OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   No.1 Place Rank System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19668)

partypooper 13th January 2010 01:16 AM

I just want to compliment Glen for all the work, the input and making it all available, thanks mate!

thorns 13th January 2010 08:42 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Thanks for your input Glen & thanks for creating such an interesting interactive site.
With the massive amount of technology , there are very few interactive sites out there for horse racing ,in the world .

There is one in the UK by Adrian Massey (Google) which is good.
But Glen's has the potential to be even better.

It takes a lot of work & expense to create such things.

The SP prices will make a huge difference once sorted.

Its only early days so far , with heaps of potential in its functionality & popularity.

I am amazed how fast it is , compared to say, GTX which is considered to be the Rolls Royce of data bases, & premo price.

I can see this site becoming very popular with many punters, because system creation can be quite addictive to a number of punting personalities.

Here's a quick Lay plan I invented using the site, just for the fun of it.
Remember, the fewer the rules , the better the chance of a system repeating itself in the future.
RULES
.Target races with 13+ runners
.Must be barrier 9 only.
.Must have run 4th-9th last start.
.Price 9.80 & less
.Bet .6% of bank, level stakes.

Result
2.5% Winners
82% LOT
We now Lay bet these.

This shows the potential to create some impressive lay results.

Well done again Glen.
I dont think those results are quite accurate. I ran that as well, and again entering the SP odds doesnt work properly. If you look in the results, there are horses which placed paying $7 plus, so am sure that they jumped at longer than $9.80.

I ran it through bet selector and these are the results I got from April 2008, saturday metro only:

WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR
Races Bet: 68 68 68 68 68 65
Races Won: 6 25 4 2 1 0
S.R./Race: 8.8% 36.8% 5.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Outlay($): 68.00 68.00 363.00 363.00 1590.00 5220.00
Return : 37.90 56.60 83.50 137.00 92.20 0.00
$ Profit : -30.10 -11.40 -279.50 -226.00 -1497.80 -5220.00
% P.O.T. : -44.3% -16.8% -77.0% -62.3% -94.2% -100.0%


Still shows a overall profit, however due to the low turnover, the last 9 months of 2009 were showing a positive POT.

thorns 13th January 2010 01:19 PM

All venues 7 days a week since April 2008

WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR
Races Bet: 717 717 717 716 717 681
Races Won: 102 282 126 66 37 16
S.R./Race: 14.2% 39.3% 17.6% 9.2% 5.2% 2.3%
Outlay($): 717.00 717.00 3791.00 3785.00 16400.00 52440.00
Return : 543.80 607.34 3567.30 3303.10 8509.60 34958.60
$ Profit : -173.20 -109.66 -223.70 -481.90 -7890.40 -17481.40
% P.O.T. : -24.2% -15.3% -5.9% -12.7% -48.1% -33.3%

Definitly something there. Should make a profit on betfair prices.

thorns 13th January 2010 01:30 PM

Interesting, it seems targeting the shorter ones seem better. It cuts a lot of the action out but here are the figures for SP $4 and less

WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR
Races Bet: 216 216 216 216 216 204
Races Won: 47 117 52 27 15 9
S.R./Race: 21.8% 54.2% 24.1% 12.5% 6.9% 4.4%
Outlay($): 216.00 216.00 1108.00 1108.00 4600.00 13800.00
Return : 136.80 177.04 877.60 766.00 3308.80 7934.80
$ Profit : -79.20 -38.96 -230.40 -342.00 -1291.20 -5865.20
% P.O.T. : -36.7% -18.0% -20.8% -30.9% -28.1% -42.5%

Glen 13th January 2010 09:32 PM

partypooper / Bhagwan

No problems guys. I'm just glad other people enjoy using it as much as i enjoy programming it.

Glen

Bhagwan 13th January 2010 11:15 PM

Thanks for those interesting figures Thorns.


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 11:34 AM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.