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Still some good POT's there crash..... My Pop always said " You can't eat odds!" and "You never go hungry backing winners"......... |
Wellington has already gone to heavy and I just checked 'weatherzone' and it's rain all day there, so ignore the 2 Wellington bets for today. I just don't bother with heavy tracks getting heavier!
Hi Stix, As usual Granddads are never far off the mark, but place betting on all but shorties or the odd long-shot as a saver, is a dead duck. If a punter can cope with the inevitable outs, in the long run betting for the win is the way to go. |
Naturally, as soon as I advised to dump the place segment for tips here Murphy's law kicked in and any punter who kept to the 1x6 ew formula cleaned up today.
r4/2 Glogettum $3.80w $1.60p r6/2 All Pressure $3.20p r7/2 Tactical Jack $1.60p |
Rockhampton [good] Tues. 25th.
r4/1 Magic Soiree r5/6 St Spartica r8/3 Sacred Harmony |
Rockhampton
r4/1 Magic Soiree $3.20w $1.30p r5/6 St Spartica $7.20w $2.20p |
well done Crash ..very consistant tipping of late...i liked St Spartica aswell but was to scared of Bellogino ,,i couldnt split them and they dead heated..
wierd.. just out of curiosity how would you be going if you were going straight out 7 units for the win ?? |
Hi Mav,
You missed the top of this page as I am going win only now because ...well the reasons are above and on the previous page. Up to last Saturday [copy and paste from above]: ALL TOTAL WIN ONLY [7 units win only] w/ol 406 w/r 480.9 [68.7 x 7] w/pr 74.9 total profit, instead of 47.3 total profit betting 1x6 ew ratio. A big difference! I'm now back to betting straight win after the 1x6 experiment. What I would say in it's favour and from my records is that if SP is below $4, the 1x6 ew ratio is generally a good betting system [shorties]. Above $4 and the place odds mostly suck! So $2 to $3.80 and 1x6ew is good, above that just forget it as too many place punters target this area and kill the odds. The greater the SP above $4 the worse it gets. |
I still think e/w's are still an option Crash.....
Pheonix Express and Kantoshi Millions were examples for me last Saturday...Both rated high but in a crowded leader board..where as StepRightIn was at e/w odds but was a clear top rater so was backed for the win.. I think it all depends on how your ratings pan out....as a rule if my e/w comes up short i'd leave it alone... Your strikerate is fantastic.....do you take trifectas ect ?? i wonder if you took all your selections as banker then the field for 2nd and 3rd how you'd be doing.... |
I must admit mav. when it comes to exotics I am very much a novice. I learnt to punt from my grandfather and he was a win only man.
I understand basic exotics but not banker tri's. That's 1 x field x field isn't it? Wouldn't that cost an arm and a leg? How do you work out the cost for the field size? And what is this 'roving' banker I've heard of? How does that work and cost? I have seen some very good tri. pay-outs on some of my winner's races, but never really looked into it as a gamble option. |
Wednesday 26th.
Sandown hillside [slow 6] r2/5 Reichman r5/5 Itsechuca r7/6 Chouette r8/6 Sharipova Balaklava [good3] r5/7 Dekoda Gold r6/2 Miss Moneybox Eagle Farm [dead] r7/4 My Best Tycoon r8/2 Muscle Up |
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