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Looking good Maverick.
Good luck today :wink: |
I was very impressed with Just Polite, although i believe my yelling had something to do with him getting up :smile:
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results
Sunshine Coast R3 4 miss alyta 20 Fav 2 singing i the rain 50 Tri 30 (no sunbeam alpine) result 2-4-6 Singing in the rain 103 R6 10 royal shiraz 40 fav 3 sticks'n stones 30 tri 30 1-3-10 1-2-3-5-6-10 result 3/1/2 sticks 106.20 tri 42.10 R7 6 poiym 40 fav 1 dodging 30 tri 30 1/3/6 1/2/3/4/6/8 result 1-8-3 dodging 117 tri 520.12 R8 2 lion queen 45 fav 1 take a shot 25 tri 30 1-2-4 1-2-3-4-6-16 result 2/3/(4-13) lion queen 310 tri 29.40 Sandown R7. 3 civil fav 70 tri 30 (no Mr gorsky on top) nopayout Canberra R5. 4 i'm a leader fav 70 tri 30 (no vakris) no payout Bowraville R5. 1 hipwell fav 70 tri 30 (no hurricane stroller) no payout outlay today 700 retuns 1227.82 profit 527.82 bank now 3862.36 Using that last spot in my trifectas for the roughie wth the best barrier has been very lucky for me :smile: i wish they raced at the Sunshine coast every day .. |
selections today
Moruya R3. nudge 40 fav southern sal 30 tri 30 (No lucky gwen on top) R5. hasty bell fav 70 tri 30 1-4 1-2-3-4-5-6-8 result 4/5/6 tri 130.85 R7. King of Dubai fav 70 tri 30 (No Then again on top) R8. Gobogo 20 fav court lion 50 tri 30 (No Bearly a lady) outlay today 400 returns 130.85 loss 269.15 bank now 3593.21 [ This Message was edited by: Maverick on 2004-07-05 20:59 ] |
Selections today
Br4 2 Guerilla 40 fav 1 carlita miss 30 tri 30 ( No Miss gloryhunter on top) br5 5 simply wonderful 20 fav 1 Snippy 50 tri 30 1-5-6 1-3-4-5-6-7 result 6/3/4 tri 203.20 Br6 1 Clay shaker 40 fav 4 levante 30 tri 30 ( No Beamer on top) Br7 2 RaRa rulenza 20 fav 3 parameter 50 tri 30 2-3-10 1-2-3-5-10-12 result 3/10/5 3 parameter 115 tri 37.62 Sr2 8 Pentasser 40 fav 1 count luskinn 30 tri 30 (No Jaritha) 8 Pentasser 168 Sr5 3 pentelikon 40 fav 1 disgiuse 30 tri 30 (no dane promise) 3 pentelikon 168 sr6 5 shylass 40 fav 2 lord revoque 30 Tri 30 (No Energy abound) outlay today 700 returns 691.82 loss 8.18 bank now 3585.03 [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-07 14:26 ] [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-07 16:47 ] |
Anything today Mav?
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Sorry Bagwan was at the sales and didn't get to post..I haven't been liking my strikerate for weekday races anyway..
