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michaelg 16th November 2008 08:46 AM

Instead of backing the selections today I'll check the method "on paper" only using the prices shown at the final trade. However, I'll lay them because in spite of 16 accidents from 17 races yesterday the Lay profit was approximately double than that produced using the Backing method.

Today's races
Donald R2 nos. 2, 4, 5, 9, 11
Donald R6 nos. 2, 4, 6, 8
Geelong R6 nos. 2, 6, 7, 8.

Not many qualifying races today, unfortunately the Tele does not provide a market for several venues.

Mancunian 16th November 2008 09:48 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
I
Not many qualifying races today, unfortunately the Tele does not provide a market for several venues.
R and S has a prepost market that although not usually close enough to SP to run a comprehensive staking system, it is certainly good enough and posted early enough to use for determining positions in the market order and a fair idea of what sort of dividend to expect. I use it for a couple of systems and find it OK.

Cheers.....Mancunian

michaelg 16th November 2008 10:18 AM

Thanks, Mancunian, but I've generally found the R & S market to be somewhat puzzling particualry from about the fourth favourite onwards.

However, I'll use their market for the venues the Tele omitted to provide. There are only two additional races, which are:

Penola R6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7
Bunbury R5 nos. 1, 5, 6, 8, 10.

As I currently don't have too much confidence in the the R & S market I won't be betting on these two races but I'll see how they go.

michaelg 16th November 2008 04:02 PM

There was one accident from the three races for a profit of 8.60 units.

There were two accidents from the two races using the R & S market for a profit of about 6 units.

michaelg 17th November 2008 10:53 AM

These are today's Lay selections:

Tamworth R4 nos. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7
Tamworth R5 nos. 1, 3, 6, 7
Tamworth R7 nos. 1, 5, 6, 9.

michaelg 17th November 2008 06:38 PM

From today's three races there was a profit of 3.40 units.

There have now been 6 races listed here for a profit of 12.00 units.

Bhagwan 17th November 2008 06:58 PM

Well done Michaelg.

Its certainly a different approach , I like it.

Looks interesting so far.

Cheers.

michaelg 17th November 2008 08:55 PM

Yes, so far so good. And if I had included the two races on Sunday using the R & S market then the total results would have been even better.

Hopefully its not just one of those golden periods most systems go through and then eventually slide downwards.

michaelg 18th November 2008 09:58 AM

Here are today's Lay selections:

Moe R1 nos. 1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8
Warwick Farm R1 nos. 1, 2, 3, 6
Warwick Farm R2 nos. 1, 4, 5, 7, 9
Warwick Farm R6 nos. 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9

weaver00 19th November 2008 05:26 AM

There is a considerable variation in favourites winning at different tracks. For instance at the Gold Coast favourites win 40% of the time whereas at Doomben they have a strike rate less than 25%.

Could you use this with your selections ? Favourites/course strike rates are available on the 'Racing and Sports' web page.

Robert


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