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-   -   Mav's Tips (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=5109)

Paddy 4th July 2004 08:44 AM

Looking good Maverick.
Good luck today :wink:

maverik 4th July 2004 02:44 PM

I was very impressed with Just Polite, although i believe my yelling had something to do with him getting up :smile:

4th July 2004 05:03 PM

results
Sunshine Coast
R3 4 miss alyta 20
Fav 2 singing i the rain 50
Tri 30 (no sunbeam alpine)
result 2-4-6
Singing in the rain 103

R6 10 royal shiraz 40
fav 3 sticks'n stones 30
tri 30
1-3-10
1-2-3-5-6-10
result 3/1/2
sticks 106.20
tri 42.10

R7 6 poiym 40
fav 1 dodging 30
tri 30
1/3/6
1/2/3/4/6/8
result 1-8-3
dodging 117
tri 520.12

R8 2 lion queen 45
fav 1 take a shot 25
tri 30
1-2-4
1-2-3-4-6-16
result 2/3/(4-13)
lion queen 310
tri 29.40

Sandown
R7. 3 civil fav 70
tri 30 (no Mr gorsky on top)
nopayout
Canberra
R5. 4 i'm a leader fav 70
tri 30 (no vakris)
no payout
Bowraville
R5. 1 hipwell fav 70
tri 30 (no hurricane stroller)
no payout

outlay today 700
retuns 1227.82
profit 527.82
bank now 3862.36
Using that last spot in my trifectas for the roughie wth the best barrier has been very lucky for me :smile: i wish they raced at the Sunshine coast every day ..


5th July 2004 01:37 PM

selections today
Moruya
R3. nudge 40
fav southern sal 30
tri 30 (No lucky gwen on top)
R5. hasty bell fav 70
tri 30
1-4
1-2-3-4-5-6-8
result 4/5/6
tri 130.85
R7. King of Dubai fav 70
tri 30 (No Then again on top)
R8. Gobogo 20
fav court lion 50
tri 30 (No Bearly a lady)

outlay today 400
returns 130.85
loss 269.15
bank now 3593.21

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick on 2004-07-05 20:59 ]

maverick1993 7th July 2004 12:22 PM

Selections today
Br4 2 Guerilla 40
fav 1 carlita miss 30
tri 30 ( No Miss gloryhunter on top)

br5 5 simply wonderful 20
fav 1 Snippy 50
tri 30
1-5-6
1-3-4-5-6-7
result 6/3/4
tri 203.20

Br6 1 Clay shaker 40
fav 4 levante 30
tri 30 ( No Beamer on top)

Br7 2 RaRa rulenza 20
fav 3 parameter 50
tri 30
2-3-10
1-2-3-5-10-12
result 3/10/5
3 parameter 115
tri 37.62

Sr2 8 Pentasser 40
fav 1 count luskinn 30
tri 30 (No Jaritha)
8 Pentasser 168

Sr5 3 pentelikon 40
fav 1 disgiuse 30
tri 30 (no dane promise)
3 pentelikon 168

sr6 5 shylass 40
fav 2 lord revoque 30
Tri 30 (No Energy abound)

outlay today 700
returns 691.82
loss 8.18
bank now 3585.03


[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-07 14:26 ]

[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-07 16:47 ]

bagwon 9th July 2004 11:50 AM

Anything today Mav?

maverick1993 9th July 2004 08:17 PM

Sorry Bagwan was at the sales and didn't get to post..I haven't been liking my strikerate for weekday races anyway..
Selections For Saturday
Brisbane
R1. Gloucester Rd (scratched)

R2. Mt Gower (3rd) 40
favpicardi run 30
tri 30 (No soverign express)

R4. Miss Alyta 5
fav kings coup 65
tri 30
1-6-8
1-3-4-6-7-8
result 1/6/3
kings coup 105.95
tri 10

R5. Hudson Jack 40
fav Our lindyn boy 30
tri 30
2-4-13
2-4-6-9-10-13
result 4/6/2
our lindyn 102
tri 32.50

R6. Enthusiast 70 fav
tri 30
3-5
1-2-3-5-9-11-12
result 5/1/3
enthusiast 294
tri 27

R7. Tsingtao 45
fav deuxieme 25
tri 30(no regal punch)
deuxieme 110

randwick
R1. Bit Of Knowledge (scratched)

R3. Peel (2nd) 70
tri 30 (no beatitude)

R5. Lilly O'reily (fav) 100
No tri due to lack of runners
Lilly 220

R6. Pont du gard (2nd) fav 70
tri 30 (no square one)

R7. casita 35
fav octamo 35
tri 30 (no pensive warfare)

R8. Sportsbrat 35
fav eastwest success 35
tri (No turaga)
eastwest 119

Flemington
R5. enzed (2nd)50
fav beswinging 20
tri 30 (no pattie royale)

R7. Bella Vichy (scratched)

Morphetville
R5. fava (2nd) 40
fav hug a mug 30
tri 30 (no son of sparticus)

R6. Moet Now (scratched)

outlay today 1200
returns 1020.45
loss today 179.55

bank now 3405.48

Not a great day ..the seconds really spoiled the figures..and the trifectas were small..
but i only selected 2 winners from 12 and still only lost $180..
those of you who are following my selections remember that i only usually back races where the likely fav is the danger to my selection..



