[QUOTE=UselessBettor]Its well researched. The evidence shows (espeically with bookies and the tab's) that the favourites are underbet(more value) and the longshots are overbet (less value).

Vey interesting and thank You. It is the opposite of what I had been basing my criteria on.

Star

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Favourite-longshot_bias

That gives a very quick rundown and a link to a few papers. Just google "fav long shot bias" and you will find lots of academic papers on it.

Thanks for that link UB. It has blown my stratergy right out of the water. Sometimes ignorance is bliss.

Maybe now I can put some distance between me and the soup kitchen and can book into the Ritz.

Star