Crowd Ratings June 23rd
 

Will be away for a couple of weeks after today.

WFRM Race 5
1 ---
2 77 $7.99
3 80 $6.81
4 77 $7.99
5 71 $12.19
6 ---
7 100 $3.44
8 75 $9.02
9 98 $3.62
10 82 $6.20
11 ---
12 60 $340.65

WFRM Race 6
1 95 $4.44
2 100 $3.89
3 70 $15.09
4 87 $5.73
5 78 $8.53
6 ---
7 88 $5.53
8 85 $6.18
9 70 $15.09
10 76 $9.57
11 60 $384.75

WFRM Race 7
1 64 $36.76
2 93 $4.85
3 100 $4.01
4 ---
5 60 $397.00
6 84 $6.64
7 88 $5.70
8 91 $5.16
9 76 $9.88
10 70 $15.57
11 71 $14.20
12 ---
13 81 $7.57
14 88 $5.70

WFRM Race 8
1 94 $5.03
2 94 $5.03
3 81 $8.08
4 90 $5.69
5 92 $5.34
6 72 $13.95
7 100 $4.28
8 60 $423.95
9 87 $6.31
10 91 $5.51
11 91 $5.51
12 77 $9.94
13 74 $12.01
14 74 $12.01
15 70 $16.63

EFRM Race 5
1 100 $3.94
2 99 $4.04
3 81 $7.43
4 81 $7.43
5 92 $4.91
6 83 $6.79
7 83 $6.79
8 82 $7.10
9 ---
10 68 $18.92
11 60 $389.65

EFRM Race 6
1 100 $3.86
2 77 $8.96
3 84 $6.39
4 94 $4.53
5 68 $18.56
6 89 $5.31
7 87 $5.69
8 74 $10.83
9 68 $18.56
10 ---
11 79 $8.04
12 81 $7.29
13 ---
14 72 $12.58
15 76 $9.51
16 68 $18.56
17 72 $12.58
18 60 $382.30

EFRM Race 7
1 100 $3.24
2 93 $3.92
3 73 $9.77
4 72 $10.56
5 70 $12.59
6 81 $6.12
7 68 $15.58
8 62 $54.42
9 60 $321.05
10 61 $93.06
11 71 $11.49
12 71 $11.49
13 76 $7.99
14 79 $6.75
15 75 $8.50
16 76 $7.99
17 75 $8.50
18 66 $20.45

EFRM Race 8
1 60 $421.50
2 85 $6.77
3 85 $6.77
4 100 $4.26
5 95 $4.86
6 91 $5.48
7 73 $12.83
8 89 $5.85
9 74 $11.94
10 95 $4.86
11 75 $11.17
12 63 $50.48

Crowd Ratings June 23rd
 

Crowd Ratings June 23rd
 

Well that's it for the time being...
 

A pleasing day with the rankings accumulating the following

1) 9 from 20 (45%)
2) 11 from 20 (55%)
3) 15 from 20 (75%)
4) 17 from 20 (85%)
5) 18 from 20 (90%)

There were some nice overlays for those that are that way inclined.

Back in a couple of weeks with a look at how the crowd went over the past few weeks.

Hope you profited along the way. :)

Jeez can't complain about those figures (strike rates)My top=3 is only 5% better than A.PS TOP=2.

Do you bet on these A.P. or just a passing interest?.

Cheers.

garyf

Not backing these. Just an exercise to see whether the strike rates get close to those of the market. If there's a profit that's a bonus ;)

Crowd Ratings July 11th
 

Back from holidays and not due in the office until tomorrow so let's see what happens midweek. I'll keep the Saturday ratings going for a while (maybe not every Saturday) until we work up enough races to draw some conclusions.


GRAF Race 3
1 --- ---
2 80 $6.90
3 92 $4.30
4 100 $3.50
5 83 $6.00
6 83 $6.00
7 75 $9.10
8 74 $9.70
9 71 $12.30
10 75 $9.10
11 60 $343.10

GRAF Race 4
1 98 $4.60
2 100 $4.40
3 89 $6.10
4 79 $9.20
5 98 $4.60
6 91 $5.70
7 --- ---
8 81 $8.30
9 --- ---
10 73 $13.30
11 60 $436.20

GRAF Race 5
1 98 $4.70
2 78 $9.90
3 98 $4.70
4 87 $6.60
5 74 $12.60
6 84 $7.50
7 97 $4.90
8 70 $17.50
9 --- ---
10 84 $7.50
11 100 $4.50
12 68 $21.70
13 62 $75.60
14 62 $75.60
15 63 $53.40
16 60 $446.00

GRAF Race 6
1 98 $4.70
2 --- ---
3 100 $4.50
4 96 $5.00
5 76 $11.10
6 91 $5.80
7 60 $446.00
8 71 $16.00
9 --- ---
10 --- ---
11 75 $11.80
12 95 $5.10

GRAF Race 7
1 100 $4.30
2 95 $4.90
3 78 $9.30
4 --- ---
5 91 $5.50
6 96 $4.70
7 75 $11.20
8 81 $8.00
9 88 $6.10
10 72 $13.90
11 75 $11.20
12 68 $20.50
13 60 $421.50

GRAF Race 8
1 100 $3.40
2 --- ---
3 87 $5.00
4 83 $5.90
5 74 $9.60
6 61 $98.00
7 71 $12.10
8 68 $16.40
9 77 $7.90
10 60 $338.20
11 64 $31.30
12 66 $21.50
13 89 $4.70
14 70 $13.30
15 71 $12.10