16 selections today the most i've ever done ..but it's been fun so what the heck :smile:
I'll continue the trifecta system as previous ..

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-10 19:14 ]

Paddy 9th July 2004 11:47 PM

Quote:
On 2004-07-09 20:17, maverick1993 wrote:
…..but it's been fun so what the heck :smile:



My sentiments exactly maverick1993 :wink:
Goodonya, enjoy & good luck :smile:


bagwon 10th July 2004 12:20 PM

Thanks Mav :smile:

maverick1993 10th July 2004 09:30 PM

selections Sunday 11/07/04

Mr3. 1 Criminal intent 20 (Dam 2nd again)
fav Framenti 50
Tri 30 (no Mio Figlio)

Mr4. 4 Chloe with class(if not to boggy)
No Bet (slow)

Mr7. 7 Tread carefully 20
fav 2 Umbula
Tri 30
2-3-7
1-2-3-5-6-7
result 2/5/3
tri 20
Umbula 130

Mr8. 1 Roedean fav 70 (3rd)
Tri 30 (No regal summer on top)

Br1. 11 Canadian flirt (scratched)

Br7. 5 Just Awe 40
fav Little Dozer 30
Tri 30 (No Dam Daam lucky )
Just awe 212

Br5. 3 mushood 45 (2nd yet again)
fav Demolition 25
Tri 30 (No Surescay on top)

Br8. 3 monte leone 35
Fav 1 Picture Book 35
Tri 30
Tri paid 17.50
Picture book 113

Yr6. 2 Very Quiet fav 100
No tri (not enough runners)
Very Quiet 228

Yr8. 12 Speculum (prefer slow track)45
Fav 4 Santuary Miss 25
Tri 30 (no Odd man out)
Santuary Miss 116

yr7. 6 midwood (yep you guessed it 2nd) 50
Fav Glenmorgan 20
Tri 30
4-5-6
3-4-5-6-7-8
result 5/6/4
Tri 117

sr7. 8 aquatic drive 35
Fav Mintani 35
Tri 30 (no precise timming on top)

sr8. 2 freespins 45 (LOL 2nd)
Fav 7 Sams Dream 25
Tri 30
1-2-7
1-2-4-7-9-10
result 7/2/9
Tri 64.20
Sams Dream 106.25

outlay today 1100
returns 1123.95
profit 23.95


bank 3405.50
bank now 3429.45

Still going...the 2nds are frustrating !!

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-11 11:47 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-11 14:44 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-11 18:23 ]

maverik 10th July 2004 10:25 PM

I may also stick to the weekends, seem to have more luck

maverick1993 13th July 2004 10:25 PM

Selections today

Sr3. 3 Rebel goddess 35 (2ND)
fav 2 Coulur wheel 35
Tri 30 (No Cutyite)

Sr4. 4 King Fuji * 35 (2ND AGAIN !)
Fav 1 daymar place 35
Tri 30 (no impala bullet on top)

Sr5. 5 Mediate 35 (3rd)
Fav 4 Bush Honey 35
Tri 30
3-4-5
1-2-3-4-5-6
result 3/4/5
Tri 40

Sr6. 4 Evelina 70 fav
tri 30 (No fur goodness sake on top)

Sr8. 11 Asia De Cuba 40
Fav Nickn John 30
Tri 30 (No view from above)Had wrong roughie

Br4. 9 art Student 35 (4th)
Fav Power lion 35
Tri 30 (no Sighing)

Br5. 4 Rajah Prince 35
Fav 2 carlita Miss 35
tri 30 (no vaporetto)

Br7. 11 Penalized (scratched)

Br8. 3 fear the storm 30
Fav 1 Freeze frame 50
Tri 30
1-3-7
1-3-4-6-7-14
result 1/4/6
freeze fram 110
tri 33

GRAFTON
4. 4 tayla's Gold 40
fav 1 peeprcorns 30
tri 30
1-4-9
1-2-4-6-9-11
result 4/1/11
taylas 440
tri 474

6. 16 Thats my mum 40
fav 1 beat that 30
tri 30
1-6-16
1-4-5-6-16-17
result 1/4/6
Baet that 120
tri 40