Selections For Saturday Brisbane R1. Gloucester Rd (scratched) R2. Mt Gower (3rd) 40 favpicardi run 30 tri 30 (No soverign express) R4. Miss Alyta 5 fav kings coup 65 tri 30 1-6-8 1-3-4-6-7-8 result 1/6/3 kings coup 105.95 tri 10 R5. Hudson Jack 40 fav Our lindyn boy 30 tri 30 2-4-13 2-4-6-9-10-13 result 4/6/2 our lindyn 102 tri 32.50 R6. Enthusiast 70 fav tri 30 3-5 1-2-3-5-9-11-12 result 5/1/3 enthusiast 294 tri 27 R7. Tsingtao 45 fav deuxieme 25 tri 30(no regal punch) deuxieme 110 randwick R1. Bit Of Knowledge (scratched) R3. Peel (2nd) 70 tri 30 (no beatitude) R5. Lilly O'reily (fav) 100 No tri due to lack of runners Lilly 220 R6. Pont du gard (2nd) fav 70 tri 30 (no square one) R7. casita 35 fav octamo 35 tri 30 (no pensive warfare) R8. Sportsbrat 35 fav eastwest success 35 tri (No turaga) eastwest 119 Flemington R5. enzed (2nd)50 fav beswinging 20 tri 30 (no pattie royale) R7. Bella Vichy (scratched) Morphetville R5. fava (2nd) 40 fav hug a mug 30 tri 30 (no son of sparticus) R6. Moet Now (scratched) outlay today 1200 returns 1020.45 loss today 179.55 bank now 3405.48 Not a great day ..the seconds really spoiled the figures..and the trifectas were small.. but i only selected 2 winners from 12 and still only lost $180.. those of you who are following my selections remember that i only usually back races where the likely fav is the danger to my selection.. 16 selections today the most i've ever done ..but it's been fun so what the heck :smile: I'll continue the trifecta system as previous .. [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-10 19:14 ] |
Quote:
My sentiments exactly maverick1993 :wink: Goodonya, enjoy & good luck :smile: |
Thanks Mav :smile:
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selections Sunday 11/07/04
Mr3. 1 Criminal intent 20 (Dam 2nd again) fav Framenti 50 Tri 30 (no Mio Figlio) Mr4. 4 Chloe with class(if not to boggy) No Bet (slow) Mr7. 7 Tread carefully 20 fav 2 Umbula Tri 30 2-3-7 1-2-3-5-6-7 result 2/5/3 tri 20 Umbula 130 Mr8. 1 Roedean fav 70 (3rd) Tri 30 (No regal summer on top) Br1. 11 Canadian flirt (scratched) Br7. 5 Just Awe 40 fav Little Dozer 30 Tri 30 (No Dam Daam lucky ) Just awe 212 Br5. 3 mushood 45 (2nd yet again) fav Demolition 25 Tri 30 (No Surescay on top) Br8. 3 monte leone 35 Fav 1 Picture Book 35 Tri 30 Tri paid 17.50 Picture book 113 Yr6. 2 Very Quiet fav 100 No tri (not enough runners) Very Quiet 228 Yr8. 12 Speculum (prefer slow track)45 Fav 4 Santuary Miss 25 Tri 30 (no Odd man out) Santuary Miss 116 yr7. 6 midwood (yep you guessed it 2nd) 50 Fav Glenmorgan 20 Tri 30 4-5-6 3-4-5-6-7-8 result 5/6/4 Tri 117 sr7. 8 aquatic drive 35 Fav Mintani 35 Tri 30 (no precise timming on top) sr8. 2 freespins 45 (LOL 2nd) Fav 7 Sams Dream 25 Tri 30 1-2-7 1-2-4-7-9-10 result 7/2/9 Tri 64.20 Sams Dream 106.25 outlay today 1100 returns 1123.95 profit 23.95 bank 3405.50 bank now 3429.45 Still going...the 2nds are frustrating !! [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-11 11:47 ] [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-11 14:44 ] [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-11 18:23 ] |
I may also stick to the weekends, seem to have more luck
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Selections today
