hermes' QTAB system
 

The system, located at a, was created by hermes on 10/9/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Races of 14 or less runners only.
Rule 2: Country races weekdays preferred.
Rule 3: Good or fast tracks only.
Rule 4: Only consider TABs 2-3, 4-5 and 6-7. Don't replace scratchings.
Rule 5: Look at the QTAB rating of the favourite (or the runner you believe will start favourite at jump). Now search the TAB 2-7 range for two runners with ratings directly below the favourite. For example, if the fave is rated 100 look for 99, then 98, then 97 and so on.
Rule 6: Maximum of two selections.
Rule 7: If all runners 2-7 are rated above the favourite, no bet.

hermes comments: "This system is a direct spin-off from some recent posts, mainly that of Bhagwan. It works OK on paper.

"Often, where the favourite is not the highest rated runner, there is only one selection.

"I've tested this over 120-plus races for a profit on turnover of 7.8 per cent. Promising. What is interesting is that it works better than looking at runners rated better than the favourite.

"As a general observation, with these sort of systems you need filters that pull both ways - one up and one down. By only looking at TAB numbers two to seven you already have a filter that places you in the statistically rich band of starters. To add to this another filter that looks for quality (those rated above the favourite) won't do as well as one that filters out some quality (those rated below the favourite). Thus in Bhagwan's original post, he filtered out last start placegetters - ostensibly good runners. I think that is usually the right type of move - one filter up (only TAB numbers two to seven), one filter down (only last start failures)."

The staking plan he recommends is as per Bhagwan's sensational bad horse method. That is, if TAB number two or three, bet four units; if TAB number four or five, bet three units; if TAB number six or seven, bet two units.

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1566

The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1601, was created by ubetido on 15/9/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Only look at pre post favourite or equal favourites
Rule 2: Has to be 5/2 ($3.50) or more in the prepost.
Rule 3: Must have form figures of 11 or 21 at its last two starts.
Rule 4: Must have had at least four runs in this time in.
Rule 5: Must have run 21 days or less.
Rule 6: Distance must be within 250 metres up or down from last start.
Rule 7: Last run must have been on a city track.

ubetido comments: "Did some research with this and had some interesting results especially for the place longest run of outs was four if memory serves me correct.

"With all the wisdom in this forum a appropriate staking plan to maximise profit and minimise loss may be ideal.

"There it is quite simple check it out with your own research you may be able to improve on it."

The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1622, was created by Fryingpan on 19/9/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Count up in a race the total of horses with tabq rating of 94 or bette
Rule 2: Add one to this total to give the expected dividend.
Rule 3: Find amongst those which have 94 or better and came fifth or better last start which meet the dividend.
Rule 4: If the dividend is below the expected dividend then bet only if there is one selectable. Two is the maximum if at the expected dividend and bet on three horses only if the dividend is 50 per cent above the expected dividend, etc (give or take 50 cents).

Fryingpan comments: "This post follows on from Bhagwan's amazing crappy staking plan. It's based on ability and on distribution of ability in a given race.

"The overall result is finding value amongst distribution of ability."

Group system
 

The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1656, was developed by several members (form_pro, trench_digger, shy, Equine_Investor, TESSAROSSA, darkydog2002, croft, enjay and Bhagwan) between 26/9/2002 and 6/10/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Must be in the top five of win/place percentage.
Rule 2: Up 200 metres (maximum) on last start; down 0 metres on last start.
Rule 3: Must be paying at least $2 for the win with 15 minutes to race time.
Rule 4: Horse must have won once this preparation and must have not had a break of more than 30 days between runs.
Rule 5: Not going up more then three kilograms in weight from last start.
Rule 6: Wizard weight rating 91 to 100.
Rule 7: Wizard time rating 92 to 100.
Rule 8: Wizard field strength -20 to +1.5.
Rule 9: Jockey must have strike rate of 1 in 6 or better.
Rule 10: Within 2.5 lengths of winner last start.
Rule 11: Minimum of four starts in this preparation.
Rule 12: Age three, four or five years old.
Rule 13: Ran first, second or third last start; 1000-1600 within two lenghts; 1600-2000 within 3 lengths.
Rule 14: Must have the lettter R in its name.

1200-metre Race Plan
 

The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1760, was created by Bhagwan on 16/10/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: The race distance has to be exactly 1200 metres only
Rule 2: Must be a last start winner by 1.8 lengths or more
Rule 3: Barrier number two to 12 (inclusive).
Rule 4: Field size can be anything except 10, 11 or 12 starters.
Rule 5: 12 to 20 days since last start.
Rule 6: Must be 7/2 ($4.50) or over in newspaper pre-post market.

Place betting system
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1866
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 1/11/2002

Rule 1: Target the horses with TABQ (TAB Queensland) weight ratings of 100 points.
Rule 2: No bet if 2 or more 100-pointers in the same race.
Rule 3: Bet only in races with eight to 12 starters only.

Seven-Day Last-Start Crappers Plan
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1906
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 7/11/2002

Rule 1: Must have run fifth or worse last start in last seven days or less.
Rule 2: Must of run first or second at second last start.
Rule 3: TAB No. 1-8.
Rule 4: Distance change from last start must be between -350 and +150 metres.
Rule 5: Back all the final selections.

