Interseting system. Going over todays results it looks as though it cleaned up. By my quick look over results the figures were:

Out: 108
In: 161.7

Thats pretty good in my books!!

Monday was a loss

Out: 411
In: 395.6

The day was almost a complete disaster, only thing saving it was a big win of $86 in a race at alice springs. Otherwise the figures would have read

Out: 411
In: 222.4 :(

Don't let me die around these boards i might get dug up one day.

$65 hit at Sth Africa R3 Wed 7/5/08

Is this a system which you still use on a regular basis Bhagwan? If so, how has it feared in the long run?

Cheers
Paul

$86 shot Bendigo R2 Thur 8/5/08

I tend to cherry pick races with questionable class where anything could win.

Cheers.

Does anyone notice that the pre-post favourite listed in the daily newspaper hardly wins at all? Maybe 20% of the time.

It seems to me that it is best not to include those favourites when making a selection for each race.

Which newspaper Mr Q ?
I'm not sure that they are all the same, particularly for Sat. races where there may be a big difference from the early editions to what ends up Fav on the day

Hi Quaddie,
If you had lay bet the Pre-post fav listed on the on-line Racingandsports on Tues 6/5/08 & Wed 7/5/08 you would have been fried alive.

Its SR was approx 38%

Sunshine Coast for example hit 7 from 8 pre-post Favs.

What one will find with these, is that the wins tend to come in batches followed by a couple of bad batches.
The bad batches, run of outs is always longer than the run of wins.

One will find days where the SR is terrible , then there will be one or two days where they seem to get up every second race.
I have seen days where 8 in row get up followed by a loser then 9 more in a row get up.
The odds of that occurring mathematically is something like 10,000/1
but it does happen.

At the end of the year it always averages out to approx 30% rain hail or shine , one could call this a recurring factor, but it sure does not feel like it when one is betting on them to win or lay betting to fall over.
It tends to change day to day.
I have seen days where their SR is only 13% & other days 45%
This can make it very frustrating for a punter who chasses them.

If one is going to bet the Fav in each race , try & do some form study to try & weed out the false Favs.

Maybe target Favs that are going down in class.
This will increase ones SR but the average prices will tend to be shorter as well.

Cheers.


Cheers.

It depends entirely on which of them start favourite.
There are days where hardly any of the PP favourites end up being favourite and others, where they all start shorter and most of them win.

You can usually tell, just look at whether the second or third favourite has a more successful trainer and/or jockey.