7. 10 words of magic * 40
fav takeover target 30
Tri 30 (no Devil or sir dan)
take over target 120

8. 9 Stragic Plan 40
fav corporate king 30
tri (No roll you own)
stragic plan 560

outlay 1200
system as previous
bank 3429

Returns today 1937
profit 737
Bank now 4166

A great day at grafton today !! :smile:

[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-14 17:18 ]

maverick1993 14th July 2004 05:32 PM

Selections Thursday
Grafton
R3. 13 Miss Bellatori 20 (2ND)
Fav Octanee 50
Tri 30 (No swepscay)
Octanee 103

R5. 7 Craiglee Queen fav 70 (2ND)
tri 30 (No Heads will roll)

R7. 13 Via Sinai 20
Fav Pacific dancer 50
Tri 30 (No Corparate Queen)
Pacif Dancer 130

R8. 7 Hipwell fav 70 (2nd)
Tri (No Sir Canny on top)

Mornington
R5. 3 Bunreba Fav 70 (2nd)
Tri (No hunter on top)

Ipswich
R8. 6 Penalize 35 (2nd)
fav Witlace 35
Tri 30 (No pontaire on top)


You have to be kidding ?? These 2nds are driving me insane !!

outlay today 600
returns 233
Loss today of 367

Bank now 3799



[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-15 19:32 ]

maverick1993 16th July 2004 11:32 PM

Selections Saturday
Brisbane
R1. 9 Hoofer 40
fav 2 perance 30
tri 30 (no kanes crossing)

R2. 6 Sink The Bismark (scratched)

R3. 3 Argenterie 40
fav 2 kidnapper
tri 30 (no kutalo)

R6. 9 Kind Spirits 50
Fav 2 beamer 20
Tri 30 (no persicope)

R7. 8 Lion Safari fav 70
tri 30 (no seqaulity)

Rosehill
R1. 4 Subrielly 40
fav 2 eltonjohn
tri 30 (no captain bax)
elton john 120

R3. 1 Lyns Money 40
fav keeping the faith 30
tri 30
1-2-3
1-2-3-4-5-7
result 2/3/5
tri 30

R5. 2 Sir Covet 40
Fav Prestegic 30
Tri 30 (no desert dane)

R7. 2 Blue Patriarch 50
fav Jackman 20
tri 30 (no shamrock)

R8. 1 Baghdad 40
fav Casino Knight 30
tri 30
1-6-8
1-2-4-5-6-8
result 1/8/2
baghdad 280
tri 127.50

Moonee Valley
R5. 6 Holding 45
fav 1 dandy kid 25
tri 30
1-3-6
1-3-5-6-8-9
result 1/8/5
dandy kid 115
tri 83

R6. 9 Eurosymbol 45
fav 1 toobarak 25
tri 30
1-6-9
1-2-3-6-9-13
result 1/9/13
toobarak 120
tri 357

Gold Coast
R4. 2 Rautai's Warrior 60
fav king wells 40
No tri (lack of numbers)
king wells 128


outlay today 1200
returns 1360.50
profit 160.50
bank now 3959.50

Hard day today with only one winner and a couple of seconds...It seems as though with the 2 safegaurds the fav and the tri that if i'm having the inevitable bad day they keep me head above water..id take 160 any day :smile:
Eurosymbol would of been nice though..


[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-17 19:19 ]

maverick1993 17th July 2004 08:55 PM

Selections for Sunday
sandown
R1. 9 Heathcote 30
Fav Early Singer 40
Tri 30 (No Alien sky)
Heathcote 165

R7. 2 Civil (scratched)
Sunshine Coast
R3. 8 In extremis (scratched)

R5. 1 Clanger Fav 70
Tri 30
1-8
1-3-4-5-6-8-9
result 8/1/4
tri 106

R6. 13 Telinda Lad 35
Fav Buzz 35
Tri 30 ( No In Cobargo)
Telinda Lad 475

Mortlake Cup
6 Beaujolais Prince (abandoned)



Out lay today 300
returns 746
profit 446

Bank now 4405.50

Good day today...Nice collect on Telinda Lad.


[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-18 16:49 ]

maverick1993 19th July 2004 02:39 PM

So far since the start of my thread
164 selections
31 winners (My selections)
44 winners (fav)
61 trifectas
profit of $3600

the trifectas since i've included highest zip form raters (A special thanks To Mr Ed and Sportznut for that one) and the roughie with the best barrier have been surpisingly healthy..
I've managed to select some nice priced winners of late which has also helped..

