst I think that may generally hold true, one also needs to look
at the following;
Is it the Stable/ regular rider for the carraige
Is the Jock a better class Jock than its previous riders
Has it previously won with this jock on board
If not previously a winner is this the regular or better class jock
Whilst all the above may apply there a numerous occassions when
the rider is also an apprentice, again is it the regular rider or better
class app.
One could go on and on. Maybe it is each to his own

Pinjarra R7 H7 Unitab $38.50 & $6.90.
Jockey and trainer!
No, I wasn't on.

Hi Jose, Saw that but couldn't put mine on.
Combination ok, regular jock for trainer.
Barragup 13ks from Pinjarra track,
trained local.but.....last seven at bat...
13of 14 1200m, 9 of 12 1400m, 16 of 16 1300m, 7 of 12 1700m
11 of 14 1650m, 4 of 12 2000m, 11 of 12 2100m.
But gotta give it to the trainer, persistance paid off Big Time!!!

Kyneton R 3



Just the Name Just the Name

3

MR GREEDY

39.00

7.20

Coffs Harbour Race 4

13

DUBAI PALM

24.3

53.2

14.9

P ROMEO

place2win, please shush!

actually I got $101 an $20.5 at fixed odds.

Sorry lomaca, Well Done congrats!, it was a selection that popped up
in my Roller Coaster, so couldn't resist.