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-   -   Neural Ratings (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=11832)

Chinbok 23rd November 2005 08:29 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Do you count Ipswich as a metropolitan track??? If so, then R7-6 looks like a selection there tomorrow.

If not, then I guess these are the only selections for tomorrow:
Cant R2-5
Cant R6-2
Ascot R7-5

Is that right???
I class Ipswich as a provincial track.

I don't bet in Fillies only races so won't be on Cant R2-5. Ascot R7-5 and Cant R6-2 are qualifiers.

Sportz 23rd November 2005 08:32 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chinbok
I don't bet in Fillies only races so won't be on Cant R2-5.


It's scratched anyway.

Do you have any minimum or maximum number of starters?

Chinbok 23rd November 2005 09:08 AM

I don't actually use this system as I don't have the patience for a 20% SR. If I was I would use a field size of 5 to 16. Field sizes outside of this range have made a loss but there have only been < 10 races in total so probably too small a sample.

Spazattack 26th November 2005 06:52 AM

:)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dirk Gently
Getting back to the use of neurals, I've always put emphasis on the JT rating. How does it correlate to winners? I have generally ignored the timeform rating as it has a very high variance, particularly on weekdays but maybe I'm missing something. Cheers.

I am not a big fan of JT. JA is the best influence of JA, JT and TA.
TIM is as right as it is wrong.

Here are five neural settings to mess about with:

CP2, JA1, TA1, CRS2, DIS1, $2

CP3, CF1, JA3, TA1, DIS1

JA2, CRS2, $2

CP1, CF1, JA1, BP1, DIS1, $1

JA2, JT1, $1

The first mentioned setting is by far the most consistent I have ever come across. Plenty of winners in the top two or three, particularly in the bush.

The two settings which begin with JA, come up with some great winners from time to time.

However you use the neurals, there is still work to be done beyond coming up with a selection order.

For instance, take the top two from either setting (1) or (2). Of the top two selections, by taking the top mentioned runner from either of the JA settings,will improve the win strike rate.


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