Last-Start Winner Plan
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1822
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 25/10/2002

Rule 1: Last start winner in last seven days.
Rule 2: Distance 1200 to 1600 metres.
Rule 3: Field size nine to 13 runners.
Rule 4: TAB numbers 5 to 12.

Ratings from prizemoney
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1821
Username: Equine_Investor
Date: 25/10/2002

Rule 1: You need the Sportsman (or similar) giving the total prizemoney for each race your horse has competed in.
Rule 2: You allocate prizemoney from that race on lengths from winner. [For example, if your runner won the race of $100,000 prizemoney you give him $100,000. If your runner ran third by 2.5 lengths, you give him $100,000 divided by 2.5 = $40,000. If your runner ran 8th 9.6 lengths behind the winner you allocate $100,000 divided by 9.6 = $10,417 (rounded up).]
Rule 3: You then add up all the prizemoney from every runner in today's race. You divide your runners total prizemoney (calculated by you) into the total of the field. Anything above this price is "overs".

Equine_Investor comments: "Play around with it, you may be surprised at some results etc.
"Any input positive or negative (constructive) welcome.
"Bear in mind it's the rough workings of a raving lunatic with too much time on his hands and there are other factors which should also be considered."

Races 5/6/7 Plan
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1978
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 20/11/2002

Rule 1: Operate on races five, six and seven only.
Rule 2: Must be priced between 7/1 ($8) and 11/1 ($12) in newspaper pre-post market.
Rule 3: Barriers 1 to 5.
Rule 4: TAB numbers 1 to 11.
Rule 5: Must have had one, two or three prior career starts.

Bhagwan comments: "We target race five, six and seven only because these are usually better quality races than the first half of the program plus its a simple way of minimising the number of bets on a given venue."

Hi Glenno,
Thanks for your input,

Rule 5 should read, career wins 1-3 only (as per original post) , not career starts .

The plan is still showing a profit after all this time suprisingly.

Cheers.

Thank you for the correction.

Thank you for an update on the system, considering it is been about three systems since the system was introduced.

That should have read "...it has been about three years since the system was introduced."

Fields of 5-8 Starters System
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=2021
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 1/12/2002

Rule 1: Field 5-8 runners only.
Rule 2: Distance 1100-3600 metres.
Rule 3: Finised ninth or worse last start (includes resumers).
Rule 4: Must have won or placed at track.
Rule 5: Must have won or placed at the distance.
Rule 6: If one or more selections, back them all at level stakes.

TAB Nos.1-4 System
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=2060
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 9/12/2002

Rule 1: Focus on TAB numbers 1-4 only. (Don't replace a number if there is a scratching.)
Rule 2: Field size after scratchings 7-14 only.
Rule 3: Barriers 1-3 only.
Rule 4: Pre-post (newspaper) market price $4.50-$12.
Rule 5: If one or more selections , back them all.

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=2260
Username: sentabool
Date: 28/2/2003

Rule 1: Must not be carrying any more than 58kg.
Rule 2: Must be ranked in the top 60% of runners when ranked by average prize money. (For example, in a ten-horse race, consider the top six runners.)
Rule 3: Ridden by a top jockey (a jockey is one with a strike rate on the jockey tables of 6.0 or less) or a jockey that have won on the horse before.
Rule 4: Won on track condition (if slow or heavy track is involved).
Rule 5: Last run within 30 days unless good fresh record.
Rule 6: Win percentage greater than 20%.

sentabool comments: "I don't necessarily use all of these filters for all methods - it's a bit of trial and error but generally they have served me well.

"Also what I tend to do is if a selection fails on the filters I don't discard it as a bet - just throw it into a "speculative" category with a largely reduced bet - sometimes only $1. Over time this allows you to continue to monitor the base selection method and the impact of the filters. I have trashed many selection methods using this approach (and saved lots in the process)."

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1335
Username: EquineInvestor
Date: 8/8/2002

Rule 1: Consider only the favourites in each race.
Rule 2: Must be in top 5 average prizemoney.
Rule 3: Must have wins in today's class or higher.
Rule 4: Must not have been beaten by more than 3 lengths last start.
Rule 5: Must have minimum of 40% place strike rate.
Rule 6: No jumps races, maiden races or wet tracks.

TAB Favorites Plan
 

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=2393
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 22/3/2003

Rule 1: Bets are placed one minute before the jump.
Rule 2: Back the TAB favourite that won its last start.
Rule 3: Must not have won three on end.

The staking plan recommended was that you divide the price of the second favourite into a fixed take out figure. That resulting figure is then placed onto the selected first favourite.

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=2689
Username: partypooper
Date: 17/5/2003 to 20/5/2003

Rule 1: Consider only pre-post favourites who are last-start winners.
Rule 2: Last race within 21 days (inclusive).
Rule 3: Must have run first, second or third in its second-last start.
Rule 4: Last run must have been on a metropolitan track on a Saturday.
Rule 5: Last run within 100 metres of today's distance.
Rule 6: Must have a Wizard weight rating of 91 to 100 inclusive.
Rule 7: Must have a Wizard time rating of 92 to 100 inclusive.
Rule 8: The Wizard field strength figure must be from -20 to +1.5 inclusive.
Rule 9: Delete all two-year-old races, jumps races and races for fillies and mares only.