EFRM Race 4
1 --- ---
2 96 $4.50
3 81 $7.70
4 --- ---
5 100 $4.10
6 82 $7.30
7 95 $4.60
8 77 $9.40
9 68 $19.50
10 89 $5.60
11 60 $401.90

EFRM Race 5
1 93 $4.60
2 79 $7.80
3 74 $10.60
4 76 $9.30
5 100 $3.80
6 92 $4.70
7 --- ---
8 86 $5.80
9 --- ---
10 60 $372.50

EFRM Race 6
1 --- ---
2 97 $3.90
3 100 $3.60
4 60 $355.40
5 --- ---
6 81 $6.80
7 85 $5.70
8 73 $10.80
9 73 $10.80
10 80 $7.10

EFRM Race 7
1 96 $4.00
2 100 $3.60
3 79 $7.50
4 75 $9.50
5 76 $8.90
6 93 $4.40
7 70 $14.00
8 63 $42.90
9 --- ---
10 --- ---
11 60 $357.80

Crowd Ratings July 11th
 

Crowd Ratings July 11th
 

Crowd Ratings July 14th
 

Wednesday's top raters were well below our running average.

CAUL Race 4
1 87 $6.30
2 93 $5.10
3 100 $4.30
4 96 $4.70
5 84 $7.00
6 60 $421.50
7 94 $5.00
8 76 $10.50
9 --- ---
10 77 $9.90
11 72 $13.90
12 --- ---
13 70 $16.50

CAUL Race 5
1 91 $4.50
2 74 $9.80
3 76 $8.60
4 86 $5.30
5 75 $9.20
6 100 $3.50
7 66 $22.00
8 86 $5.30
9 --- ---
10 --- ---
11 70 $13.60
12 72 $11.40
13 71 $12.40
14 60 $345.60
15 69 $15.00

CAUL Race 6
1 81 $8.70
2 --- ---
3 75 $12.10
4 80 $9.10
5 100 $4.60
6 80 $9.10
7 98 $4.80
8 71 $16.30
9 61 $132.10
10 75 $12.10
11 99 $4.70
12 78 $10.10
13 91 $5.90
14 --- ---
15 96 $5.10
16 91 $5.90
17 60 $455.80

CAUL Race 7
1 100 $2.80
2 77 $6.50
3 75 $7.30
4 82 $5.00
5 73 $8.40
6 77 $6.50
7 67 $15.30
8 62 $46.90
9 60 $277.00
10 65 $20.90
11 60 $277.00
12 60 $277.00

CAUL Race 8
1 97 $5.20
2 75 $12.60
3 96 $5.30
4 89 $6.60
5 93 $5.80
6 89 $6.60
7 99 $4.90
8 72 $15.60
9 100 $4.80
10 96 $5.30
11 60 $475.40
12 85 $7.60
13 72 $15.60
14 100 $4.80

DOOM Race 1
1 --- ---
2 100 $4.10
3 93 $4.90
4 --- ---
5 84 $6.80
6 87 $6.00
7 99 $4.20
8 77 $9.50
9 --- ---
10 60 $404.40

DOOM Race 2
1 --- ---
2 --- ---
3 100 $2.90
4 --- ---
5 100 $2.90
6 60 $289.20
7 73 $8.80
8 83 $5.00

DOOM Race 5
1 100 $3.40
2 --- ---
3 100 $3.40
4 --- ---
5 --- ---
6 85 $5.40
7 --- ---
8 --- ---
9 77 $7.90
10 60 $338.20
11 --- ---
12 74 $9.60

DOOM Race 6
1 79 $6.40
2 100 $3.10
3 --- ---
4 --- ---
5 94 $3.60
6 73 $9.30
7 60 $303.90
8 76 $7.60
9 61 $88.10
10 66 $19.40

DOOM Race 7
1 --- ---
2 60 $406.80
3 83 $7.10
4 84 $6.80
5 100 $4.10
6 97 $4.40
7 96 $4.60
8 87 $6.10
9 --- ---
10 --- ---
11 --- ---
12 77 $9.50
13 --- ---
14 79 $8.60
15 --- ---
16 60 $406.80
17 71 $14.60

DOOM Race 8
1 86 $4.70
2 --- ---
3 --- ---
4 73 $9.30
5 86 $4.70
6 100 $3.10
7 66 $19.50
8 73 $9.30
9 --- ---
10 --- ---
11 --- ---
12 74 $8.70
13 --- ---
14 73 $9.30
15 77 $7.20
16 --- ---
17 --- ---
18 60 $306.40

WFRM Race 4
1 100 $3.80
2 82 $6.80
3 100 $3.80
4 60 $375.00
5 81 $7.10
6 88 $5.40
7 71 $13.40
8 64 $34.70
9 67 $20.70
10 66 $23.90
11 61 $108.70

WFRM Race 5
1 84 $7.10
2 72 $13.90
3 100 $4.30
4 82 $7.70
5 98 $4.50
6 91 $5.50
7 98 $4.50
8 72 $13.90
9 66 $27.00
10 79 $8.90
11 60 $424.00
12 72 $13.90

WFRM Race 6
1 78 $8.60
2 95 $4.50
3 100 $3.90
4 98 $4.10
5 61 $112.90
6 73 $11.90
7 81 $7.40
8 70 $15.30
9 83 $6.80
10 61 $112.90
11 61 $112.90
12 60 $389.70

WFRM Race 7
1 88 $4.50
2 --- ---
3 72 $10.30
4 63 $37.60
5 61 $90.90
6 100 $3.20
7 --- ---
8 79 $6.60
9 62 $53.20
10 87 $4.70
11 --- ---
12 60 $313.70
13 63 $37.60

WFRM Race 8
1 100 $4.10
2 65 $30.50
3 73 $12.30
4 99 $4.20
5 --- ---
6 87 $6.00
7 71 $14.50
8 92 $5.10
9 84 $6.80
10 85 $6.50
11 --- ---
12 60 $404.40

Crowd Ratings July 14th
 

Belmont to follow.