Sr3. 3 Rebel goddess 35 (2ND) fav 2 Coulur wheel 35 Tri 30 (No Cutyite) Sr4. 4 King Fuji * 35 (2ND AGAIN !) Fav 1 daymar place 35 Tri 30 (no impala bullet on top) Sr5. 5 Mediate 35 (3rd) Fav 4 Bush Honey 35 Tri 30 3-4-5 1-2-3-4-5-6 result 3/4/5 Tri 40 Sr6. 4 Evelina 70 fav tri 30 (No fur goodness sake on top) Sr8. 11 Asia De Cuba 40 Fav Nickn John 30 Tri 30 (No view from above)Had wrong roughie Br4. 9 art Student 35 (4th) Fav Power lion 35 Tri 30 (no Sighing) Br5. 4 Rajah Prince 35 Fav 2 carlita Miss 35 tri 30 (no vaporetto) Br7. 11 Penalized (scratched) Br8. 3 fear the storm 30 Fav 1 Freeze frame 50 Tri 30 1-3-7 1-3-4-6-7-14 result 1/4/6 freeze fram 110 tri 33 GRAFTON 4. 4 tayla's Gold 40 fav 1 peeprcorns 30 tri 30 1-4-9 1-2-4-6-9-11 result 4/1/11 taylas 440 tri 474 6. 16 Thats my mum 40 fav 1 beat that 30 tri 30 1-6-16 1-4-5-6-16-17 result 1/4/6 Baet that 120 tri 40 7. 10 words of magic * 40 fav takeover target 30 Tri 30 (no Devil or sir dan) take over target 120 8. 9 Stragic Plan 40 fav corporate king 30 tri (No roll you own) stragic plan 560 outlay 1200 system as previous bank 3429 Returns today 1937 profit 737 Bank now 4166 A great day at grafton today !! :smile: [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-14 17:18 ] |
Selections Thursday
Grafton R3. 13 Miss Bellatori 20 (2ND) Fav Octanee 50 Tri 30 (No swepscay) Octanee 103 R5. 7 Craiglee Queen fav 70 (2ND) tri 30 (No Heads will roll) R7. 13 Via Sinai 20 Fav Pacific dancer 50 Tri 30 (No Corparate Queen) Pacif Dancer 130 R8. 7 Hipwell fav 70 (2nd) Tri (No Sir Canny on top) Mornington R5. 3 Bunreba Fav 70 (2nd) Tri (No hunter on top) Ipswich R8. 6 Penalize 35 (2nd) fav Witlace 35 Tri 30 (No pontaire on top) You have to be kidding ?? These 2nds are driving me insane !! outlay today 600 returns 233 Loss today of 367 Bank now 3799 [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-15 19:32 ] |
Selections Saturday
Brisbane R1. 9 Hoofer 40 fav 2 perance 30 tri 30 (no kanes crossing) R2. 6 Sink The Bismark (scratched) R3. 3 Argenterie 40 fav 2 kidnapper tri 30 (no kutalo) R6. 9 Kind Spirits 50 Fav 2 beamer 20 Tri 30 (no persicope) R7. 8 Lion Safari fav 70 tri 30 (no seqaulity) Rosehill R1. 4 Subrielly 40 fav 2 eltonjohn tri 30 (no captain bax) elton john 120 R3. 1 Lyns Money 40 fav keeping the faith 30 tri 30 1-2-3 1-2-3-4-5-7 result 2/3/5 tri 30 R5. 2 Sir Covet 40 Fav Prestegic 30 Tri 30 (no desert dane) R7. 2 Blue Patriarch 50 fav Jackman 20 tri 30 (no shamrock) R8. 1 Baghdad 40 fav Casino Knight 30 tri 30 1-6-8 1-2-4-5-6-8 result 1/8/2 baghdad 280 tri 127.50 Moonee Valley R5. 6 Holding 45 fav 1 dandy kid 25 tri 30 1-3-6 1-3-5-6-8-9 result 1/8/5 dandy kid 115 tri 83 R6. 9 Eurosymbol 45 fav 1 toobarak 25 tri 30 1-6-9 1-2-3-6-9-13 result 1/9/13 toobarak 120 tri 357 Gold Coast R4. 2 Rautai's Warrior 60 fav king wells 40 No tri (lack of numbers) king wells 128 outlay today 1200 returns 1360.50 profit 160.50 bank now 3959.50 Hard day today with only one winner and a couple of seconds...It seems as though with the 2 safegaurds the fav and the tri that if i'm having the inevitable bad day they keep me head above water..id take 160 any day :smile: Eurosymbol would of been nice though.. [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-17 19:19 ] |
Selections for Sunday
sandown R1. 9 Heathcote 30 Fav Early Singer 40 Tri 30 (No Alien sky) Heathcote 165 R7. 2 Civil (scratched) Sunshine Coast R3. 8 In extremis (scratched) R5. 1 Clanger Fav 70 Tri 30 1-8 1-3-4-5-6-8-9 result 8/1/4 tri 106 R6. 13 Telinda Lad 35 Fav Buzz 35 Tri 30 ( No In Cobargo) Telinda Lad 475 Mortlake Cup 6 Beaujolais Prince (abandoned) Out lay today 300 returns 746 profit 446 Bank now 4405.50 Good day today...Nice collect on Telinda Lad. [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-18 16:49 ] |
So far since the start of my thread
