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OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Questioning the Don Scott approach (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21134)

wesmip1 11th March 2011 09:11 PM
TAB's now have lots of ratings sitting in there on th boards which means even the avg punter has some idea of which horse should be a good prospect.

There are less of the mindless punters out there that would bet their fav jockey, trainer, etc.

The avg punter is more educated these days so you need to be even more educated in order to beat them.

marksto2 12th March 2011 02:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Ran Lucky 7 approach through Online System Builder

RULES
No.7 only
1-9 runners.
All prices

RESULT
7% SR
-42% LOT

Even targeting races with 7 runners & less had a terrible
SR of 8% & -45% LOT which tells you that throwing a dart in such field would produce 14%SR

On the positive side , it makes for a brilliant Lay plan.
Betting 1/15th of Bank
Betting Fixed Liability.

LAY plan rules
Targeting No.7 in races with 1-9 runners , keeps the Lay price nice & low.
Lay bet the lot on Betfair at .5% of bank, for a profit of approx 20%+ POT


Hi Bhagwan,

I really think some of your posts and ideas are fantastic. Out of interest in regards to the LAY plan rules above.

How many races was this tested on? Should you set a maximum price liability of say $10?

Please let us know and thanks!

Bhagwan 12th March 2011 11:00 PM
Thanks for the kind words Mark.

You know you can test all this yourself using
Online System Builder (Free to join)

Results for
TAB No.7
Runners 1-9

Price 1.00-9.90
428 selections
15% SR
-26% LOT

Using price...
1.00-20.00
705 selections
11% SR
-32% LOT

Using price ...
7.50-20.00
403 selections
5% SR
-40% LOT

All over 2.5 yrs.
Sat Metro only

marksto2 13th March 2011 11:17 AM
Thank you for sharing this. Whats interesting is this site now says registrations disabled!

I would suggest this method may work just as well midweek aswell.

Ideally it would be good to find the selections each day and then just put the lay bets on SP at a liability limit and maximum odds.

Not sure what the profit would be in the above case given it's not flat stake.

Cheers again,

Bhagwan 14th March 2011 03:31 AM
They are currently changing servers & will be operational as normal in several days, according to their site news.
Registration will be free.

Ricardo48 14th March 2011 08:42 AM
I emailed the owner of the online system builder the other day and was told he was closing the site down?

stugots 14th March 2011 10:49 AM
yeh there was a post by the owner on here somewhere stating it would be closed down due to lack of interest etc

The Ocho 14th March 2011 10:56 AM
Yeah, it's under the thread called on line system builder (funnily enough :) )

http://www.propun.com.au/racing_for...ead.php?t=21149

marksto2 14th March 2011 05:52 PM
That's a shame because I thought there would have been great interest.

darkydog2002 14th March 2011 06:00 PM
Did they ever advertise it nationally.?

I ask as I only heard about it here.
Cheers
darky


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