MORP Race 3
1 100 $4.00
2 64 $36.30
3 --- ---
4 97 $4.30
5 99 $4.10
6 81 $7.50
7 81 $7.50
8 --- ---
9 69 $17.00
10 60 $392.10
11 --- ---
12 --- ---
13 66 $25.00

MORP Race 5
1 --- ---
2 100 $3.50
3 86 $5.40
4 78 $7.70
5 74 $9.90
6 98 $3.70
7 78 $7.70
8 78 $7.70
9 67 $19.20
10 78 $7.70
11 64 $32.20
12 60 $348.00

MORP Race 6
1 69 $14.00
2 --- ---
3 72 $10.60
4 84 $5.40
5 93 $4.00
6 --- ---
7 --- ---
8 100 $3.30
9 81 $6.20
10 60 $323.50

MORP Race 7
1 88 $5.10
2 71 $12.60
3 89 $4.90
4 100 $3.60
5 79 $7.40
6 86 $5.50
7 75 $9.30
8 --- ---
9 79 $7.40
10 78 $7.80
11 72 $11.60
12 78 $7.80
13 66 $22.50
14 60 $352.90

MORP Race 8
1 100 $2.60
2 --- ---
3 --- ---
4 79 $5.40
5 71 $9.10
6 77 $6.00
7 62 $43.20
8 60 $254.90
9 74 $7.20
10 72 $8.40

Crowd Ratings July 14th
 

Results July 14th
 

Not a bad day with one of the top five winning in 22 of the 27 (81.5%) assessed races. Pretty close to the market average. A nice overlay or two to be had also. :)

The accumulative results for the day follow.

1) 7 from 27 (26%)
2) 13 from 27 (48%)
3) 18 from 27 (67%)
4) 22 from 27 (81%)
5) 22 from 27 (81%)

A very interesting result - where did you get the market average from if you don't mind me asking?

Cheers LG

LG

Think it's fairly common knowledge amongst punters that the first five in the market win between 80-85% of races. You can work it out pretty easily in Excel. If we assume that the first favourite wins 30% of races then if we put 5thFAV_A.jpg into Excel, we should get 5thFAV_B.jpg. You can extend this on as you like.

Very helpful Pixie.

A brush up on basic prob and Excel.

Ta mate, LG

All races from 1/1/2011 to 30/6/2012
Races: 24,306
Won by first 5: 20,037
Percentage: 82.44%

Morning Chrome.

Would that be BF SP?

LG

No, that's Tote rankings.

Cumulative Results to July 14th
 

I've just quickly done this on a sheet of paper but these are the cumulative results from April 25th to July 14th. I'm leaving out the July 11th midweek as they confuse things a bit.

The accumulative results so far:

1) 28 from 91 (31%)
2) 39 from 91 (43%)
3) 57 from 91 (63%)
4) 67 from 91 (74%)
5) 71 from 91 (78%)

Interestingly close to Excel numbers above. We'll see if we can get a couple of hundred results together.

AngryPixie,

Are these the ranked tips and the strike rate ? ie the top rank win 28 from 91, the top two ranked are 39 from 91,etc.

If so can I suggest you do one more analysis. Break it down by race for the top 3 to top 5 and see if there is a difference in the strike rate in the first few races (races 1 to 4) compared to the later races (5+). I think you might be surprised with the result. I say this without having done any analysis on your results though.

UB

Yes these are the cumulative results so the top two have won 39 of 91, the top three have won 57 from 91, and so on. The second picks are letting us down at present. The top picks are about exactly where I thought they'd be.

The bulk of the rated races are the quaddie legs so therefore the last four on the card. I've started to throw in a few of the other better races. An analysis as you suggest is therefore a little difficult. :(

After we get a hundred or so more races under our belt's I'll put some effort into a different pricing structure (I think I know what I'll do here), then go back and re-price all the rated races to get some idea as to whether we'd have made any money from this. :)

Crowd Ratings July 21st
 

Other venues to follow.

EFRM Race 1
1 100 $3.30
2 95 $3.80
3 78 $7.30
4 74 $9.30
5 85 $5.30
6 74 $9.30
7 60 $328.40

EFRM Race 2
1 --- ---
2 75 $9.70
3 85 $5.90
4 100 $3.70
5 69 $15.90
6 79 $7.70
7 --- ---
8 --- ---
9 86 $5.70
10 98 $3.90
11 --- ---
12 66 $23.40
13 60 $367.60

EFRM Race 6
1 100 $4.50
2 77 $10.40
3 94 $5.30
4 91 $5.80
5 97 $4.80
6 97 $4.80
7 78 $9.80
8 --- ---
9 77 $10.40
10 74 $12.60
11 --- ---
12 60 $443.60

EFRM Race 7
1 99 $4.10
2 89 $5.50
3 77 $9.30
4 73 $12.00
5 --- ---
6 100 $4.00
7 89 $5.50
8 71 $14.10
9 82 $7.20
10 --- ---
11 --- ---
12 64 $36.50
13 --- ---
14 66 $25.10
15 60 $394.60

EFRM Race 8
1 100 $4.20
2 96 $4.70
3 76 $10.40
4 100 $4.20
5 87 $6.20
6 86 $6.50
7 64 $38.80
8 69 $18.20
9 60 $419.10
10 78 $9.30
11 66 $26.70
12 66 $26.70

