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-   -   Previous Two Starts Finish (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18473)

Luckyboy 15th June 2009 11:04 AM

I have been refining a system (with thanks to Stix data) over the past few months.

What I have found is that the statistic second last start, 1 to 4 is a good filter but enhanced when combined with the last start being 1 or 2. These two filters are only two of seven that I am looking at. Others include SP, win/place percentage, weight, barrier.

Presently, I am refining win and place percentage. It is a labour of love at the moment!


Cheers,
Luckyboy

Maurice 19th June 2009 08:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Last 3 starts adding up to 9 or less is and old tried and true formula [Spell or 0=10]. 4 and 5 yr. olds are good as they [mostly] haven't been flogged to death. Their SR often drops off after 5yr. due to niggling injuries etc., just like any older athlete thats been at it for awhile.
It has been around while, .... 0=10 ...but for a variant try a sliding scale depending on distance when it comes to spells, off the top of the head , min(max((dist-1000)/100,1),10) these days I find the spell isn't the bug bear it was when this was first thought up ........part of something.... just for fun.


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