would also give consideration fav 3rd up

8 or less runners.

Fav @the jump.

What you sometimes find is although the favourites get up in smaller fields more regularly, the average dividend is a lot less making the overall profit is the same.

I am now looking at laying favs for the place if under 1.40

Good luck, its ************ hard work trying to get them to show a profit, I cant get the penny to drop here. I can break even but just cant get them onto the good side. Like everything, you have a nice run of lay wins, then a string of 20 odd get up and burst your bubble taking any profit along with it.


Definitely not impossible, and i'll be envious if you can crack the code!
Have spent far to many hours trying myself.

Surely not thorns. You already have the code.

Yes good point, I guess I should have said, standing individually to turn a profit is hard work.

If i could get my hands on some reliable betfair data i could better back test it, using Tab prices isn't the same even in the place market.

Reliable is the key word here Shaun. For some reason betfair data contains prices for horses that were scratched, and not just late scratchings way too often.

There is a problem with using Betfair prices. The SP doesn't usually match the price that the horse was actually bet at ..... it's simply the 'last price matched'. If you look under the LHS tab on Betfair you can see the span of matching.