164 selections 31 winners (My selections) 44 winners (fav) 61 trifectas profit of $3600 the trifectas since i've included highest zip form raters (A special thanks To Mr Ed and Sportznut for that one) and the roughie with the best barrier have been surpisingly healthy.. I've managed to select some nice priced winners of late which has also helped.. I always like to revise my systems over a period of time because the law of averages says you will lose eventually..But i think i'll just keep plugging along..as long i'm in the black :smile: [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-19 14:42 ] |
Tuesday selections
Taree R1. 1 School dance (1st) 70 Tri 30 1-2-3 1-2-3-4-7-10 result 1/3/2 school dance 180 tri 23 R3. 2 Fine dane (3rd) 40 Fav victory Beau 30 tri 30 (No blindside) R5. 2 Dakamyte (2nd) Fav 70 tri 30 ( no Jumpin Pin) R6. 4 Broom To The Moon 35 fav Mister lane 35 Tri 30 (no Camboyne) R7. 2 dancer Dancer (2nd) Fav 70 tri 30 (No Bappos Star) R8. 6 Follow the Flame (scratched) Bendigo R5. 1 Casi Del royale (scratched) R6. 5 Khartoum fav 70 Tri 30 (No Go Taut) R8. 8 Better Star 35 Fav Fulmare 35 Tri 30 4-5-8 1-4-5-8-11-13 tri paid 234 outlay today 700 returns 437 Loss 263 bank now 4142.50 Fine dane would of been a good result..:smile: [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-20 12:32 ] [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-20 17:41 ] |
Selections Wednesday
Canterbury R1. 13 Maxies Wizard 35 (scratched late) fav 5 Road again 35 Tri 30 1-5-13 1-3-5-6-11-13 result 5/11/3 Road again 120 tri 62 R2. 7 Extra terestial 50 Fav 4 Scilly 20 Tri 30 (no Champony) R3. 5 Coolgardie 70 (fav Tri 30 5-1 Field result 1/6/2 tri 65 R6. 13 Swarthy (scratched) R7. 6 Dahara 35 fav 2 Swing on 35 Tri 30 (No northwood) Flemington R2. 9 Unabated *** 20 fav 1 Big Poppa Pump 50 Tri 30 (no spot the line) R3. 2 Aqua Velva 50 Fav 5 Always Lucy 20 Tri 30 (no Centashi) R4. 6 Sir Pentire 45 Fav 1 Badgerswood 25 Tri 30 1-4-6 1-2-4-5-6-9 result 6/9/1 Sir pentire 243 Tri 236 R5. 12 The Moss Factor 35 Fav Nedrullah 35 Tri 30 (NO She lago) Ipswich R2. 7 Zellweger (scratched) R5. 4 darby 20 fav Vivid Miss 50 tri 30 (No Poetic Hieghts) R7. 7 ocherous 35 Fav 4 Star Giver 35 tri 30 (Brisbane Lions) Murray Bridge R2. 5 Rolled 20 Fav Blazing Jeune 50 Tri 30 ( No Zaruler) R4. 14 Phone 20 Fav Pure Dor 50 Tri 30 ( No suzie Mine) Pure D'or 100 R6. 2 Moet Now 35 fav Cant Tackle 35 Tri 30 (No Rustic Opal) R7. 13 Taos Aagin 35 fav Muduro 35 Tri 30 2-3-13 1-2-3-7-11-13 result 1/7/11 Maduro 122 tri 75 outlay today 1365 returns 1023 loss today of 342 Total bank 3800.50 [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-21 17:03 ] |
Mav, can you tell me where most of the profit has come from... your selections, the favourites, or the trifectas?
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Hi Sportznut
here are the rough figures 185 races 33 winners (my selections) 47 winners (Fav) Trifectas 67 My selections $8000 fav $5200 Tris $9000 Outlay for the trifectas is $5550 I never kept a record in the beginning on the distribution of points between my selection and the Fav (and yes i know i should of )but for a rough idea 12950 points have been outlayed between the two ..but of course the fav would of had the majority of these points.. So in summary the trifectas have been the most profitable.but it would be interesting to know exactly how much i outlayed on my selections.. I'll look back on the last few weeks so i got some sort of percenatge.. also in the beginning i was only targeting races with my selection..i then modified it to where i thought the Fav was the most likely danger.. Hope thats clear..i've never been much of a record keeper..so this thread really helps me out.. |
Wyong