I always like to revise my systems over a period of time because the law of averages says you will lose eventually..But i think i'll just keep plugging along..as long i'm in the black :smile:




[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-19 14:42 ]

maverick1993 20th July 2004 12:31 PM

Tuesday selections
Taree
R1. 1 School dance (1st) 70
Tri 30
1-2-3
1-2-3-4-7-10
result 1/3/2
school dance 180
tri 23

R3. 2 Fine dane (3rd) 40
Fav victory Beau 30
tri 30 (No blindside)

R5. 2 Dakamyte (2nd) Fav 70
tri 30 ( no Jumpin Pin)

R6. 4 Broom To The Moon 35
fav Mister lane 35
Tri 30 (no Camboyne)

R7. 2 dancer Dancer (2nd) Fav 70
tri 30 (No Bappos Star)

R8. 6 Follow the Flame (scratched)
Bendigo
R5. 1 Casi Del royale (scratched)

R6. 5 Khartoum fav 70
Tri 30 (No Go Taut)

R8. 8 Better Star 35
Fav Fulmare 35
Tri 30
4-5-8
1-4-5-8-11-13
tri paid 234

outlay today 700
returns 437
Loss 263

bank now 4142.50

Fine dane would of been a good result..:smile:

[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-20 12:32 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-20 17:41 ]

maverick1993 20th July 2004 09:00 PM

Selections Wednesday
Canterbury
R1. 13 Maxies Wizard 35 (scratched late)
fav 5 Road again 35
Tri 30
1-5-13
1-3-5-6-11-13
result 5/11/3
Road again 120
tri 62

R2. 7 Extra terestial 50
Fav 4 Scilly 20
Tri 30 (no Champony)

R3. 5 Coolgardie 70 (fav
Tri 30
5-1
Field
result 1/6/2
tri 65

R6. 13 Swarthy (scratched)

R7. 6 Dahara 35
fav 2 Swing on 35
Tri 30 (No northwood)

Flemington
R2. 9 Unabated *** 20
fav 1 Big Poppa Pump 50
Tri 30 (no spot the line)

R3. 2 Aqua Velva 50
Fav 5 Always Lucy 20
Tri 30 (no Centashi)

R4. 6 Sir Pentire 45
Fav 1 Badgerswood 25
Tri 30
1-4-6
1-2-4-5-6-9
result 6/9/1
Sir pentire 243
Tri 236

R5. 12 The Moss Factor 35
Fav Nedrullah 35
Tri 30 (NO She lago)

Ipswich
R2. 7 Zellweger (scratched)

R5. 4 darby 20
fav Vivid Miss 50
tri 30 (No Poetic Hieghts)

R7. 7 ocherous 35
Fav 4 Star Giver 35
tri 30 (Brisbane Lions)

Murray Bridge
R2. 5 Rolled 20
Fav Blazing Jeune 50
Tri 30 ( No Zaruler)

R4. 14 Phone 20
Fav Pure Dor 50
Tri 30 ( No suzie Mine)
Pure D'or 100

R6. 2 Moet Now 35
fav Cant Tackle 35
Tri 30 (No Rustic Opal)

R7. 13 Taos Aagin 35
fav Muduro 35
Tri 30
2-3-13
1-2-3-7-11-13
result 1/7/11
Maduro 122
tri 75


outlay today 1365
returns 1023
loss today of 342

Total bank 3800.50



[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-21 17:03 ]

sportznut 21st July 2004 03:45 AM

Mav, can you tell me where most of the profit has come from... your selections, the favourites, or the trifectas?

maverick1993 21st July 2004 05:47 PM

Hi Sportznut
here are the rough figures
185 races
33 winners (my selections)
47 winners (Fav)
Trifectas 67

My selections $8000
fav $5200
Tris $9000

Outlay for the trifectas is $5550
I never kept a record in the beginning on the distribution of points between my selection and the Fav (and yes i know i should of )but for a rough idea
12950 points have been outlayed between the two ..but of course the fav would of had the majority of these points..
So in summary the trifectas have been the most profitable.but it would be interesting to know exactly how much i outlayed on my selections..
I'll look back on the last few weeks so i got some sort of percenatge..
also in the beginning i was only targeting races with my selection..i then modified it to where i thought the Fav was the most likely danger..