EFRM Race 9
1 71 $14.80
2 68 $20.10
3 92 $5.20
4 --- ---
5 76 $10.30
6 100 $4.20
7 88 $6.00
8 94 $4.90
9 85 $6.70
10 87 $6.20
11 77 $9.70
12 93 $5.10
13 66 $26.40
14 --- ---
15 67 $22.80
16 60 $414.20

FLEM Race 3
1 100 $3.90
2 87 $5.70
3 93 $4.70
4 87 $5.70
5 84 $6.40
6 88 $5.50
7 78 $8.50
8 73 $11.70
9 60 $384.80

FLEM Race 5
1 97 $4.60
2 92 $5.30
3 100 $4.30
4 91 $5.50
5 68 $20.50
6 90 $5.70
7 77 $9.90
8 77 $9.90
9 70 $16.50
10 67 $23.20
11 60 $421.50

FLEM Race 6
1 82 $6.60
2 64 $33.40
3 82 $6.60
4 100 $3.60
5 --- ---
6 81 $6.90
7 61 $104.40
8 69 $15.60
9 --- ---
10 72 $11.90
11 93 $4.40
12 88 $5.20
13 77 $8.40
14 70 $14.10
15 60 $360.30

FLEM Race 7
1 77 $8.00
2 93 $4.20
3 85 $5.50
4 100 $3.50
5 --- ---
6 76 $8.50
7 80 $6.90
8 80 $6.90
9 73 $10.40
10 62 $58.20
11 60 $343.10

FLEM Race 8
1 100 $4.50
2 82 $8.00
3 90 $5.90
4 90 $5.90
5 99 $4.60
6 80 $8.80
7 99 $4.60
8 61 $127.90
9 60 $441.10
10 67 $24.30
11 73 $13.40
12 62 $74.80
13 68 $21.40

Crowd Ratings July 21st
 

Still more to come.

K_GR Race 5
1 100 $4.10
2 89 $5.60
3 --- ---
4 96 $4.50
5 93 $4.90
6 60 $401.90
7 84 $6.70
8 79 $8.50
9 66 $25.60
10 60 $401.90

GCST Race 4
1 78 $8.50
2 95 $4.40
3 81 $7.30
4 --- ---
5 79 $8.00
6 60 $382.30
7 100 $3.90
8 --- ---
9 61 $110.80
10 83 $6.70
11 94 $4.50
12 --- ---
13 82 $7.00

GCST Race 5
1 89 $5.40
2 100 $4.00
3 91 $5.10
4 94 $4.70
5 --- ---
6 84 $6.60
7 84 $6.60
8 --- ---
9 66 $25.00
10 81 $7.50
11 76 $9.80
12 82 $7.10
13 60 $392.10

RHIL Race 3
1 72 $10.10
2 86 $4.70
3 100 $3.10
4 81 $5.80
5 60 $306.40
6 74 $8.70
7 82 $5.60

RHIL Race 5
1 71 $10.20
2 100 $2.90
3 84 $4.80
4 63 $34.00
5 73 $8.70
6 86 $4.40
7 71 $10.20
8 60 $284.30
9 66 $18.10
10 65 $21.50

RHIL Race 6
1 87 $4.30
2 62 $49.40
3 100 $2.90
4 76 $7.30
5 67 $16.10
6 78 $6.50
7 68 $14.20
8 76 $7.30
9 73 $8.90
10 75 $7.70
11 60 $291.70
12 65 $22.00

RHIL Race 7
1 98 $4.70
2 90 $6.00
3 100 $4.50
4 100 $4.50
5 78 $9.90
6 92 $5.60
7 74 $12.60
8 90 $6.00
9 75 $11.80
10 76 $11.10
11 60 $446.00

RHIL Race 8
1 74 $11.20
2 89 $5.50
3 70 $15.60
4 --- ---
5 100 $4.00
6 --- ---
7 85 $6.40
8 88 $5.70
9 60 $397.00
10 89 $5.50
11 76 $9.90
12 71 $14.20
13 --- ---
14 94 $4.70

MORP Race 4
1 100 $3.80
2 85 $6.00
3 97 $4.10
4 79 $7.80
5 63 $44.60
6 --- ---
7 83 $6.50
8 77 $8.70
9 61 $108.00
10 85 $6.00
11 61 $108.00
12 60 $372.50
13 67 $20.50

MORP Race 5
1 72 $12.10
2 95 $4.20
3 100 $3.70
4 60 $367.60
5 84 $6.10
6 --- ---
7 70 $14.40
8 83 $6.40
9 86 $5.70

MORP Race 6
1 100 $3.20
2 76 $7.80
3 74 $8.90
4 76 $7.80
5 76 $7.80
6 87 $4.70
7 75 $8.30
8 --- ---
9 --- ---
10 60 $313.70
11 68 $15.20
12 87 $4.70

MORP Race 7
1 78 $9.00
2 74 $11.50
3 100 $4.10
4 --- ---
5 --- ---
6 60 $406.80
7 88 $5.80
8 65 $30.70
9 97 $4.40
10 --- ---
11 85 $6.50
12 63 $48.70
13 88 $5.80
14 91 $5.30
15 60 $406.80

MORP Race 8
1 97 $4.70
2 100 $4.30
3 95 $4.90
4 88 $6.10
5 --- ---
6 92 $5.40
7 74 $12.10
8 76 $10.60
9 --- ---
10 88 $6.10
11 75 $11.30
12 --- ---
13 78 $9.50
14 60 $426.40

Crowd Ratings July 21st
 

That'll do it for today. Enjoy the rest of your afternoon. :)