R2. Don Que 35 fav 11 Viva madiba 35 Tri 30 2-5-11 2-3-5-10-11-14 Result 11/5/14 Viva 123 tri 84 R3. I'm Smitten 40 fav Sunset Express 30 Tri 30 (No Beau Dennis) R6. Agua Corriendo 35 fav Fellahen 35 Tri 30 (No watch yoour step) R7. 6 Wardsky (2nd) 45 Fav Auri 25 Tri 30 (No Macs Tune) R8. 3 Glossy Games (2nd) 35 Fav Our Sequalo 35 Tri 30 (No nannidot on top) Geelong R3. 11 belleveu Lady Fav 70 Tri 30 (No celtic Conquest) R6. 4 Modulated (scratched) Fav Noahs Pearl 70 Tri 30 2-3-5 1-2-3-5-9-14 result 5/3/2 noahs 350 Tri 100 Rocky R4. 2 Mr Chips scratched fav Fear the night (2nd) 70 Tri 30 (no silver sail in top) R6. 7 Day Off 50 fav 6 parting 20 Tri 30 1-6-7 1-2-3-4-6 result 6/1/2 parting 134 tri 39 R7. 5 Stream Gull 45 fav Booboo 25 tri 30 (no Exclaim on top) outlay today 900 returns 830 loss today 70 bank now 3730.50 [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-22 18:07 ] |
Selections
Brisbane R1. 7 Aerolito 20 Fav 12 Parameter 50 tri 30 7-12-14 3-5-7-8-12-14 result 12/14/3 12 parameteter 100 tri 84 R2. 6 Sha Alma 50 Fav 2 Exquisitely 20 tri 30 (No Conflicting) Sha Alma 821 R3. 4 Angel Fish (scratched) R4. 4 Craiglee Path 30 Fav 2 He wears the crown 40 Tri 30 (No Hit the road) R5. 7 Telegrande fav 70 tri (No Pittapaddy) R6. 11 Rauti's Warrior 35 Fav 3 Our Lyndon Boy 35 Tri 30 1-3-11 1-3-4-7-10-11 result 1/3/7 Tri 60 R7. 6 Amex 45 fav 1 Consular 25 Tri 30 1-3-6 1-3-4-5-6-9 result 1/3/7 consular 105 tri 84 R8. 7 dodging Fav 70 Tri 30 (No Shysu on top) Sydney R1. 1 Zinzin 40 Fav 2 Illonga magic 30 Tri 30 1-2-5 1-2-3-4-5-6 result 1/4/5 Zinzin 240 tri 26 R2. 5 tivolli dancer Fav 70 Tri 30 (No svenska) R3. 8 Mediator 40 Fav 6 Pentelikon 30 tri 30 1-6-8 1-4-5-6-8-9 result 8/6/5 Mediator 520 Tri 144 R4. 10 Sabre Knight 40 fav 6 Dissmisal 30 Tri 30 (No My charity star) Dissmisal 120 R5. 1 Casino Knight 70 fav tri 30 1-4-5 1-3-4-5-6-8 result 1/8/5 Casino Knight 182 tri 72 R6. 4 loisett 40 Fav 7 Wasimah 30 Tri 30 (No Zakynthos star ) R7. 6 Kingston Classic fav 70 tri 30 (NO institution) R8. 7 biagio 40 Fav east west success 30 Tri 30 (No turaga on top) Melbourne R1. 8 Strategic Madness 40 Fav Marie Madeline 30 Tri 30 4-5-8 4-5-6-7-8-11 result 8/7/11 Stratgic 360 tri 355 R2. 10 Penny Opera fav 70 (2nd) Tri 30 (No Saladare on top) R3. 2 hardy steele 40 fav 7 Vaincross 30 tri 30 (NO smoking barrel) R4. 10 Brindabella 50 Fav 3 princess diamond 20 Tri 30 (No red silk) R5. 4 Gladia 40 Fav 1 Super Elegant Tri 30 1-4-9 1-2-3-4-7-9 result 1/7/9 Super 102 tri 65 R6. 2 skewiff fav 70 tri 30 (No ashtaroth) R7. 6 umbula fav 70 tri 30 3-6 1-3-4-5-6-7-14 result 6/1/4 umbula 294 tri 165 R8. 4 Garner 40 (3rd) Fav 1 Jakodee 30 tri 30 (NO Spartiate on top) adelaide R1. 4 Ransom claim 20 Fav 2 Silent Action 50 tri 30 (no exalted ego) R2. 4 Ali gee (3rd) 45 fav 2 tarnpir lad 25 Tri 30 2-3-4 1-2-3-4-6-7 result 3/2/4 tri 114 R3. 3 Feather Duster fav 70 tri 30 Feather duster 280 tri 20 R4. 7 Red Astaire 45 Fav 2 Quite Easy 25 tri 30 (No Oxford dollar) R5. 7 Bintan (3rd) 30 Fav 1 tradesman choice 40 tri 30 1-4-7 1-4-5-7-11-12 result 1/5/7 Tradesman 120 tri 32 R6. 5 Golden whirl 40 fav Subella 30 tri 30 (no French elle) R7. 8 Cullens Bay 25 fav 1 Maybe Mclaren 45 tri 30 1-5-8 1-2-4-5-8-9 result 8/2/4 cullens Bay 115 tri 121 R8. 3 Mark Of Power Fav 70 tri 30 (No subtle irony) Gold Coast R5. 1 Carlita Miss fav 70 tri 30 1-2 1-2-4-5-6-8-10 result 1/6/10 carlita miss 322 tri 55 R7. 7 Uturn 35 fav 4 Show pokier 35 Tri 30 (no ventication) uturn 322 R8. 7 Cha Cha Damour 20 fav 4 potter 50 tri 30 4-7-12 3-4-7-10-12-13 result 4/7/10 potter 110 tri 110 Toowoomba R2. 7 Striking looks 35 fav friget 35 tri (no house of woodwind) R5. 4 Lincoln Rd 45 Fav Mighty crossing 25 tri 30 1-4-5 1-2-4-5-8-10 result 5/1/4 mighty crossing 105 tri 21 outlay today 3600 returns 5746 profit today 2146 bank now 5876.50 Great day :smile: [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-24 07:43 ] [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-24 20:20 ] |