Hope thats clear..i've never been much of a record keeper..so this thread really helps me out..

maverick1993 22nd July 2004 12:31 PM

Wyong
R2. Don Que 35
fav 11 Viva madiba 35
Tri 30
2-5-11
2-3-5-10-11-14
Result 11/5/14
Viva 123
tri 84

R3. I'm Smitten 40
fav Sunset Express 30
Tri 30 (No Beau Dennis)

R6. Agua Corriendo 35
fav Fellahen 35
Tri 30 (No watch yoour step)

R7. 6 Wardsky (2nd) 45
Fav Auri 25
Tri 30 (No Macs Tune)

R8. 3 Glossy Games (2nd) 35
Fav Our Sequalo 35
Tri 30 (No nannidot on top)

Geelong
R3. 11 belleveu Lady Fav 70
Tri 30 (No celtic Conquest)

R6. 4 Modulated (scratched)
Fav Noahs Pearl 70
Tri 30
2-3-5
1-2-3-5-9-14
result 5/3/2
noahs 350
Tri 100

Rocky
R4. 2 Mr Chips scratched
fav Fear the night (2nd) 70
Tri 30 (no silver sail in top)

R6. 7 Day Off 50
fav 6 parting 20
Tri 30
1-6-7
1-2-3-4-6
result 6/1/2
parting 134
tri 39

R7. 5 Stream Gull 45
fav Booboo 25
tri 30 (no Exclaim on top)

outlay today 900
returns 830
loss today 70

bank now 3730.50

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-22 18:07 ]

maverick1993 23rd July 2004 08:47 PM

Selections
Brisbane
R1. 7 Aerolito 20
Fav 12 Parameter 50
tri 30
7-12-14
3-5-7-8-12-14
result 12/14/3
12 parameteter 100
tri 84

R2. 6 Sha Alma 50
Fav 2 Exquisitely 20
tri 30 (No Conflicting)
Sha Alma 821

R3. 4 Angel Fish (scratched)

R4. 4 Craiglee Path 30
Fav 2 He wears the crown 40
Tri 30 (No Hit the road)

R5. 7 Telegrande fav 70
tri (No Pittapaddy)

R6. 11 Rauti's Warrior 35
Fav 3 Our Lyndon Boy 35
Tri 30
1-3-11
1-3-4-7-10-11
result 1/3/7
Tri 60

R7. 6 Amex 45
fav 1 Consular 25
Tri 30
1-3-6
1-3-4-5-6-9
result 1/3/7
consular 105
tri 84

R8. 7 dodging Fav 70
Tri 30 (No Shysu on top)

Sydney
R1. 1 Zinzin 40
Fav 2 Illonga magic 30
Tri 30
1-2-5
1-2-3-4-5-6
result 1/4/5
Zinzin 240
tri 26

R2. 5 tivolli dancer Fav 70
Tri 30 (No svenska)

R3. 8 Mediator 40
Fav 6 Pentelikon 30
tri 30
1-6-8
1-4-5-6-8-9
result 8/6/5
Mediator 520
Tri 144

R4. 10 Sabre Knight 40
fav 6 Dissmisal 30
Tri 30 (No My charity star)
Dissmisal 120

R5. 1 Casino Knight 70 fav
tri 30
1-4-5
1-3-4-5-6-8
result 1/8/5
Casino Knight 182
tri 72

R6. 4 loisett 40
Fav 7 Wasimah 30
Tri 30 (No Zakynthos star )

R7. 6 Kingston Classic fav 70
tri 30 (NO institution)

R8. 7 biagio 40
Fav east west success 30
Tri 30 (No turaga on top)

Melbourne
R1. 8 Strategic Madness 40
Fav Marie Madeline 30
Tri 30
4-5-8
4-5-6-7-8-11
result 8/7/11
Stratgic 360
tri 355

R2. 10 Penny Opera fav 70 (2nd)
Tri 30 (No Saladare on top)

R3. 2 hardy steele 40
fav 7 Vaincross 30
tri 30 (NO smoking barrel)

R4. 10 Brindabella 50
Fav 3 princess diamond 20
Tri 30 (No red silk)

R5. 4 Gladia 40
Fav 1 Super Elegant
Tri 30
1-4-9
1-2-3-4-7-9
result 1/7/9
Super 102
tri 65

R6. 2 skewiff fav 70
tri 30 (No ashtaroth)

R7. 6 umbula fav 70
tri 30
3-6
1-3-4-5-6-7-14
result 6/1/4
umbula 294
tri 165

R8. 4 Garner 40 (3rd)
Fav 1 Jakodee 30
tri 30 (NO Spartiate on top)

adelaide
R1. 4 Ransom claim 20
Fav 2 Silent Action 50
tri 30 (no exalted ego)

R2. 4 Ali gee (3rd) 45
fav 2 tarnpir lad 25
Tri 30
2-3-4
1-2-3-4-6-7
result 3/2/4
tri 114

R3. 3 Feather Duster fav 70
tri 30
Feather duster 280
tri 20

R4. 7 Red Astaire 45
Fav 2 Quite Easy 25
tri 30 (No Oxford dollar)

R5. 7 Bintan (3rd) 30
Fav 1 tradesman choice 40
tri 30
1-4-7
1-4-5-7-11-12
result 1/5/7
Tradesman 120
tri 32

