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-   -   Calling Wesmip1 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=16683)

wesmip1 12th October 2007 02:40 PM

Quote:
One thing there that intriges me though, those stats are obviously for the next start, so what interests me is the NEXT start again, especially if it failed after the win,

Well that isn't as easy to test but

Quote:

and also if it's worth looking at the place with all of the above?

The results were pretty much in line with the win stats. For instance greater then 2 lengths gave a return of 95% as opposed to 94%.

For 5 lengths or higher the place results was a return of 99%.

Good Luck

wesmip1 12th October 2007 02:50 PM

Quote:
WESMIP.
I wonder if you could run me something?
The rule is it has to be TAB No 1.
And the other rule is it has to start at around $4 or over.
Thanks.


Ok just those two rules :

Selecitons: 24197
WIN ROT : 79%

Might be good for laying

ok I assume you may want last start winner on there as well:

Selecitons : 2315
WIN ROT : 83%

ok so I tried Winning Lengths > 1 :

Selecitons : 800
WIN ROT : 69%

Good Luck.

darkydog2002 12th October 2007 03:46 PM

In line with mine over 6 years hey WESMIP.

A dud .

Cheers.
darky

crash 12th October 2007 04:29 PM

Going on all the races [just the 2 rules]:

NZ
1/1.70p
2/2.20p
3/2p
4/1.60p
5/2.60p
6/2.70p
7/unp
8/unp
9/1.70p

peterpan 12th October 2007 04:43 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash

[I don't touch stakes, groups, cups or HEAVY GOING. No good at all].
I am slightly confused????????

crash 12th October 2007 05:24 PM

It was just a matter of interest [I did say, 'just the 2 rules'].

wesmip1 12th October 2007 07:53 PM

ok after further analysis I have no idea what the two rules are....

oh well... good luck to those who worked it out ... but I did come across something else I found interesting so thanks for sharing crash.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 12th October 2007 08:42 PM

Quote:
One thing there that intriges me though, those stats are obviously for the next start, so what interests me is the NEXT start again, especially if it failed after the win,

I just ran it and it was surprisingly bad for last start winners that failed next start. It was also bad for top radio selections and top unitab rating.

For instance last start winners that won by more than 2 lengths, priced at under 5/1 or under on their next start and failed had the following stats for their next run :

Selections:1904
Win ROT: 83%
Place ROT:89%

Hope that fulfills your interest.

Good Luck.

partypooper 12th October 2007 11:11 PM

Wes , once again thanks for all that effort, guess it's back on the trail, one of these days we'll strike gold ey?

Merriguy 13th October 2007 06:41 AM

Good challenge, Crash .... though methinks you are being rather selective in the venues you are giving the results for !!!


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