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-   -   Maybe an alternative to "openers" (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18930)

Brendon 2nd June 2009 06:48 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Rather that trying to work out all the ins and outs of weight penalties, I'll stick to the KISS principal with weights. If a horse goes up more than 2kg I leave it alone.

I like the old saying: 'When one tries to grasp too much [info.], it's easy to end up with nothing'.
I like the old saying: learn and understand the game backwards. Then you will know when you can and can't break the rules.

I don't like applying the golden rule until I understand it. So, when it has a run of outs or something like that, I won't panic and discard it or jump to some new system only to find out 6 months later if I stayed with the original I would have been ahead.

Stix 2nd June 2009 08:25 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pauls123
Apart from those 2 factors, I would think another 3 "gold" factors with a mechanical type system would be winning last start; the days since it raced; and the win/place strike rate.

Paul
Place S/R is more imortant than win, days last race is handy............ age and sex are also very important.

lomaca 2nd June 2009 09:09 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
age and sex are also very important.
You ain't half wrong there Stix old chum!

I always avoid F&M races also.

Good luck

Brendon 2nd June 2009 09:34 PM

Golden Rule: Front runners rarely win the last at Caulfield. Its a swooper's paradise. The last FR I saw that won the last at Caulfield was Go Missy in Jan this year. She was the dominant runner but even then she needed stable mate Salute the Storm to sit just behind and outside wide to make it hard for anyone to go around and pinch the lead as she stacked and racked them. Lay them if they are in the last a Caulf.

Pauls123 4th June 2009 07:16 PM

"Place S/R is more imortant than win, days last race is handy....."

In relation to the Place S/R. If you were to use the top ranked place S/R in a selection/mechanical system, how many career starts would you insist on. To obviously avoid small number of starts inflating the S/R stats of course.

This question would also similarly apply to Average Prizemoney ranked stats also.

Paul


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