R6. 5 Golden whirl 40
fav Subella 30
tri 30 (no French elle)

R7. 8 Cullens Bay 25
fav 1 Maybe Mclaren 45
tri 30
1-5-8
1-2-4-5-8-9
result 8/2/4
cullens Bay 115
tri 121

R8. 3 Mark Of Power Fav 70
tri 30 (No subtle irony)

Gold Coast
R5. 1 Carlita Miss fav 70
tri 30
1-2
1-2-4-5-6-8-10
result 1/6/10
carlita miss 322
tri 55

R7. 7 Uturn 35
fav 4 Show pokier 35
Tri 30 (no ventication)
uturn 322

R8. 7 Cha Cha Damour 20
fav 4 potter 50
tri 30
4-7-12
3-4-7-10-12-13
result 4/7/10
potter 110
tri 110

Toowoomba
R2. 7 Striking looks 35
fav friget 35
tri (no house of woodwind)

R5. 4 Lincoln Rd 45
Fav Mighty crossing 25
tri 30
1-4-5
1-2-4-5-8-10
result 5/1/4
mighty crossing 105
tri 21

outlay today 3600
returns 5746
profit today 2146

bank now 5876.50

Great day :smile:






[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-24 07:43 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-24 20:20 ]

TheAvenger 24th July 2004 01:17 PM

You are doing a magnificent job picking winners tonight at Warwick and Caulfield.
Thanks.


Glenn

maverick1993 24th July 2004 08:24 PM

Thanks Avenger

a lucky day today with some nice priced winners..Today was a little test..on whether i needed to devote so much time to form study..last night i spent maybe 2 hours instead of my usual 2 days..
hey maybe ive been wasting my time..
good to see Consular get up as well :smile:

Paddy 25th July 2004 07:58 AM

You’re going great guns maverick1993 :wink:

maverick1993 25th July 2004 04:04 PM

thanks Paddy...

only 2 selections today ..i only just got home..
Sunshine coast
R7. 7 Crackerjacks hope 50
Fav 11 Maizcay Magic 20
Tri 30
5-7-11
4-5-6-7-10-11
result 11/5/6
Maizcay 106
Tri 88

R8. 4 miss alyta 35
Fav 2 Lion Queen 35
Tri 30 (NO stuckfast)
Lion Queen 105


outlay today 200
returns 299
profit 99

bank now 5975.50


[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-25 17:56 ]

goldenember 26th July 2004 06:56 AM

Probably already stated somewhere in this thread maverick1993 but how is your fav determined and what source do you base your returns on? Thanks.


maverick1993 26th July 2004 03:56 PM

Hi Goldenember,

I usually follow the market..but sometimes its a judgment call especially if their are 2 or sometimes 3 that are fluxiating.. I usually only bet in a race where i think the fav is the main danger to my selection. So even if this fav blows out alittle i still usually stick with it.
Last Saturday for instance i backed full cards for a test to see whether i needed to do so much form study.
in most of those races i backed the fav based on the market from Iasbet.
All figures are based on iasbet markets and payout figures.

the system seems to work even though if i went straight out say 100 to win on just my selections i would of been up 3500 on Saturday. But on Sunday i would of lost 200..
Saturday was a good day and i'm not kidding myself i can pull those sorts of winners regulary. so this system with the 2 safegaurds the Fav and the Tri suits me.Sort of gives me peice of mind.
I still have my plunge race every Saturday where i bet Max 2000 and lately ive been on a huge roll with it ,,but i stick to my limit because i know theres the dreaded run of outs thats bound to come my way soon.
i hope ive got enough put away for it. :wink:


sportznut 26th July 2004 04:40 PM

Do you intentionally go looking for a horse which isn't the favourite, or is that just the way it works out. What happens if your selection ends up being the favourite?

goldenember 26th July 2004 05:08 PM

Thanks maverick1993.
Just 1 more question.
Your fav is fav at jump or some time before?


maverick1993 26th July 2004 05:10 PM

Sometimes my selection is the Favourite like on saturday i selected Umbula ,Casino Knight
Feather Duster ect.
I study a race and if i like a value runner i mark it.
i then look at the likely Fav and if i think thats the main danger i bet.
If the fav looks to good then i'll back it instead.
Yesterday for instance Crackerjacks hope was about 25's but i also thought Maizcay Magic was the threat..Also in the next Lion Queen was always going to be the danger to Miss Alyta.
Saturday was just a bit fun. Most of those races i had my selection and whoever was the market fav..
On Saturday at the Gold coast i had Carlita Miss as fav but it probably started on the third line..also Consular i thought would of been Fav but i'm pretty sure Tellem ended up shorter.
The whole "bet if i like the Fav as the danger" thing as proven on Saturday is probably a whole waste of time.
But as pointed out by Mr Ed sometimes Favs are favs for no other reason than say waterhouse is training it or Beadmans riding it..we've all heard of the Beadman factor..


