OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

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- Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)

- - Unders and overs revisited (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=27440)

Gees some of you blokes make punting hard for yourselves.

Its a wonder you have time to put the bet on.

It's a sad day when I agree with darky.

Quote:

Originally Posted by beton

Now I am confused. I agree with your first part. You have 170% field and 4 don't start. So their chances are divided pro rata to the remainder. Their chances increase and their prices reduce.

The next part you reduce their 170% chances down to 118% chances. So for Tab#1, adjusted Prepost % 14.45%. By ( 118/170.65) 0.6914 =9.99% A 9.99% chance is $10. Or am I completely wrong. 170% going to 118% should be increasing in price.

Hahaa. Beton I'm not going to revisit the nuts&bolts of the past, but if the reason you started this thread was to say, "Adjust your Pre Post market for scratchings and overround", then I agree with you.

The only thing I don't like nowadays is the creation of synthetic pre posts by the online bookmakers and the admitted trait of individual sports editor's amending the pre post figures to suit their own agenda. All of this could steer a punter in a direction to suit the hype being created by write-ups and advertising.

Let me take you on a visual fantasy to another planet called Mars. The Mars Cup is coming up and Big Bucks the online bookie has assembled his staff for a Monday morning briefing. He tells them,

"I've got the inside info on the Cup and it's that gremlins A, B or C are the main chances. So get onto the press and push gremlin's D & E as favourites and get them to frame the Pre Post around them. In the meantime, I'll go on national Mars TV and tell the punters that if D or E come 1st or 2nd, I'll pay for the Win. That should get them in."

Hahaa, take that with a spoonful of laughter, it could never happen here, or could it....???

RCP, almost sounds like a word for word exerpt that a bookie who is regularly on TV now would have, goes by the name Dom Squatterhouse.

If you want a fun drinking game for the rest of this spring watch the coverage on free to air and skull a drink each race he says that hes 'Taking this one on' (referring to the favourite)

Quote:

Originally Posted by evajb001

If you want a fun drinking game for the rest of this spring watch the coverage on free to air and skull a drink each race he says that hes 'Taking this one on' (referring to the favourite)

Leading indicators eh. Don't you just love 'em? More fun than a nicely buttered slice of slap 'n tickle.

LG

Quote:

Originally Posted by evajb001

RCP, almost sounds like a word for word exerpt that a bookie who is regularly on TV now would have, goes by the name Dom Squatterhouse.

Probably a cousin of Big Bucks...??

Ah .Mark.
Your finally realizing that I,m not just a pretty face.

I,m sure that you will be avidly following the WF MC selections as usual.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rinconpaul

I'm the sly one over in the corner watching everyone eat. A kinda' purveyor of humanity and how they behave.

Yep - seen you standing over there for a bit now. You are diagonally opposite me so it's not that hard too spot you.

LG

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke

Yep - seen you standing over there for a bit now. You are diagonally opposite me so it's not that hard too spot you.

LG

Regular Secret Squirrel, hey...lol

I've taken you to Mars, the Restaurant and you've been to see the Golden Spiral, what more do you ask??

Quote:

Originally Posted by evajb001

And the other one " It'll be a disaster if Dobbin wins ".