GUND Race 2
1 60 $321.10
2 100 $3.20
3 66 $20.40
4 69 $13.90
5 89 $4.50
6 74 $9.10
7 94 $3.80
8 72 $10.60

TOWN Race 5
1 97 $4.70
2 60 $426.40
3 100 $4.30
4 90 $5.70
5 81 $8.10
6 97 $4.70
7 73 $13.00
8 88 $6.10
9 76 $10.60
10 --- ---
11 78 $9.50
12 75 $11.30
13 60 $426.40
14 69 $18.50
15 84 $7.10

TOWN Race 6
1 83 $6.20
2 79 $7.50
3 93 $4.40
4 89 $5.00
5 100 $3.60
6 71 $12.80
7 66 $22.80
8 61 $103.70
9 60 $357.80
10 67 $19.70

TOWN Race 7
1 81 $7.10
2 100 $3.80
3 84 $6.20
4 90 $5.00
5 94 $4.40
6 74 $10.60
7 67 $20.50
8 68 $18.10
9 73 $11.30
10 82 $6.80
11 79 $7.80
12 60 $372.50

TOWN Race 8
1 83 $6.40
2 78 $8.10
3 100 $3.70
4 77 $8.60
5 98 $3.90
6 81 $7.00
7 75 $9.70
8 67 $20.10
9 66 $23.30
10 76 $9.10
11 85 $5.90
12 60 $365.20

BLMT Race 1
1 60 $254.90
2 100 $2.60
3 70 $10.00
4 79 $5.40
5 93 $3.10

BLMT Race 2
1 87 $5.80
2 93 $4.80
3 73 $11.90
4 85 $6.30
5 100 $4.00
6 93 $4.80
7 60 $392.10
8 74 $11.10

BLMT Race 5
1 78 $7.70
2 85 $5.60
3 87 $5.10
4 83 $6.00
5 71 $12.40
6 100 $3.50
7 77 $8.10
8 73 $10.50
9 73 $10.50
10 84 $5.80
11 65 $26.10
12 --- ---
13 60 $345.60

BLMT Race 6
1 84 $5.20
2 86 $4.80
3 77 $7.40
4 71 $11.20
5 68 $15.20
6 65 $23.70
7 65 $23.70
8 65 $23.70
9 100 $3.20
10 79 $6.60
11 60 $313.70
12 70 $12.30

BLMT Race 7
1 89 $5.30
2 92 $4.80
3 60 $379.90
4 74 $10.80
5 98 $4.00
6 --- ---
7 63 $45.50
8 71 $13.60
9 74 $10.80
10 100 $3.80
11 71 $13.60
12 71 $13.60
13 71 $13.60

BLMT Race 8
1 74 $10.60
2 65 $28.10
3 60 $372.50
4 63 $44.60
5 83 $6.50
6 92 $4.70
7 63 $44.60
8 89 $5.20
9 66 $23.70
10 82 $6.80
11 80 $7.50
12 --- ---
13 69 $16.20
14 100 $3.80
15 86 $5.80
16 62 $63.10

Crowd Ratings July 28th
 

More venues to follow :)

DOOM Race 1
1 72 $14.00
2 60 $426.40
3 97 $4.70
4 83 $7.40
5 99 $4.40
6 100 $4.30
7 82 $7.80
8 88 $6.10
9 85 $6.80
10 64 $39.50
11 67 $23.50
12 88 $6.10
13 67 $23.50

DOOM Race 2
1 96 $5.10
2 100 $4.60
3 75 $11.90
4 96 $5.10
5 60 $450.90
6 95 $5.20
7 73 $13.70
8 95 $5.20
9 64 $41.80
10 82 $8.20
11 73 $13.70
12 69 $19.60

DOOM Race 6
1 87 $5.40
2 100 $3.70
3 81 $7.00
4 76 $9.10
5 71 $13.10
6 68 $17.70
7 72 $12.00
8 87 $5.40
9 86 $5.60
10 69 $15.80
11 --- ---
12 87 $5.40
13 --- ---
14 73 $11.10
15 60 $365.20

DOOM Race 7
1 75 $8.60
2 68 $15.70
3 84 $5.40
4 81 $6.20
5 69 $14.00
6 65 $24.40
7 74 $9.20
8 60 $323.50
9 100 $3.30
10 81 $6.20
11 75 $8.60
12 79 $6.80
13 84 $5.40
14 74 $9.20
15 --- ---
16 --- ---
17 60 $323.50
18 --- ---
19 --- ---
20 69 $14.00

DOOM Race 8
1 78 $10.20
2 100 $4.70
3 99 $4.80
4 100 $4.70
5 93 $5.60
6 91 $6.00
7 78 $10.20
8 88 $6.60
9 85 $7.40
10 94 $5.50
11 --- ---
12 --- ---
13 71 $16.50
14 68 $22.40
15 60 $460.70

DOOM Race 9
1 --- ---
2 88 $4.90
3 --- ---
4 100 $3.40
5 68 $16.40
6 72 $11.10
7 84 $5.70
8 72 $11.10
9 88 $4.90
10 76 $8.40
11 --- ---
12 76 $8.40
13 76 $8.40
14 66 $21.50
15 64 $31.30
16 68 $16.40
17 60 $338.20

CAUL Race 1
1 82 $6.10
2 88 $4.80
3 100 $3.40
4 90 $4.50
5 60 $335.80
6 --- ---
7 75 $8.90
8 60 $335.80

CAUL Race 5
1 71 $12.60
2 83 $6.20
3 100 $3.60
4 82 $6.40
5 84 $5.90
6 89 $4.90
7 81 $6.70
8 86 $5.50
9 79 $7.40
10 75 $9.30
11 69 $15.30
12 74 $10.00
13 --- ---
14 61 $102.30
15 60 $352.90