maverick1993 26th July 2004 05:12 PM

just before jump if i haven't selected the fav prio.

maverick1993 26th July 2004 05:26 PM

sportznut can you email me
mav1993@hotmail.com
i want to ask you a couple of things
Thanks

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-26 18:25 ]

Mr ed 27th July 2004 12:32 AM

Your looking good Maverick,

I would like to see you go through this thread and work out exactly how much you have spent on your selection, favorites, and trifes (if your selection is the fave then include all money as your selection), then work out the return from the three. From here you can see if all three modes of betting are profitable and hence therefore neccessary. I can see that on a day to day basis having the three fallbacks can reduce your losses but on your good days they are also reducing your profits. If you go back and see you are running at a loss from the favourite (savers) why not scrap them. Just food for thought but it is widely understood that if you back favorites in every race you will end up losing and i cant help but think that if you are consistently using the fave to save this factor will occur in your system. You mentioned how long you spend studying the form and i would hate to see alot of that time wasted on savers that are unnecessary in the long run.

But as i say you are going splendidly and you may find all three betting modes are neccessary, just having my two bobs worth.

Cheers Ed

maverick1993 27th July 2004 11:26 AM

Hi Mr ed

here are some rough figures
My Selections 9600 return 11000
favourites 4700 return 5600
trifectas 7000 return 11000

The tifecta figures are acurate because i always bet 30 so that was easy
With the My selction and fav figures these are from probabaly the 2ndweek in when i started to realise i should be keeping more acurate figures.
I'm going to keep more acurate records form now on things and include
The length of the races.
How many runners.
what sort of race as well.

The favs seem to be doing ok . Maybe i should be saying the "more Fancied runner" than the favourite because in some races i'm not backing the actual market Fav...
eg..On Saturday Tellem ran fav but unproven at the distance and with Consular and Deuixeme proven and in form that made no sense to me..
i probably filter out some of those favs so my strikerate is better.

The trifectas is what has proven very succesful.
any ideas you have Mr Ed is more than welcome..i''m still a novice at this stuff :smile:

maverick1993 27th July 2004 11:36 AM

Selections Today
Echuca
R1. 13 whitier Miss 25
Fav 1 Blixter 45
Tri 30 (no Correctional)
Blixtar 105

R6. 1 Swan Hill 70 (Fav)
tri 30 (no lord hatton on top)

R3. 3 Go Bendigo fav 70
Tri 30
1-3
1-3-4-6-7-12-13
result 1/3/7
tri 150

R9. 11 No Tarnish 40
fav Loa Lani 30
tri 30 (no Easy Baby on top)

Rocky
R2. 1 regimental fav 70 (1st)
Tri 30
Regimental 140
tri 15

R3. 1 Cha Cha Charlie Fav 70 (1st)
tri 30
Cha Cha 130
tri 12

R4. 4 Capenelle 20 (1st)
Fav 1 BooBoo 50
Tri 30
Capenelle 110
tri 11

R7. 11 Pamela Jane 35
Fav 3 Victory Siren 35
tri 30
3-5-11
2-3-5-6-8-11
result 3/5/11
Vicory Siren 105
Tri 113

Outlay today 800
returns 761
loss today 39

bank now 5936.50

The trifectas let me down today in Rocky getting all four but they all payed next to nothing..Also the Last in Echuca i changed the trifecta when Easy Baby blew out..and of course it won and would of been a nice trifecta.
Pamela Jane would of been nice at juicy odds
..




[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-27 18:14 ]

[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-27 18:18 ]

maverick1993 28th July 2004 11:50 AM

Selctections Today
Warrick Farm
R1. 7 Sutton review 15
Fav 3 Canny Princess 55
tri 30
1-3-7
1-3-4-5-7-8
result 3/1/7
Tri 15
Canny princess 105

R2. 2 Micheal de Dragon (3rd) 40
Fav 3 Bellarouge 30
Tri 30 (no For Vallour)

R4. 7 Nordic Emperor 35
Fav 6 wicked wizard 35
tri 30
6-7-9
1-4-5-6-7-9
result 9/1/7
tri 80

R6. 1 Evilina * fav 70
Tri 30 (no cellar edition on top )

R7. 9 King Fuji 35
Fav 4 Amish 35
Tri 30
1-4-9
1-4-9-5-6-11
result 1/4/9
tri 110

Sandown
R1. 4 Tendue 35
Fav 3 Astrodame 35
tri 30 (no 5 Al wara on top)