You are doing a magnificent job picking winners tonight at Warwick and Caulfield.
Thanks. Glenn |
Thanks Avenger
a lucky day today with some nice priced winners..Today was a little test..on whether i needed to devote so much time to form study..last night i spent maybe 2 hours instead of my usual 2 days.. hey maybe ive been wasting my time.. good to see Consular get up as well :smile: |
You’re going great guns maverick1993 :wink:
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thanks Paddy...
only 2 selections today ..i only just got home.. Sunshine coast R7. 7 Crackerjacks hope 50 Fav 11 Maizcay Magic 20 Tri 30 5-7-11 4-5-6-7-10-11 result 11/5/6 Maizcay 106 Tri 88 R8. 4 miss alyta 35 Fav 2 Lion Queen 35 Tri 30 (NO stuckfast) Lion Queen 105 outlay today 200 returns 299 profit 99 bank now 5975.50 [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-25 17:56 ] |
Probably already stated somewhere in this thread maverick1993 but how is your fav determined and what source do you base your returns on? Thanks.
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Hi Goldenember,
I usually follow the market..but sometimes its a judgment call especially if their are 2 or sometimes 3 that are fluxiating.. I usually only bet in a race where i think the fav is the main danger to my selection. So even if this fav blows out alittle i still usually stick with it. Last Saturday for instance i backed full cards for a test to see whether i needed to do so much form study. in most of those races i backed the fav based on the market from Iasbet. All figures are based on iasbet markets and payout figures. the system seems to work even though if i went straight out say 100 to win on just my selections i would of been up 3500 on Saturday. But on Sunday i would of lost 200.. Saturday was a good day and i'm not kidding myself i can pull those sorts of winners regulary. so this system with the 2 safegaurds the Fav and the Tri suits me.Sort of gives me peice of mind. I still have my plunge race every Saturday where i bet Max 2000 and lately ive been on a huge roll with it ,,but i stick to my limit because i know theres the dreaded run of outs thats bound to come my way soon. i hope ive got enough put away for it. :wink: |
Do you intentionally go looking for a horse which isn't the favourite, or is that just the way it works out. What happens if your selection ends up being the favourite?
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Thanks maverick1993.
Just 1 more question. Your fav is fav at jump or some time before? |
Sometimes my selection is the Favourite like on saturday i selected Umbula ,Casino Knight
Feather Duster ect. I study a race and if i like a value runner i mark it. i then look at the likely Fav and if i think thats the main danger i bet. If the fav looks to good then i'll back it instead. Yesterday for instance Crackerjacks hope was about 25's but i also thought Maizcay Magic was the threat..Also in the next Lion Queen was always going to be the danger to Miss Alyta. Saturday was just a bit fun. Most of those races i had my selection and whoever was the market fav.. On Saturday at the Gold coast i had Carlita Miss as fav but it probably started on the third line..also Consular i thought would of been Fav but i'm pretty sure Tellem ended up shorter. The whole "bet if i like the Fav as the danger" thing as proven on Saturday is probably a whole waste of time. But as pointed out by Mr Ed sometimes Favs are favs for no other reason than say waterhouse is training it or Beadmans riding it..we've all heard of the Beadman factor.. |
just before jump if i haven't selected the fav prio.