CAUL Race 6
1 78 $7.00
2 --- ---
3 --- ---
4 72 $10.30
5 --- ---
6 61 $90.90
7 100 $3.20
8 68 $15.20
9 77 $7.40
10 60 $313.70
11 99 $3.20
12 69 $13.60
13 --- ---
14 70 $12.30

CAUL Race 7
1 100 $2.80
2 77 $6.60
3 --- ---
4 79 $5.90
5 78 $6.20
6 78 $6.20
7 --- ---
8 75 $7.40
9 75 $7.40
10 63 $33.50
11 69 $12.10
12 65 $21.10
13 60 $279.40

CAUL Race 8
1 63 $43.40
2 --- ---
3 --- ---
4 --- ---
5 81 $6.90
6 --- ---
7 81 $6.90
8 91 $4.70
9 75 $9.60
10 68 $17.60
11 100 $3.70
12 89 $5.00
13 85 $5.80
14 66 $23.10
15 60 $362.70
16 60 $362.70

WFRM Race 2
1 100 $3.80
2 92 $4.80
3 96 $4.20
4 82 $6.90
5 82 $6.90
6 --- ---
7 67 $20.80
8 --- ---
9 60 $377.40

WFRM Race 5
1 100 $3.90
2 --- ---
3 95 $4.50
4 89 $5.40
5 89 $5.40
6 84 $6.50
7 83 $6.80
8 81 $7.40
9 76 $9.70
10 --- ---
11 60 $389.70

WFRM Race 6
1 89 $5.30
2 88 $5.50
3 --- ---
4 100 $3.80
5 89 $5.30
6 87 $5.70
7 73 $11.60
8 --- ---
9 71 $13.60
10 60 $379.90

WFRM Race 7
1 100 $3.50
2 81 $6.70
3 83 $6.10
4 77 $8.20
5 88 $5.00
6 89 $4.90
7 63 $42.00
8 64 $32.40
9 73 $10.70
10 81 $6.70
11 --- ---
12 60 $350.50

WFRM Race 8
1 76 $11.40
2 97 $5.00
3 60 $458.30
4 93 $5.60
5 93 $5.60
6 99 $4.70
7 96 $5.10
8 --- ---
9 65 $34.60
10 73 $13.90
11 69 $19.90
12 100 $4.60

Crowd Ratings July 28th
 

Crowd Ratings Jult 28th
 

And the remainder for today. All the best.

NCLE Race 5
1 100 $3.20
2 --- ---
3 84 $5.30
4 74 $9.00
5 81 $6.10
6 82 $5.80
7 --- ---
8 81 $6.10
9 60 $318.60
10 62 $54.00

NCLE Race 6
1 98 $4.80
2 99 $4.60
3 76 $11.20
4 90 $6.00
5 100 $4.50
6 94 $5.30
7 76 $11.20
8 --- ---
9 --- ---
10 --- ---
11 90 $6.00
12 78 $9.90
13 60 $448.50

WNBL Race 5
1 100 $3.60
2 79 $7.50
3 98 $3.80
4 --- ---
5 77 $8.30
6 73 $10.80
7 89 $4.90
8 60 $355.40

WNBL Race 7
1 87 $4.70
2 72 $10.30
3 86 $4.80
4 --- ---
5 100 $3.20
6 74 $8.90
7 76 $7.80
8 --- ---
9 74 $8.90
10 --- ---
11 60 $313.70
12 77 $7.40

BLMT Race 2
1 81 $7.20
2 86 $5.90
3 88 $5.50
4 100 $3.80
5 69 $16.50
6 98 $4.00
7 --- ---
8 74 $10.80
9 60 $379.90
10 74 $10.80

BLMT Race 3
1 64 $32.00
2 91 $4.50
3 66 $22.00
4 92 $4.40
5 77 $8.10
6 76 $8.60
7 79 $7.30
8 73 $10.50
9 100 $3.50
10 71 $12.40
11 68 $16.80
12 68 $16.80
13 60 $345.60
14 75 $9.20

BLMT Race 6
1 83 $6.20
2 86 $5.50
3 79 $7.40
4 61 $102.30
5 63 $42.30
6 73 $10.70
7 75 $9.30
8 60 $352.90
9 63 $42.30
10 66 $22.50
11 65 $26.60
12 84 $5.90
13 100 $3.60
14 67 $19.40
15 68 $17.10
16 89 $4.90

BLMT Race 7
1 71 $12.50
2 85 $5.60
3 91 $4.50
4 63 $41.70
5 82 $6.30
6 --- ---
7 60 $348.00
8 64 $32.20
9 82 $6.30
10 72 $11.40
11 100 $3.50
12 75 $9.20

BLMT Race 8
1 100 $3.70
2 68 $18.00
3 69 $16.10
4 64 $34.30
5 77 $8.70
6 61 $107.30
7 70 $14.50
8 --- ---
9 87 $5.50
10 94 $4.40
11 91 $4.80
12 60 $370.10
13 74 $10.50
14 60 $370.10

BLMT Race 9
1 86 $5.40
2 63 $42.00
3 77 $8.20
4 74 $9.90
5 76 $8.70
6 89 $4.90
7 76 $8.70
8 87 $5.20
9 76 $8.70
10 76 $8.70
11 100 $3.50
12 --- ---
13 71 $12.50
14 79 $7.40
15 60 $350.50
16 65 $26.40

TWBA Race 1
1 94 $5.10
2 99 $4.40
3 79 $9.00
4 94 $5.10
5 60 $428.90
6 66 $27.30
7 100 $4.30
8 86 $6.60
9 63 $51.40
10 64 $39.70

