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-   -   LSW 7 Days (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=24916)

Barny 5th September 2012 08:05 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
How is this related to the thread title?
How is it of any significance to anything on this Forum?

Given that I'm the leading poster on this forum and attract a huge following, my well being is of paramount importance to the general excellence of the of the threads here ..... moeee. The Lamb burger tipped me into the realms of mediocrity, a place reserved for ..... well ..... you know who !? It's not where I belong moeee ?!

darkydog2002 5th September 2012 08:31 PM

Well said Barn and with my constant advertising of you as the very best the sky really is the limit for you isn,t it.
Is that you moving into the UK horse racing industry?
Cheers
darky

mattio 5th September 2012 08:36 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by ianian
MUST HAVE WON OVER COURSE

MUST BE BEATEN FAV LAST START

SAT METRO B,M,S ONLY

$8 OR LESS

THIS IS SUPPOSED TO HAVE WORKED FOR 5 YEARS FOR THE WIN

HAVE ONLY FOLLOWED FOR THE LAST FEW MONTHS

PLACE SEEMS REALLY GOOD BUT STILL IN FRONT FOR THE WIN AS WELL

WONDER IF SOMEONE CAN RUN FOR A TEST FOR ME

WIN AND PLACE ONLY ABOUT 2 BETS A WEEK ALL WEATHER

BEATEN FAV STRIKE RATE IS ABOUT 17% AT ALL ODDS, THIS IS ALL I KNOW
I ran a test back to 2008 and found an 11% LOT on over 900 win selections and a 4% LOT for the place. I'll see if I can find any filters make it profitable.

Mat.

ianian 5th September 2012 08:50 PM

THANKS
 
THANKS MATTIO THE ONY OTHER THING WAS T/D DID NOT SEEM TO WORK ONLY COURSE.THE ONLY OTHER THINGS I CAN THINK OF IS WEIGHT DROP OF NO MORE THAN -.5KG TO HELP CLASS THEM OR MUST BE GOING UP IN DISTANCE BY 100m OR MORE -I THINK PLACE STRIKE RATE OF 60% OR MORE AS THE PLACE IS CLOSE AND I LIKE THAT.BUT DUE TO SO FEW BETS I DONT KNOW.

ianian 5th September 2012 08:58 PM

MORE
 
THE OTHER THING WAS THE PERSON WHO PAST IT ON WAS BETTING USING- BOB- MAY BE THIS MAKES A DIFFRENCE -BEST OF THE BEST- TF AND THREE TOTES.

mattio 5th September 2012 09:49 PM

Sydney and Melbourne are duds mate, Bris shows a profit and I am now testing Adelaide and Perth.

gunny72 5th September 2012 09:56 PM

Include a rule that no more than 5 runs from a spell.

mattio 6th September 2012 10:37 AM

Hi ianian,

With a few changes to venue and some race and horse filters I have come up with the following:

Selections - 297
Winners - 98
Return - 399
S/R - 33%
POT - 34%

Longest run of outs in the test period (1/1/2008-31/8/2012) was 9 and the system shows a 7% POT on place bets as I think its a big positive if a system shows a place profit. There won't be a lot of action but to me it looks like a system that could be worth forward testing.

Would you like me to email you the full rules or are you happy for me to post them here?

Cheers,

Mat.

ianian 6th September 2012 01:24 PM

Happy
 
Happy for you to post them here as i have got a lot from the people who have posted here.

mattio 6th September 2012 02:41 PM

Ok mate, here is the system rules for you:

Saturday Metro Bris, Adel, Perth
Beaten Favourite Last Start
Won At the Course
Price $2-$8 - no odds on
Metro Run Last Start
Tab Number 1-8
Race Distance - 1600+
Exclude All Races With First Up Horses (obviously there are no bets on first up horses)
Exclude All Fillies/Mares/Fillies & Mares Races

These filters are pretty straight forward and should allow for repeatable results but it would be a good idea to test for a while, good luck with it.

Cheers,

Mat.


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