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sportznut can you email me
mav1993@hotmail.com i want to ask you a couple of things Thanks [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-26 18:25 ] |
Your looking good Maverick,
I would like to see you go through this thread and work out exactly how much you have spent on your selection, favorites, and trifes (if your selection is the fave then include all money as your selection), then work out the return from the three. From here you can see if all three modes of betting are profitable and hence therefore neccessary. I can see that on a day to day basis having the three fallbacks can reduce your losses but on your good days they are also reducing your profits. If you go back and see you are running at a loss from the favourite (savers) why not scrap them. Just food for thought but it is widely understood that if you back favorites in every race you will end up losing and i cant help but think that if you are consistently using the fave to save this factor will occur in your system. You mentioned how long you spend studying the form and i would hate to see alot of that time wasted on savers that are unnecessary in the long run. But as i say you are going splendidly and you may find all three betting modes are neccessary, just having my two bobs worth. Cheers Ed |
Hi Mr ed
here are some rough figures My Selections 9600 return 11000 favourites 4700 return 5600 trifectas 7000 return 11000 The tifecta figures are acurate because i always bet 30 so that was easy With the My selction and fav figures these are from probabaly the 2ndweek in when i started to realise i should be keeping more acurate figures. I'm going to keep more acurate records form now on things and include The length of the races. How many runners. what sort of race as well. The favs seem to be doing ok . Maybe i should be saying the "more Fancied runner" than the favourite because in some races i'm not backing the actual market Fav... eg..On Saturday Tellem ran fav but unproven at the distance and with Consular and Deuixeme proven and in form that made no sense to me.. i probably filter out some of those favs so my strikerate is better. The trifectas is what has proven very succesful. any ideas you have Mr Ed is more than welcome..i''m still a novice at this stuff :smile: |
Selections Today
Echuca R1. 13 whitier Miss 25 Fav 1 Blixter 45 Tri 30 (no Correctional) Blixtar 105 R6. 1 Swan Hill 70 (Fav) tri 30 (no lord hatton on top) R3. 3 Go Bendigo fav 70 Tri 30 1-3 1-3-4-6-7-12-13 result 1/3/7 tri 150 R9. 11 No Tarnish 40 fav Loa Lani 30 tri 30 (no Easy Baby on top) Rocky R2. 1 regimental fav 70 (1st) Tri 30 Regimental 140 tri 15 R3. 1 Cha Cha Charlie Fav 70 (1st) tri 30 Cha Cha 130 tri 12 R4. 4 Capenelle 20 (1st) Fav 1 BooBoo 50 Tri 30 Capenelle 110 tri 11 R7. 11 Pamela Jane 35 Fav 3 Victory Siren 35 tri 30 3-5-11 2-3-5-6-8-11 result 3/5/11 Vicory Siren 105 Tri 113 Outlay today 800 returns 761 loss today 39 bank now 5936.50 The trifectas let me down today in Rocky getting all four but they all payed next to nothing..Also the Last in Echuca i changed the trifecta when Easy Baby blew out..and of course it won and would of been a nice trifecta. Pamela Jane would of been nice at juicy odds .. [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-27 18:14 ] [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-27 18:18 ] |
Selctections Today