TWBA Race 2
1 71 $12.10
2 60 $338.20
3 100 $3.40
4 78 $7.50
5 82 $6.20
6 79 $7.10
7 97 $3.70
8 70 $13.30
9 70 $13.30

Oops
 

Sorry just relised MORP 2 was a 2yo race and shouldn't have appeared in the list. Those ratings are actually for MORP 3. Corrected here. Sorry about that :o

MORP Race 3
1 96 $4.30
2 100 $3.80
3 85 $6.10
4 60 $379.90
5 72 $12.50
6 67 $20.90
7 64 $35.20
8 100 $3.80
9 68 $18.40
10 71 $13.60

Crowd Ratings August 4th
 

A little bit longer to go before we draw any conclusions :)

DOOM Race 2
1 100 $2.60
2 --- ---
3 95 $2.90
4 74 $7.20
5 60 $254.90
6 73 $7.80

DOOM Race 3
1 75 $6.90
2 73 $7.90
3 100 $2.60
4 --- ---
5 71 $9.30
6 --- ---
7 60 $259.80
8 85 $4.20
9 67 $14.30
10 71 $9.30

DOOM Race 4
1 100 $4.00
2 93 $4.90
3 96 $4.50
4 94 $4.70
5 78 $8.90
6 77 $9.40
7 60 $399.50
8 --- ---
9 73 $12.20
10 66 $25.40

DOOM Race 5
1 100 $3.90
2 92 $4.90
3 79 $8.10
4 94 $4.60
5 84 $6.50
6 72 $12.70
7 86 $6.00
8 82 $7.10
9 78 $8.60
10 79 $8.10
11 74 $11.00
12 60 $387.20

DOOM Race 6
1 79 $6.80
2 94 $3.80
3 100 $3.30
4 77 $7.60
5 68 $15.70
6 62 $54.80
7 68 $15.70
8 60 $323.50
9 --- ---
10 61 $93.80
11 80 $6.50
12 69 $14.00
13 67 $17.80

DOOM Race 7
1 100 $3.20
2 76 $8.00
3 84 $5.40
4 75 $8.50
5 77 $7.50
6 87 $4.80
7 --- ---
8 81 $6.10
9 74 $9.10
10 60 $321.10

DOOM Race 8
1 83 $5.60
2 74 $9.10
3 64 $29.70
4 76 $8.00
5 69 $13.90
6 72 $10.60
7 60 $321.10
8 70 $12.60
9 61 $93.10
10 81 $6.10
11 100 $3.20
12 89 $4.50
13 --- ---
14 63 $38.40
15 69 $13.90

CANT Race 2
1 98 $4.60
2 68 $20.80
3 100 $4.30
4 95 $4.90
5 73 $13.10
6 94 $5.10
7 86 $6.60
8 60 $428.90
9 69 $18.60

CANT Race 4
1 100 $3.70
2 78 $8.20
3 86 $5.70
4 91 $4.80
5 71 $13.20
6 94 $4.40
7 74 $10.50
8 66 $23.60
9 68 $18.00
10 69 $16.10
11 60 $370.10
12 69 $16.10

CANT Race 5
1 100 $4.00
2 --- ---
3 91 $5.10
4 91 $5.10
5 90 $5.30
6 83 $6.80
7 80 $7.80
8 86 $6.10
9 --- ---
10 66 $25.00
11 69 $17.00
12 60 $392.10

CANT Race 6
1 100 $3.50
2 60 $350.50
3 89 $4.90
4 88 $5.00
5 71 $12.50
6 67 $19.30
7 81 $6.70
8 83 $6.10

CANT Race 7
1 89 $5.40
2 --- ---
3 77 $9.10
4 76 $9.70
5 79 $8.20
6 100 $3.90
7 88 $5.60
8 99 $4.00
9 81 $7.40
10 60 $389.70

CANT Race 8
1 --- ---
2 100 $3.50
3 63 $42.00
4 --- ---
5 88 $5.00
6 88 $5.00
7 60 $350.50
8 86 $5.40
9 70 $13.70
10 79 $7.40
11 75 $9.30
12 70 $13.70
13 72 $11.50

M_V_ Race 2
1 84 $6.30
2 74 $10.60
3 60 $375.00
4 75 $9.90
5 82 $6.80
6 100 $3.80
7 70 $14.70
8 85 $6.00
9 93 $4.60
10 87 $5.60
11 74 $10.60
12 75 $9.90
13 86 $5.80

M_V_ Race 3
1 81 $5.70
2 74 $8.40
3 60 $296.60
4 100 $3.00
5 75 $7.90
6 67 $16.30
7 82 $5.40
8 --- ---
9 78 $6.60
10 69 $12.90
11 78 $6.60
12 65 $22.40
13 65 $22.40
14 76 $7.40
15 62 $50.30

M_V_ Race 4
1 96 $4.80
2 95 $4.90
3 100 $4.30
4 95 $4.90
5 --- ---
6 85 $6.80
7 85 $6.80
8 70 $16.60
9 85 $6.80
10 60 $424.00

M_V_ Race 5
1 64 $32.70
2 --- ---
3 87 $5.30
4 100 $3.60
5 93 $4.30
6 60 $352.90
7 70 $13.80
8 61 $102.30
9 92 $4.40

M_V_ Race 6
1 79 $7.60
2 --- ---
3 77 $8.50
4 77 $8.50
5 100 $3.70
6 73 $11.00
7 95 $4.20
8 71 $13.00
9 90 $4.90
10 82 $6.60
11 60 $362.70