R3. 6 Moksha (2nd)35
Fav 1 evil master 35
tri 30 (no Belgrade)

R4. 2 Roedean 50
Fav 7 Glenbawn 20
Tri 30 (No bella jinski ontop)

R5. 8 Nicholas (3rd)45
Fav 9 paddy william 25
tri 30 (no berick atack)

R6. 5 Zabexpress 40
fav 7 waitermu 30
Tri 30 (no Korcular)

R7. 3 Hunter Hermitage 30
fav 2 double classic 40
tri 30
2-3-4
2-3-4-9-10-11
result 4/9/11
tri 200

eagle Farm
R1. 15 Hip Hop Anonymous 35
Fav 3 partying 35
tri 30
4-3-15
4-3-15-1-2-12
result 4/1/3
tri 65

R2. 10 Son of Dane 2nd 35
Fav 2 splendid sails 35
tri 30
10-2-1
10-2-1-11-5-6
result 1/10/2
tri 170

R4. 11 Sighing 35
Fav 4 delago dumper 35
tri 30 (No Apian rule on top)

R5. 2 desert Money 40
Fav 6 diamond bullet 30
tri 30 (No Miss Jones)

R6. 8 Tax dodge 45
Fav 2 comon Knowledgs 25
tri 30 (no lielve)
common knowledge 120

R7. 6 Dream'n Scheme 35
Fav 4 triple pe 35
Tri 30 (no mt gower on top)

Balaklava
R2. 3 Bromide 30
Fav 1 silk wind 40
tri 30
1-3-5
1-3-5-8-9-10
result 3/1/10
bromide 170
tri 160

R4. 6 Bellona 70
tri 30
6-4
6-4-2-3-8-11-7
result 6/2/7
tri 100
bellona 150

R5. 5 Tic Toc Tac fav 70 (2nd)
tri 30 (no pageant night)

R6. 5 BelDe Ferro fav 70
tri 30
1-4-5
1-4-5-2-7-8
result 1/6/4
tri 130

R7. 4 Spinning Eagle fav 70
tri 30
3-4
3-4-2-1-5-6-9
result
spinning eagle 250

outlay 2200
returns 1825
loss today 375

only picked 3 winners out of 22 selections..
a shocking day..a couple of unlucky 2nds and missing some healthy tris by a wisker..





ont size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-28 12:02 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-28 17:24 ]

sportznut 29th July 2004 12:14 PM

Here's one for you - Northam R8 number 1 and it's got a good chance too.

maverick1993 29th July 2004 12:16 PM

Selections today
Townsville
R1. 3 Rockets of gold 40
Fav 1 Ror Harvest
Tri 30
1-2-3
1-2-3-6-9-10
result 2/10/6
tri 615

R2. 7 Enduis 35
Fav 2 Koala 35
Tri 30 (no dartbrook king)
koal 110

R4. 11 Gold tusmani 45
Fav 5 Luberon 25
Tri 30 (no unbridled love)

R5. 10 Stormy Blue 45
Fav 6 Gazzam 25
Tri 30
10-6-3
10-6-3-1-9-4
result 10/3/6
stormy blue 470
tri 50

R7. 10 granton 50
fav 1 peaceful missile 20
Tri 30 (no Mulligan on top)

Gosford
R4 10 Wonder dane 20
fav 1 bryanca 50
tri 30
1-10-3
5-9-8-1-10-3
result 1/5/3
bryanca 135
tri 15

R7. 13 Yum Yum fav 70
tri 30
13-10
13-10-6-11-9-2-3
result 10/6/3
tri 440

R8. 9 Sri Khan 45
fav 1 catcher 25
tri 30
1-9-2
1-9-2-3-5-7
result 9/1/2
Sri Khan 900
tri 440

R10. 3 Catchadane fav 70
tri 30 (no sweet mustard)

Cranborne
R3. 4 Kingston Bird 70
Tri 30
4-14
4-14-7-6-9-11-1
result 4/14/7
kingston bird 220
tri 50

R5. 1 classic Benbara fav 70
tri 30
1-6
1-6-5-7-9-10-11
result 1/7/5
Benbarra 230
tri 20

R6. 4 Eye for an Eye fav 70
Tri 30 (no vulcan on top)

R8. 8 Yik yak 50
fav 3 Turutga 20
Tri 30 (no wonderman)

outlay today 1300
returns 3695
profit today 2395

bank now 7956.50





[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-29 18:32 ]

[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-29 18:34 ]

racingnovice 29th July 2004 03:45 PM

mav,

Nice selection in GOSFORD NR8 Sri Khan came 1st paying 18.90/4.50 on unitab.



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