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-   -   Maiden favorite system [revisited?] (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12292)

crash 12th January 2006 03:17 PM

Results today:

Cranbourne R2 Fav. win $1.40
Gosford R3 Fav. win $1.40
Penola R2 Fav. win $2.50
Tamworth R1 Fav. win $2.30

Outlay 9.5 return 7.6

Don't ya' just love these win prices ?

Can't see any $2.93 Fav. 'average' ever eventuating from backing Maiden Favorites Kenchar. Nor a '50% POT' either, regardless how you play them. You must be backing fields of 14 and above only and regularly potting the 'right' Fav. [?].

kenchar 12th January 2006 05:48 PM

Crash,

I am not just backing maidens, but the lower class midweek fields.
Last two days have been hard, with a small win yesterday and a loss today ( 2.6 units )
It.s now 15 days with 1 lose, but the stat figures that everyone seems to go by are still very good, but coming back to reality, S/R 43% POT 24% ave div $2.88. Longest run of outs 5.

I DO NOT back $1.4 favs

I actually got .8 up today and if I had gone the right way where I placed my bet I would have been over and out very early, like an idiot I went the tab and it crashed after the jump.

I'ts good enough for me as today was a real grind and if thats the worse I do with this method I will be a very happy camper.

I'm averaging 1.26 profit a day and if I can maintain that it will do me.

Cheers

crash 13th January 2006 03:18 AM

I wish I had backed Favorites only last Sunday on my little day out at The Bairnsdale Cup meeting, 7 out of 9 Fav. won. The bookies got a hiding from all the few times a year punters there. Smart ar.... me stupidly spent a lot of time doing the form and scoring 1 win and 4 2nds. backing anything but Favorites for the win !

Cheers, Crash

kenchar 19th January 2006 11:46 AM

A perfect race
 
Looking at the races today I saw the PERFECT race to bet on.

NZ5,

1/ MAIDEN

2/ SLOW TRACK

3/ 1600.metres

4/ FAV A FIRST STARTER

I gave them 1 and they gave me 2.8 back, finished for the day.:rolleyes:

crash 19th January 2006 06:12 PM

Well done Kenchar.

I have taken my eye of this system lately. I'll have to check it out tomorrow.
I never thought about NZ


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