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-   -   Pengo's Corner (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17184)

pengo 31st January 2008 05:55 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
3rd

Next up: Ipswich Race 8, 2-RAINCOAT, Place.

Last bet of the day, then I'll be posting the bet summaries as it stands.


2nd

Should have gone the place as posted, ended up going E/W coz it was a standout compared to the rest of the odds.. Just lost..

pengo 31st January 2008 05:56 PM

Results for all systems so far.
 
System #1
Methodology: Latemail, no 1 tip for both tipsters (radiotab, track tipper; as listed at tabonline.com.au).

Sandown Race 2, 3-Yoobabe, 1st
Cheltenham Race 1, 1-Husson Lightning, 2nd
Cheltenham Race 3, 2-Foolish Lad, 1st
Cheltenham Race 4, 4-Tosstestaroan, 1st
Cheltenham Race 8, 3-Predestined, 1st
Doomben Race 2, 4-Eskimo Dan, 1st


System #2
Methodology: Late mail, radio tab no 1 pick, sp fav, $4 between 1st fav and 2nd fav win odds. Runners no more than 7.

Cranbourne R1: 8-PALOMA BELLA, 2nd
Cheltneham R1: 3-IMPERIUM, 1st


System #3
Methodology: Late mail, radio tab no 1 pick, sp fav, Runners no more than 8.

TAREE Race 2, 8 MILLIONDOLLARBABY, 1st
TAREE Race 3, 9-CHICKASAN*, 2nd
* after bet was made, it moved from SP fav to be 2nd fav.


System #4
Methodology: shortest priced horse and there is a decent gap (at least $3) between its odds and the rest of the field.

TAREE Race 4, 5-Total Recall, 2nd
GEELONG Race 4, 1-EL CAZADOR, 1st (10 lengths impressive, and after speaking to a mate this horse is a friend of a friends, wow.. might keep my eye on this one and get him to keep me posted on this horse).
TAREE Race 5, 2-SO THE CAT SAID, 1st
MT BARKER Race 1, 3 WEEKLY EXPRESS, DNP
TAREE Race 7, 5-PIMPALA GIFT, DNP
GEELONG Race 7, SWIFT GAMBLE, 2nd
IPSWICH Race 7, 10-SIR TELES, 3rd
IPSWICH Race 8, 2-RAINCOAT, 2nd
________________________________________
________________________________________
Systems Scoreboard (Winners, Places (2nd or 3rd), DNP (3rd in small fields else 4th+)
System 1: 5, 1, 0
System 2: 1, 1, 0
System 3: 1, 1, 0
System 4: 2, 4, 2
________________________________________

System 2 & 3 I will combine and tweak into a new system tomorrow to test, with it being as follows:

System #5
Late mail, radio tab no 1 pick, sp fav, Runners no more than 8.

pengo 31st January 2008 09:58 PM

System #5 v2

Late mail is radio tab first pick, showing pre post odds of 2.00-3.50 (final odds expected to be 1.5-3), field is no more than 12 runners, 3 yo+ and either a fillie, mayor or horse.

- Removed sp fav
+ Added odds
+ Increased runners from 8 to 12
+ Age has to be 3 years old or older
+ Has to be a fillie, horse or mare.


Tested it on today's results where a selection would have been made and it won 4 out of 5 times, dnp 1 out of 5. S/R 80%, need a larger sample tho.

Saying you got the lowest odds of $2.00 for a bet of 1 unit for a win, you would have finished with a profit of 3 units (returned 8 units). 60% ROI (I know I know small sample size!).

King Cugat 31st January 2008 10:52 PM

i reckon you should remove any bets on mayor's Pengo, its politically incorrect! & they'll damage your strike rate short term.

pengo 31st January 2008 11:02 PM

:) i meant mares damnit!

King Cugat 31st January 2008 11:04 PM

;)

lomaca 31st January 2008 11:06 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Cugat
;)


is you never sleeps?

King Cugat 31st January 2008 11:12 PM

Pengo, permission to talk to Lommy in your corner, please.

lommy, buddy!
too busy out collecting string.... ;)

Getting the mrs to knit me a scarf. At this rate we'll have enough for your dog too. $hitzyou wasnt it?

lomaca 31st January 2008 11:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Cugat
Pengo, permission to talk to Lommy in your corner, please.

lommy, buddy!
too busy out collecting string.... ;)

Getting the mrs to knit me a scarf. At this rate we'll have enough for your dog too. $hitzyou wasnt it?


aussie terrier as it happens, but 'ill rip your arm off mate, (or lick you to death)

King Cugat 31st January 2008 11:23 PM

mmmm ... the yappers. Had a neighbour with one of those. It dissappeared under weird circumstances a few days after we moved in. I remember because i was digging a vegie patch when the neighbour introduced himself to me with this query.


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