Is Class The Defining Factor In The Selection Process
 

Punters..., just one other issue to be aware of in your final thoughts about backing certain horses/dogs/trotters. How many times have you intended to back a certain runner but been diverted away by some negative report or opinion from some "expert."
Regularly, the horse/dog/trotter, that you intended to support, duly salutes at generous odds leaving you cursing for having listened to someone elses opinion.
Take my advice....always follow your own opinion...sure..., listen to the "experts" for their opinion, but, believe in your own thoughts/ form study before investing your "hard-earned."
All the best.

Cheers.

what do you think
 

hey there xanadu,,,,,,,,,,i read with interest that gai said that its much harder to train a stayer to sprint than it is to train a sprinter to stay..

may be some thing to do with the future of dance hero ....food for thought when looking at early markets..................cheers ...gaz....

"staying sprinters": Dance Hero
 

Yea, Gai said to be aiming DH for the Cox Plate - now that would be a training feat to pull off. Right horse to test her throry of training sprinters to "stay" (though CP is a "short" 2040m - as we know a good miler can win it).

Is Class The Defining Factor In the Selection Process
 

Tomorrow, there are a number of "class" horses running. However,at this early stage in my form ananlysis, I have highlighted a number of actions in SR7 that warrant further scrutiny.
In my opinion, there are three "class" horses in this field....
No2 Newton's Ring(currently in very consistent form),
No5 Jovial
No13Men At Work
Not topliners by any means but "class" horses as indicated by their past performances, within their own class capabilities.
A race which I would normally probably not get too involved in except for a number of interesting occurrences:
i) Newton's Ring - G Boss exits as rider although finishing a close second at it's last start;
ii) Jovial - reasonable run last start(I was on it 1x5), apprentice K Fuji, replaced by senior rider, L Cassidy. Older style form students would note that Newton's Rings beat Jovial last start by a neck when they were carrying 56kg & 53 kg respectively. In tomorrow's race, there is only a 0.5kg difference in their weights(56kg & 55.5kg respectively). Presumably, at these weight differentials, Jovial should not be able to match Newton's Rings, however, there have been significant jockey changes and this may be the defining feature in this particular duel. Jockey ratings would suggest that the difference in previous riders, K Fuji-Cassidy(Jovial) -big difference & G Boss-Z Purton(Newton's Rings), relatively less difference, would negate this impact,
iii) Men At Work - a certain jockey, G Boss, relinquishing the ride on Newton's Rings to ride this fellow. My only reservation is the "second-up" syndrome.
So this race gives us some food for thought but these are very good indicators that certain horses are expected to put in respectable runs.
If interested, wager in the ratio of 1x5 and like any race there are no guarantees. However, we are wagering on fit, hard runners, some of whom may have a future. Also, let's not forget...there are a number of other well credentialled runners in this race.NB. the topweight has a 3kg boy onboard so is a "watch and see" proposition.
See how we go.

Cheers.

Is Class The Defining Factor In The Selection Process
 

Yes, gazman, we will have to wait and see if she can weave her magic in respect of this fellow. Let's face it, if anyone can she can.

Cheers.

Is Class The Defining Factor In The Selection Process
 

The race has now been run and won:
Newton's Rings ran OK but not up to the task,
Jovial, went out in front which is customary but unable to hold off the challengers, interesting to note that it had little support in the betting ring and set a solid pace for it's stablemate...hmmm,
Men At Work, went well and justified public support.

Cheers.

class is class
 

hey xanadu,,,,,,hope all is well......had to put my bets on friday lunch time as i went fishing for three days...........it was a great way to bet as there was no input from outside sources as you talked about in this thread,,,,i would be a great learning curve for anyone to do, and that is to make your mind up and dont be swayed by opions of people who dont invest as much time and money as most of us that bother to post on here as i think there is a wealth of information to found if you no were to look .....in the end xanadu i would be suprised if you did not back WORDS OF MAGIC as i thought he was a class above those he was against on saturday and was 12to1..go figure...
cheers.....gaz...

Is Class The Defining Factor In The Selection Process
 

Goodonya gazman, however, unfortunately, I did not secure that good-priced winner. As you will probably agree, there are more of them out there, even at country and provincial venues - we just have to look for them in a methodical way and block out any distractions.

Cheers.

Is Class The Defining Factor In The Selection process
 

In my initial form appraisal I have identified several "class" horses running tomorrow:
SR6 1 Dance Hero
" 2 Spark Of Life
" 3 Snippetson
It will be interesting to see whether Dance Hero "burns off" Spark of Life as he did last start. Spark Of Life should be better primed this start to take Dance Hero on. Snippetson has only had 7 starts and usually I wouldn't include him in my calculations however he impressed me last time and may be a potential Spring star.
SR8 2 Wild Queen
SR9 3 Mystery City*
SR9 5 Appalachian*, *these two have not had the prerequisite number of starts to usually interest me but I think they may be going places so I will monitor their progress. Also, Beadman has been engaged for the Waterhouse runner, so we will see what unfolds.
MR712Caprizzi Strip, the state of the track gives me some concern,

Cheers.

Xanadu, i think the only danger to Dance Hero is Carrie on Cutie, she was my pick for 2yo of the year, and gets in 10kg lighter then the boys. Dance Hero from the Missile, looks to have his rivals from that event covered and i would happily take the $2.10 if Carrie On was not engaged.