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-   -   To Don Scott Ratings "Disciples" (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23238)

bernie 18th January 2012 05:40 PM

Here's one for ya. Unlike some, I will give the system details.


There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 388 selections for the System
There were 91 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 23.45%
There were $515.61 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $127.61 or a percentage profit/loss of 32.89%


The Rules used were : barrier >= 5 and distance >= 1300 and lastStart >= 5 and donScottRank = 1

jose 18th January 2012 05:43 PM

Sent reply Ocho.

jose 18th January 2012 07:05 PM

" Here's one for ya. Unlike some, I will give the system details. "

You only have to ask Bernie. I won't put rules of anything up here for the trawlers to get hold of.

Send me an email to the above addy and I'll give you the rules.

jose 18th January 2012 07:16 PM

4 x winners today.

Wyong 2-4 Madam Nash $2.30
Wyong 4-5 The Firehouse
Sand 5-1 Guru Bob
Sand 7-8 Chamandi $2.70
Ascot 3-9 Dark Rock
Ascot 5-9 Negra Santo $7.70
Ascot 8-4 Head For Heights $10.10
Gawler 7-3 Test Pilot
Gawler 8-4 Miners Gem
Launc 3-12 Kylie's Run
Doom 2-4 Hetty

Outlay 11
Return $22.80 @ Unitab prices.

No too shabby at all.

TheSchmile 18th January 2012 07:24 PM

Hi Jose,

I've forwarded you an email if that's ok?

The Schmile

jose 18th January 2012 07:27 PM

No worries.

The Ocho 18th January 2012 08:53 PM

Good result there Jose. :)

Bhagwan 19th January 2012 04:42 AM

This looks interesting.
It also showed +8% POT for the Place 75% SR
5+ runners.

Approx 1-3 bets a day.

Win & Place betting 1x4
28% POT
40%SR

RULES
Dist 1000-1100
Price 2.20-4.30
TAB No. 1-3
Barrier 1-3
Career strs 1+
Ignore Resumers


There were 107 selections for the System
There were 43 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 40.19%
There were $136.45 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $29.45 or a percentage profit/loss of 27.52%

The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 2.2 and WinPriceLay <=4.3 and horseNumber >= 1 and horseNumber <=3 and barrier >= 1 and barrier <=3 and distance >= 1000 and distance <=1100 and daysLastStart <= 89

Bhagwan 19th January 2012 04:56 AM

This is a Lay Plan.

Similar rules as previous plan except it 1200m exactly & we are Laying them to lose.
Amazing how there is a massive difference between to 2 plans due to distance difference.
There could be a lot to be said for creating systems over specialised distance ranges.

Lay to fall over
81% SR
30% POT

RULES
Dist 1200 exactly
Price 2.20-4.50
TAB No. 1-3
Barrier 1-3
Career strs 1+
Ignore Resumers


There were 96 selections for the System
There were 78 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 81.25%
You had to pay out $62.75 but brought in $91.2 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $28.45 or a percentage profit/loss of 29.64%

The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 2.2 and WinPriceLay <=4.5 and horseNumber >= 1 and horseNumber <=3 and barrier >= 1 and barrier <=3 and distance = 1200 and careerRaces >= 1 and daysLastStart <= 89

Bhagwan 19th January 2012 05:49 AM

Result
Using the 1000-1100
Bet 1x4 W&P Plan
Wed 18th Jan

2 from 2 selections .

Gawler R7
3.30/1.40

Launceston R7
Ran 2nd
-/ 2.60

Betting 10x40 = 50 per race
3.30 x 10 = 34.00
1.40 x 40 = 56.00
2.60 x 40 = 104.00
Ret $194.00

Ret $194
O/L $100
Prof +$94

12.5% increase on bank .

Bank needed 15 x 50.00 = 750.00
You will be collecting approx 75% of the time.
Make big money.

Ricardo48 19th January 2012 08:54 AM

Here is one that's not to bad. Using Uni TAB rating 96 seems to work well.


There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 983 selections for the System
There were 126 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 12.82%
There were $1227.85 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $244.85 or a percentage profit/loss of 24.91%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : barrier >= 5 and barrier <=10 and rating = 96 and weight >= 54 and weight <=58 and distance >= 1000 and distance <=1600

Ricardo48 19th January 2012 08:57 AM

If you add Cond='G' you get these results.

There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 625 selections for the System
There were 77 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 12.32%
There were $838.89 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $213.89 or a percentage profit/loss of 34.22%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : barrier >= 5 and barrier <=10 and rating = 96 and weight >= 54 and weight <=58 and distance >= 1000 and distance <=1600 and cond = 'G'

Bhagwan 19th January 2012 11:08 AM

We're all churning out profitable systems like sausages.


I Like it.

UselessBettor 19th January 2012 06:59 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
There were 1084 selections for the System

UB can confirm the database date range, but I'm pretty sure its as of August 2011 to mid December so approx 4.5 months..... or an average of approx 250 bets per month.....in my book that is a "few".......:confused:

Im a little behind but yes this is right 7th August 2011 I think.

I am loading a bit more data tonight so as a suggestion if you had a system and want to see how it goes real time you can compare the results from before the data update till after the update.

Ricardo48 19th January 2012 07:44 PM

Thanks once again for providing such a tool for our use UselessBettor, much appreciated.
Just one question, is there any chance in the future you might add the option for selecting Metro or Provincial meetings?

UselessBettor 19th January 2012 08:20 PM

Its been asked a few times and I have lists to do it but right now I haven't had a chance. The best I can give is that at some point if I get time I'll be adding it in.

Ricardo48 20th January 2012 07:22 AM

Fair enough, I can understand how time consuming it must be to keep your database up to date.

kiwi 22nd January 2012 01:08 PM

I like the ideas around the Don Scott ratings expressed here.

Perhaps an addition which can't be measured by a data base is the jockey.

Before I usually confirm a bet the rider must be a hot jockey.

This can be found in R&S stat section.


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