I suggest following Ocho's advice as 10% is way too high. I am not sure what your strike rate is but I win most of the races I bet in. Yet I still wouldn't go anywhere near 10%.
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I havent experienced long losing runs yet
But I see why 10% may be too high |
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Its not the losing run that causes the problem. Its the multiple losing runs. W W W W W L L W L L W L L W L L W L L L Ths sequence wins 9 from 20 which is 40% which is high yet the losing runs with only 1 win in between add up. They went 4 from 15 in that period and 10% staking and you are wiped out. |
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10% wasn't my advice at all, UB. I was merely following on from FH's post about betting 10%. |
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That depends how much he wins on the winning bets. |
I should mention I do place betting mainly so strike rate is higher
Win bets yes 10% is way high |
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I meant you gave advice that 10% is too high. I didn't mean you said to use 10%. Quote:
True I was assuming high strike rate therefore I assumed prices were low (fav). Quote:
Even for place betting it is way too high. My max for anything is 2%. |
The place strategy i'm betting which hits about 60-70% of the time I'm only betting 1.6% of bank and thats based on the maths Paul outlined in my thread and having a desire to have a max drawdown of 40%.
So for 10% of bank to be viable you'd have to be hitting a strike rate of probably 90%+ whilst being profitable and still be comfortable with a drawdown of 50% or more (rough guess) |
ok I'm getting the picture..
better pull my head outa my @#$e and get back to it thanks guys much appreciated, need this reality check sometimes |
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