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-   -   Okay I have had enough (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=22151)

max 27th July 2011 02:05 PM

I know what an Overlay is but what I could never work out was what to compare to what?

Morning Published Price in Papers versus Prices 5mins before jump?
Own ratings versus TAB morning odds?

What is compared to what?

I did find some reference to TAB Prices versus HRT Prices but what time of the day am I to check the TAB Prices and what the heck are HRT Prices?

max 27th July 2011 02:07 PM

Shaun

Race 5 was 11,5,9
Race 6 was 1,5,7

Nice.

So if you take the top rating races for the day including all tracks, where do you drawn the line? The top 4 races of the day? The top race from each meet? Any races above a certain prize money?

Shaun 27th July 2011 02:20 PM

My personal liking is to take the best races of the day over all tracks, this can be difficult at times due to lower price values in each state but the way i look at it, if you have to similar class of race in each state you will still have the best class of runner for that state in that race.

Saturday races i go no lower than Open class and midweek is 70 rated, these are just guidelines i like to work with and it helps to cut down on the number of races you bet in, no more than 6 races a day, to be honest i should have just stuck with race 3 even though it is the same value as the other races i chose it was still the only Open class race on today, apart from 2yo races but i don't bet in those as i like the form to be visible.

Shaun 27th July 2011 02:24 PM

Race 7

2=7
9=7
6=4
4=1

max 27th July 2011 02:31 PM

Gottcha!

Very very interesting. Thanks Shaun.

Shaun 27th July 2011 02:34 PM

The stuff i posted about Unitab i won't say it is the best option but there ratings are very good and just as good as any around, the way you select your races and runners is always up to you but i feel limited amount of races is better that trying to beat the card.

max 27th July 2011 02:43 PM

2,8,9 Shaun well done again.

Shaun 27th July 2011 02:46 PM

Not a bad day, my own personal ratings were very similar to the ones i posted and these are the prices i got

$2.40
$3.20
$3.80
Outlay 8 Units
Return 9.4 Units
Profit 1.4 Units
POT 17.5%

That is a nice profit backing 2 horses a race.

moeee 27th July 2011 02:47 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by max
I know what an Overlay is but what I could never work out was what to compare to what?



This statement suggests you do not know what an Overlay is.

If you are not prepared to find out exactly what it is, then you are doomed to continue feeding them that do.

Overlays are Prices that you can obtain , that are higher than what you have reasonably accurately calculated that they should be.

IT REQUIRES HARDWORK!!!

max 27th July 2011 02:55 PM

Quote:
you have reasonably accurately calculated that they should be.

This is what I mean. How long is a piece of string?


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