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-   -   Question for Darkydog (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=20065)

Bhagwan 7th April 2010 08:03 PM

Thanks Petstep.

I found it.

Mancunian 8th April 2010 02:21 PM

Had a bit of a look at this yesterday, luckily still on paper.

Ipsw - Out 700 Return 402.20
M'Bdge - Out 600 Return 721.90
Canb - Out 500 Return 227.00
------------------------------
Total - Out 1800 Return 1351.10

Out of 18 races only 11 winners were from IAS top 4 (and 3 of them returned a slight loss after dutching with S'Tab). I do believe this is well below the average s/rate for IAS, so maybe it was an unusual bad day.
Anyway I may cautiously just look at their strike rate for a while before getting too excited.
And maybe match with WI6 and the ProPun free ratings for Saturdays at least.
Cheers....Mancunian

thorns 8th April 2010 02:29 PM

I am currently looking at a method with the top 4 and yes I think yesterday was a low SR day. The way I am doing it is only betting races where one or more of my lay selections is in the top 4, in a way to remove some of the selections to bet. So far so good from Monday to Wednesday, and currently sitting up around 10 units so far today.

partypooper 10th April 2010 04:34 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by enjay
If you want tomorrows prepost tonight (Most newspapers) go to

http://www.**************.com.au/ and click on formguides.

Cheers.
Enjay


Thanks for the pointer there enjay, most helpful, of course there can be a difference in the actual pre post quotes so most important that one always uses the same source!

Mancunian 11th April 2010 09:52 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
Anyway I may cautiously just look at their strike rate for a while before getting too excited.
And maybe match with WI6 and the ProPun free ratings for Saturdays at least.
Cheers....Mancunian

For the record : From metro racings (including Ascot) for Sat 10 Apr
Winners ranking positions from IAS was 27 winners from 41 races = 65.8%.
(from WI6 was 21 from 41 = 51.2% - but WI6 had 11 top raters win as opposed to IAS only had 7 top raters won).
Cheers....Mancunian

Mancunian 11th April 2010 11:28 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
For the record : From metro racings (including Ascot) for Sat 10 Apr
Winners ranking positions from IAS was 27 winners from 41 races = 65.8%.
(from WI6 was 21 from 41 = 51.2%

Should have read "from top 4 ranking positions) sorry

partypooper 11th April 2010 11:37 AM

The difference must be when you only bet when the fixed price (from anywhere) is at least 20% greater than the opening quote (top 4) in theory you have to win long term........... (er, don't you?)

darkydog2002 11th April 2010 12:55 PM

Yep.
darky

lomaca 11th April 2010 02:37 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
For the record : From metro racings (including Ascot) for Sat 10 Apr
Winners ranking positions from IAS was 27 winners from 41 races = 65.8%.
(from WI6 was 21 from 41 = 51.2% - but WI6 had 11 top raters win as opposed to IAS only had 7 top raters won).
Cheers....Mancunian
Hi,
have you got the return on that strike rate?
Because the actual first four in the market have a much higher strike rate.
Just interested.
Thanks

Mancunian 11th April 2010 05:44 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Hi,
have you got the return on that strike rate?
Because the actual first four in the market have a much higher strike rate.
Just interested.
Thanks


on level stakes win bets - using S'Tab divs
IAS rankings - outlay (41 races x $1) = $164- return $122.30
WI6 rankings - outlay $164 - return $119.90.


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