M_V_ Race 7
1 75 $10.50
2 95 $4.50
3 75 $10.50
4 --- ---
5 96 $4.40
6 88 $5.70
7 100 $4.00
8 80 $7.90
9 60 $394.60
10 61 $114.40

M_V_ Race 8
1 100 $4.20
2 72 $13.80
3 74 $11.90
4 97 $4.60
5 --- ---
6 --- ---
7 86 $6.50
8 90 $5.60
9 60 $419.10
10 92 $5.30
11 90 $5.60
12 63 $50.20
13 66 $26.70

Croawd Ratings August 4th
 

Cumulative Results to August 4th
 

Back of the envelope cumulative results from April 25th to August 4th. The figures in blue are those output from Excel using 0.284 in cell B2 (post #55 above). You can see that our second ranked selections continue to under perform dragging everything else after down. Way too early to know whether this will continue. Some pleasant overs to be had from our top pick though. :)

Top 1) won 59 from 208 (28.4%) (28.4%)
Top 2) won 84 from 208 (40.4%) (48.7%)
Top 3) won 119 from 208 (57.2%) (63.2%)
Top 4) won 145 from 208 (69.7%) (73.6%)
Top 5) won 155 from 208 (74.5%) (81.0%)

Actually I'll take that comment back. A quick chi-test shows that the second selection is very likely to continue under performing :(

Cumulative results to August 4th
 

For those interested here are the cumulative Crowd Ratings results for GOOD and DEAD tracks only. The strike rate of the top slection improves as does the strike rate of those outside the top five :( 31.1% is a great result if it can be maintained.

I'll continue to split the results into the future.

GOOD and DEAD tracks only
Top 1) won 42 from 135 (31.1%)
Top 2) won 58 from 135 (43.0%)
Top 3) won 76 from 135 (56.3%)
Top 4) won 88 from 135 (65.2%)
Top 5) won 98 from 135 (72.6%)

Crowd Ratings August 11th
 

Crowd Ratings August 11th
 

BLMT and TWBA to follow a little later.

MORP Race 2
1 84 $5.50
2 95 $3.80
3 81 $6.30
4 100 $3.30
5 --- ---
6 73 $10.10
7 60 $330.90

MORP Race 4
1 100 $4.10
2 84 $6.80
3 74 $11.50
4 79 $8.50
5 93 $4.90
6 93 $4.90
7 60 $404.40
8 93 $4.90

MORP Race 5
1 60 $330.90
2 73 $10.10
3 73 $10.10
4 --- ---
5 97 $3.60
6 73 $10.10
7 63 $39.60
8 90 $4.40
9 --- ---
10 100 $3.30

MORP Race 6
1 84 $5.70
2 85 $5.40
3 --- ---
4 82 $6.20
5 69 $14.70
6 85 $5.40
7 --- ---
8 --- ---
9 100 $3.40
10 60 $338.20

MORP Race 7
1 85 $6.20
2 79 $8.10
3 77 $9.10
4 88 $5.60
5 84 $6.50
6 73 $11.80
7 76 $9.60
8 60 $387.20
9 100 $3.90
10 95 $4.50
11 88 $5.60

MORP Race 8
1 74 $9.50
2 74 $9.50
3 82 $6.10
4 --- ---
5 90 $4.50
6 68 $16.30
7 66 $21.40
8 100 $3.40
9 89 $4.70
10 60 $335.80
11 60 $335.80

WFRM Race 2
1 100 $3.90
2 89 $5.40
3 99 $4.00
4 96 $4.40
5 73 $11.90
6 69 $16.90
7 60 $389.70

WFRM Race 4
1 86 $4.50
2 100 $2.90
3 64 $26.80
4 76 $7.20
5 90 $3.90
6 60 $289.20
7 60 $289.20
8 60 $289.20

WFRM Race 5
1 68 $14.60
2 100 $3.00
3 73 $9.20
4 60 $301.50
5 83 $5.30
6 75 $8.00
7 71 $10.80
8 60 $301.50
9 90 $4.00

WFRM Race 6
1 100 $3.30
2 83 $5.80
3 84 $5.50
4 89 $4.60
5 60 $330.90
6 77 $7.80
7 66 $21.10
8 60 $330.90

WFRM Race 7
1 100 $4.20
2 98 $4.40
3 100 $4.20
4 66 $26.20
5 60 $411.70
6 66 $26.20
7 73 $12.50
8 90 $5.50
9 78 $9.10
10 71 $14.70
11 --- ---
12 71 $14.70

WFRM Race 8
1 82 $6.90
2 100 $3.80
3 83 $6.60
4 70 $14.90
5 97 $4.10
6 60 $379.90
7 73 $11.60
8 63 $45.50
9 67 $20.90
10 83 $6.60
11 77 $8.90
12 --- ---
13 82 $6.90
14 90 $5.10
15 80 $7.60

Hi Angrypixie,

I hope you're well!

I have a few questions for you:

1/ Would you recommend the best play to take the top selection when overs can be attained?

2/ Have you found metro to be better than provincial/country or vice versa?

TS

I'm not quite ready to form any conclusions yet as I've not really committed anything to analysis. There looks to be a profit to be made from backing the top rated selection if you can secure say between 30% to 100% overs. I wouldn't be going much over that though, and this conclusion is really only from sight. The prices used here are reasonably close for the top selection but I'd be ignoring anything else. I'm intending on re-pricing everything soon.

I've done a small amount of testing on weekday country races and the Crowd Rating appear to perfom quite well there. If you stick to the good to dead tracks the Saturday country races probably perform to the average.

Sorry I've really not given it much thought yet :)

Forgot to say thanks for showing some interest :)

Crowd Ratings August 11th