Nice idea Midas,

I might tweak this one a little bit and see how it goes.

Thank you for posting!

The Schmile

Thanks TheSchmile any suggestions appreciated.
To increase selections maybe any odds on winner (winning form is good form) which complies with the condions.
I've been following my original post for a couple of months -not a lot of selections but looks promising and the main object is to find winners.
Luck to all
MIDAS

Hi Midas,

I was thinking of using a refined, 'retirement' type of staking plan over 4 runs instead of 3.

Plan of attack being:

1/ Horse starts at $1.60 or below and has 25% win strike or better. (your original idea)

2/ Next start (first bet) = 1 unit

3/ If it loses, set a divisor to whatever the horses price is pre post or fixed odds.
So if it's paying $4 (3/1) pre post, divisor = 3
Equation 3 + 1 = 4 / 3 (divisor) this bet = 1.33

4/ Horse loses again, this run it's paying $5 pre post (4/1), divisor = 4
Equation 4 + 1 + 1.33 = 6.33 / 4 (divisor) next bet = 1.5825

Continue loss recovery for 4 bets.

The thinking being to back them relative to their market chance of winning, should be more accurate than a rigid 1,2,3 or 1,2,3,4 staking plan.

What do you think? Let me know.

The Schmile

Reply to The Schmile Hi

I have records of a win selection system based on last start odds on plus a few filters with a good strike rate for 23 months.
Recently I had a brain wave and checked the results of the winning horses under this system for the next 5 runs 1,2,3,4,5 units. I found it was more profitable to follow for only 3 runs not the five, also three runs 1,2,3 units until win - 45% POT. However 3 runs at 2,3,4 units increased POT to 77%.
I am no mathamatician but maybe the set bets could give you more return on the larger priced winners which is the cream of most methods.
Of course those results apply only to my particular method and in any case may not continue into the future but again it is something to consider.
Good luck with your experiments
Midas

More proof that picking a "stable" with sound rules and following the horse for a short period, has credibility. Thanks midas.

Nice insight Midas,

It's always best to stick with what you're comfortable with and if you can achieve figures such as this, maybe the 1,2,3 or 2,3,4 is the way to go for you.

Regardless, it seems like a really sound idea in principle.

Thanks again for sharing!

The Schmile