OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - What do you look at in the "Form" to find a winner?

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- - What do you look at in the "Form" to find a winner? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=14771)

Quote:

Originally Posted by the mug

Hi Crash n others, and apologies if going a bit off topic
The above quote got me thinking, and have been meaning to ask this for a while. Now off the top I don’t do a lot of detailed form study (as I subscribe to a service) but I do still take an interest in it.

In the case of Saturday class open handicaps in Melbourne for example, an open handicap at Flemington has prizemoney of about $60k, while at the valley or sandown on a Saturday the same open handicap only has prize money of $45k.(roughly)
Do we make the assumption that the better money will entice better horses, and that you would take more of an interest at the Flemington race meets than the moonee valley meetings, just as an example??
Or is an open handicap always an open handicap irrespective of prize money? Any feedback/opinions appreciated.
Cheers
mug

The higher the money the better the horses overall. Just have a look at any form guide and average prize money of the runners. The average heads up with the prize money regadless of the class of race.

Does anyone here follow a black book stable approach for most of their serious bets and if so how do you find it compares to your [previous?] straight handicapping efforts?

Hi crash, i do write down a couple of horses a week for my black book, although i find they generally only perform best in the next run. If i follow them for a few runs, ill end up losing my money.

There goes NR with slight injury or doubt. The hat is off but 7 could represent the barrier which means I will go for M!!!

I also look for graduators.

There are lots of horses which perform well at the current class level, but they generally seem to be poor value.

I look for horses which have performed very well a class or two down and might be capable of graduating to the next level.
There apears to be better value in that area albeit a poorer strike rate.