Warrick Farm R1. 7 Sutton review 15 Fav 3 Canny Princess 55 tri 30 1-3-7 1-3-4-5-7-8 result 3/1/7 Tri 15 Canny princess 105 R2. 2 Micheal de Dragon (3rd) 40 Fav 3 Bellarouge 30 Tri 30 (no For Vallour) R4. 7 Nordic Emperor 35 Fav 6 wicked wizard 35 tri 30 6-7-9 1-4-5-6-7-9 result 9/1/7 tri 80 R6. 1 Evilina * fav 70 Tri 30 (no cellar edition on top ) R7. 9 King Fuji 35 Fav 4 Amish 35 Tri 30 1-4-9 1-4-9-5-6-11 result 1/4/9 tri 110 Sandown R1. 4 Tendue 35 Fav 3 Astrodame 35 tri 30 (no 5 Al wara on top) R3. 6 Moksha (2nd)35 Fav 1 evil master 35 tri 30 (no Belgrade) R4. 2 Roedean 50 Fav 7 Glenbawn 20 Tri 30 (No bella jinski ontop) R5. 8 Nicholas (3rd)45 Fav 9 paddy william 25 tri 30 (no berick atack) R6. 5 Zabexpress 40 fav 7 waitermu 30 Tri 30 (no Korcular) R7. 3 Hunter Hermitage 30 fav 2 double classic 40 tri 30 2-3-4 2-3-4-9-10-11 result 4/9/11 tri 200 eagle Farm R1. 15 Hip Hop Anonymous 35 Fav 3 partying 35 tri 30 4-3-15 4-3-15-1-2-12 result 4/1/3 tri 65 R2. 10 Son of Dane 2nd 35 Fav 2 splendid sails 35 tri 30 10-2-1 10-2-1-11-5-6 result 1/10/2 tri 170 R4. 11 Sighing 35 Fav 4 delago dumper 35 tri 30 (No Apian rule on top) R5. 2 desert Money 40 Fav 6 diamond bullet 30 tri 30 (No Miss Jones) R6. 8 Tax dodge 45 Fav 2 comon Knowledgs 25 tri 30 (no lielve) common knowledge 120 R7. 6 Dream'n Scheme 35 Fav 4 triple pe 35 Tri 30 (no mt gower on top) Balaklava R2. 3 Bromide 30 Fav 1 silk wind 40 tri 30 1-3-5 1-3-5-8-9-10 result 3/1/10 bromide 170 tri 160 R4. 6 Bellona 70 tri 30 6-4 6-4-2-3-8-11-7 result 6/2/7 tri 100 bellona 150 R5. 5 Tic Toc Tac fav 70 (2nd) tri 30 (no pageant night) R6. 5 BelDe Ferro fav 70 tri 30 1-4-5 1-4-5-2-7-8 result 1/6/4 tri 130 R7. 4 Spinning Eagle fav 70 tri 30 3-4 3-4-2-1-5-6-9 result spinning eagle 250 outlay 2200 returns 1825 loss today 375 only picked 3 winners out of 22 selections.. a shocking day..a couple of unlucky 2nds and missing some healthy tris by a wisker.. ont size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-28 12:02 ] [ This Message was edited by: Maverick1993 on 2004-07-28 17:24 ] |
Here's one for you - Northam R8 number 1 and it's got a good chance too.
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Selections today
Townsville R1. 3 Rockets of gold 40 Fav 1 Ror Harvest Tri 30 1-2-3 1-2-3-6-9-10 result 2/10/6 tri 615 R2. 7 Enduis 35 Fav 2 Koala 35 Tri 30 (no dartbrook king) koal 110 R4. 11 Gold tusmani 45 Fav 5 Luberon 25 Tri 30 (no unbridled love) R5. 10 Stormy Blue 45 Fav 6 Gazzam 25 Tri 30 10-6-3 10-6-3-1-9-4 result 10/3/6 stormy blue 470 tri 50 R7. 10 granton 50 fav 1 peaceful missile 20 Tri 30 (no Mulligan on top) Gosford R4 10 Wonder dane 20 fav 1 bryanca 50 tri 30 1-10-3 5-9-8-1-10-3 result 1/5/3 bryanca 135 tri 15 R7. 13 Yum Yum fav 70 tri 30 13-10 13-10-6-11-9-2-3 result 10/6/3 tri 440 R8. 9 Sri Khan 45 fav 1 catcher 25 tri 30 1-9-2 1-9-2-3-5-7 result 9/1/2 Sri Khan 900 tri 440 R10. 3 Catchadane fav 70 tri 30 (no sweet mustard) Cranborne R3. 4 Kingston Bird 70 Tri 30 4-14 4-14-7-6-9-11-1 result 4/14/7 kingston bird 220 tri 50 R5. 1 classic Benbara fav 70 tri 30 1-6 1-6-5-7-9-10-11 result 1/7/5 Benbarra 230 tri 20 R6. 4 Eye for an Eye fav 70 Tri 30 (no vulcan on top) R8. 8 Yik yak 50 fav 3 Turutga 20 Tri 30 (no wonderman) outlay today 1300 returns 3695 profit today 2395 bank now 7956.50 [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-29 18:32 ] [ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-07-29 18:34 ] |
mav,
Nice selection in GOSFORD NR8 Sri Khan came 1st paying 18.90/4.50 on unitab. |
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