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-   -   Shooting from the Hip (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19354)

michaelg 1st October 2009 02:57 PM

Place2win,

I'm testing a Lay method but one of the rules is to eliminate last start winners.

Without this filter I would have had Ballarat R5 no.5 (Red Emperor) which was also one of your selections - unfortunately it won the race.

Have you thought of applying a similar rule, or maybe your records show it's worthwhile not to eliminate them?

place2win 1st October 2009 03:35 PM

Hi Michaelg,
Just in the early stages with this one, havn't wanted to have too many
Filters, don't like 'clogging'. However your suggestion has a lot of merit.
Will let you know if I include it. See how it goes for the rest of the month.
Regards
Shalor

place2win 1st October 2009 07:18 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by place2win
Lay them down all day (Max$7)
Ballarat
Race 1 No 2 French Secret..........matched $4.60 win .95unit
Race 2 No 9 Dinny.....................Not Matched
Race 3 No 10 Lady Gaga.............matched $3.95 win .95unit
Race 4 No 6 Undiscovered...........Not Matched
Race 5 No 5 Red Emperor............matched $3.90 Loss 2.9units
Race 6 No 13 No Vacancy...........matched $2.35 win.95unit
Race 7 No 2 Eightways...............matched $3.45 Loss 2.45units(actually thought this could win with one leg in the air)
Race 8 No 1 Elegance Dragon.......matched $3.10 Loss 2.1unit
(3x.95)-2.9-2.45-2.1= Loss 4.6units
Wyong
Race 1 No 2 Gladiator....................Not matched
Race 2 No 2 The Fangfsta..............matched $1.95 Loss .95unit
Race 3 No 5 Brazen Babe...............matched $3.35 win .94unit
Race 4 No 3 Regimental Hero..........matched $2.95 win .94unit
Race 5 No 4 Peace Academy..........matched $5.50 win .95unit
Race 6 No 2 Zamazeu...................matched $6.90 win .95unit
Race 7 No 1 Cagey.......................matched $2.20 loss 1.2unit
Race 8 No 2 I'm Ruthless...............matched $1.55 win .95unit
(5x.95)-.95-1.2 = Profit 2.6 units

Add*
Ipswich
Race 1 No 4 Looks Like Deano..............matched $2.00 win .95unit
Race 2 No 2 Drawn to Dubai................matched $5.10 Loss 4.1units
Race 3 No 10 Meddler........................matched $4.7 win .95unit
Race 4 No 1 Morsecodian...................matched $3.20 Loss 2.2units
Race 5 No 3 Boulders........................matched $2.22 Loss 1.22units
Race 6 No 4 Margaret.......................matched $2.20 win .95unit
Race 7 No 4 Kayowed.......................Not Matched
Race 8 No 1 Hawkeye Pierce..............matched $3.42 win .95unit
(4x.95)-4.1-2.2-1.22=Loss 3.72units
*Amended to include Ipswich

Regards
Shalor

Sumation -2.1+2.6-3.72 = Loss 3.22 units

place2win 4th October 2009 11:22 AM

Lay them down all Day (Max7)
Benalla
Race 3 No 4 Kegney
Race 4 No 1 Carelton
Race 6 No 2 Mystical Grey
Race 7 No 6 Sense of Sun
Race 10 No 13 Costa in the Glen

Bairnsdale
Race 3 No 4 Testas Double
Race 4 No 4 El Savino
Race 7 No 1 Biscay Steel

Muswellbrook
Race 1 No 1 Try to Please
Race 3 No 1 Brocaus
Race 4 No 10 Trimming

Launceston
Race 1 No 5 Uboa
Race 2 No 3 Just a Gee Gee
Race 4 No 1 Patfull

Sunshine Coast
Race 2 No 11 No Fear of Heights
Race 5 No 1 Alphonse

Regards
Shalor

place2win 4th October 2009 07:22 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by place2win
Lay them down all Day (Max7)
Benalla
Race 3 No 4 Kegney (Not Matched)
Race 4 No 1 Carelton (Matched $2.90) Loss 1.9units
Race 6 No 2 Mystical Grey(Matched $5.20) Loss 4.2units
Race 7 No 6 Sense of Sun(Not Matched)
Race 10 No 13 Costa in the Glen(Matched $3.20) Win .95unit
.95-6.1= Loss 5.6units
Bairnsdale
Race 3 No 4 Testas Double(matched $1.85) Loss .85unit
Race 4 No 4 El Savino(Matched $40Win .95 unit
Race 7 No 1 Biscay Steel(Not Matched)
.95-.85 = Profit .10unit
Muswellbrook
Race 1 No 1 Try to Please(Not Matched)
Race 3 No 1 Brocaus(matched $3.40) Win .95unit
Race 4 No 10 Trimming(Matched $4.30) Loss 3.30units
.95-3.30 = Loss 2.35units
Launceston
Race 1 No 5 Uboa(Matched $3.50) Win .95unit
Race 2 No 3 Just a Gee Gee(matched $3.40) Win .95unit
Race 4 No 1 Patfull(Not Matched)
+1.90 Profit
Sunshine Coast
Race 2 No 11 No Fear of Heights(Matched $3.60) Loss 2.6units
Race 5 No 1 Alphonse Scratched
Loss 2.6 units
Regards
Shalor

Sumation +2 - 10.55 = Loss 8.55 units
Definately needs some work

michaelg 5th October 2009 06:06 AM

Place2win,

According to the Telegraph all yesterday's accidents except one, were returning from a spell - something to look at?

place2win 5th October 2009 11:01 AM

Hi Michaelg,
Thanks, same info in the Herald Sun, however I made a 60/40 call
on those and really thought I would end up in front.
They were just all ready on the day.
Regards
Shalor

place2win 5th October 2009 12:12 PM

Lay them down all day (Max $4)***
Ballina
Race 2 No 5 Another Journey
Race 3 No 5 Milhousen
Race 4 No 1 Miss Windy Weepu
Race 6 No 13 Tegic
Race 7 No 14 Mymysherona
Race 8 No 8 Icedane
Race 9 No 7 Economist
Morphettville
Race 2 No 12 Music Cairbre
Race 8 No 3 Final Analysis

Regards
Shalor

place2win 5th October 2009 06:47 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by place2win
Lay them down all day (Max $4)***
Ballina
Race 2 No 5 Another Journey... Unplaced/Unmatched
Race 3 No 5 Milhousen...........3rd/Unmatched
Race 4 No 1 Miss Windy Weepu...1st/Unmatched
Race 6 No 13 Tegic...................Unplaced/Unmatched
Race 7 No 14 Mymysherona........Unplaced/Unmatched
Race 8 No 8 Icedane.................Unplaced/Unmatched
Race 9 No 7 Economist..............Unplaced/Unmatched
Morphettville
Race 2 No 12 Music Cairbre........Unplaced/Unmatched
Race 8 No 3 Final Analysis..........Unplaced/Matched $3.90 A WINNER!!!!!!!

Regards
Shalor
???????????

place2win 6th October 2009 12:43 PM

Lay them down all day (Max $7lay)
Townsville
Race 1 No 2 Hennesey Warning*amended


Regards
Shalor


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