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- Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)

- - Simple place or win system (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17461)

crash

16th April 2008 03:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mancunian

Nice one Crash, going well for quite a while now - but can you clarify please - your last reply says "I just pick lowest weight runners at 2nd or 3rd start" but your original rules said "Must be 3rd or 4th up". Can we presume this was just a slip of the pen ..er ...finger as todays selections look like they are based on 3rd and 4th up
Keep it up.....Mancunian

Just a typo, I meant 3rd or 4th start.

jacfin

16th April 2008 06:22 PM

Slow tracks

Today on the slow tracks ( RK and DT ) there were 6 selns for a winner at 15.40 and three placegetters at 2.3, 4.1 and 8.3.

crash

17th April 2008 06:52 AM

The results all tracks where:

DEVONPORT [s]
6/7 [$8.30p]
DOOMBEN
5/7 x
6/13 x
7/12,13 x
KALGOORLIE
3/7,9 x
4/10 [$3.50w $1.50p]
5/10 x
7/12 x
RANDWICK-KENSING [s]
4/13,14 [4.50p]
6/10 [$15.40w $4.10p],11 x
7/12 x
SANDOWN-HILLSIDE
2/9 x
4/10 x
STRATHALBYN
7/6,7 x
8/8 x
9/7x

Taking out the slow tracks, a losing day. Maybe they should be left in [?]

Mancunian

17th April 2008 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crash

Taking out the slow tracks, a losing day. Maybe they should be left in [?]

Lightweights can have an advantage on Slow/Heavy tracks so how about including them IF they have been placed on slow or heavy tracks previously.

cheers ...mancunian

crash

17th April 2008 09:51 AM

I'll just note S or H meeting and throw the results in as above. I won't worry about prev. wins in H or S yet. [too many filters too soon] If the horses are running in those conditions. The trainers might know something we don't!

jacfin

17th April 2008 10:00 AM

Slow/ Heavy

I can't think of a logical reason to discard these tracks.
As Mancunian said min weighted horses may even be advantaged slightly.

jacfin

17th April 2008 03:16 PM

Onya Crash

I can count the number of double figure place bets that i have collected on in my life on two hands.
Today -- two in half an hour. Back Tracks is the longest price placegetter that I have ever backed.
Thanks Crash

crash

17th April 2008 03:44 PM

HAWKESBURY [s]
8/10 OUR CHINA PLATE [$12.70p]
ADELAIDE
R6 BACK TRACKS [$11.70p]

Both were over 50/1 however, so I'm not claiming them. If I'd have bet all horses over 50/1. I think the system would be in loss. However, for wet tracks I don't know.

I certainly think your on to something though re wet tracks and perhaps change the odds for the wet.

jacfin

17th April 2008 04:56 PM

Back Tracks

It paid 16.80 where I backed it and a couple of dollars more in NSW.
Unitab punters got way under the odds. It was only $34 SP with the bookie. Our China Plate at $81 was a genuine outsider.
I had decided to ignore the 50/1 rule but, based on what you say, I'll think about it some more.

crash

17th April 2008 05:09 PM

Point is I think your grabbing exceptions outside the rules. If you had bet all those exceptions since I started the system, you wouldn't be looking so good.

The wet tracks though, might apply. keep it up!

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