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BettyBoop 23rd January 2004 01:36 PM

Chrome Prince, are you suggesting boxes 1,2,7,& 8 or where the favourite has an empty box next to it as a race to include or exclude. :???:


Sandgroper 23rd January 2004 02:04 PM

I would be including races where the favourite is in box 1,2,7,& 8 or where the favourite has an empty box next to it and I think that is what Chrome Prince has suggested, BB.

_________________
All the best from the West

Sandgroper :smile:

[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2004-01-23 15:04 ]

crash 23rd January 2004 02:12 PM



Not wishing to point out the obvious, but why limit this to favorites [or to the dogs for that matter ]? The same logic can be applied to No. 1 box or 2nd. fav. or No.2/7/8 boxes or whatever else that regularly gets up every meeting. It might be anything at any type of meeting.

For races just backing fav., 2nd, fav. or even No. 1 barrier using the same stop/progression method etc.
A second fav. not saluting is probably even less likely than a fav. not doing so. Less to worry about as far as pools or getting on goes.

Just thought I would try to broaden the method beyond looking at the fav. only without anything specific in mind, but just a few general examples that also throws in the possibility of stopping on a great price.

Cheers.



[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-01-23 15:35 ]

Chrome Prince 23rd January 2004 03:39 PM

Quote:
On 2004-01-23 14:36, BettyBoop wrote:
Chrome Prince, are you suggesting boxes 1,2,7,& 8 or where the favourite has an empty box next to it as a race to include or exclude. :???:


Include these Betty, the theory being that you want the favourite to stay out of as much trouble as possible and get a clear run.
Of course this is a perfect scenario, and without studying video, you really don't know if it's a fast, medium ot slow beginner.
If you had this info, you'd nail it!

kenchar 23rd January 2004 04:25 PM

What about when dogs used to race with monkeys strapped to their back over hurdles.

Pick a winner there :roll:

Paddy 23rd January 2004 04:31 PM

Not one of my best, but very close to appropriate :smile:


A wealthy man decided to go on a safari in Africa. He took his faithful pet dog along for company. One day the dog starts chasing butterflies and before long he discovers that he is lost. So, wandering about he notices a leopard heading rapidly in his direction with the obvious intention of having lunch. The dog thinks, "Boyo, I'm in deep doo doo now." (He was an Irish setter) :wink:

Then he noticed some bones on the ground close by, and immediately settles down to chew on the bones with his back to the approaching cat. Just as the leopard is about to leap, the dog exclaims loudly, "Man, that was one delicious leopard. I wonder if there are any more around here?" Hearing this the leopard halts his attack in mid stride, as a look of terror comes over him, and slinks away into the trees. "Whew", says the leopard. "That was close. That dog nearly had me."

Meanwhile, a monkey who had been watching the whole scene from a nearby tree, figures he can put this knowledge to good use and trade it for protection from the leopard. So, off he goes. But the dog saw him heading after the leopard with great speed, and figured that something must be up.

The monkey soon catches up with the leopard, spills the beans and strikes a deal for himself with the leopard. The cat is furious at being made a fool of and says, "Here monkey, hop on my back and see what's going to happen to that conniving canine."

Now the dog sees the leopard coming with the monkey on his back, and thinks," What am I going to do now?" But instead of running, the dog sits down with his back to his attackers pretending he hasn't seen them yet.

And just when they get close enough to hear, the dog says, "Where's that monkey. I just can never trust him. I sent him off half an hour ago to bring me another leopard, and he's still not back!!"

:lol:


Chrome Prince 24th January 2004 10:45 AM

Let's use the amended rules on yesterday's results:

No Maiden events
Favourite at 0 min
Boxes 1,2,7, or 8
Or empty box beside favourite.

SINGLETON

R2 Mint Solo -
R6 Amy Star -
LOSS

CRANBOURNE

R4 Nadey Bear $3.60
STOP PROFIT

BULLI
R3 November Shiraz $1.50
*Note - took number 6 because 7 was scratched, so empty box.
STOP PROFIT

ALBION PARK

R2 Fay La Fleur -
R3 What Price Glory $3.10
STOP PROFIT

GEELONG

R3 Sunsera Fire -
R5 Lindale Express $1.90
STOP PROFIT

RICHMOND

R2 Rivette Reason -
R4 Kid Sloy $1.60

Outlay 10 units
Return 11.7 units
17% POT using TAB prices.

I really can only emphasize that you need to be on track to discern the track favourite and obtain better odds.

Also it's designed to takeout a profit, not level stakes.



kenchar 24th January 2004 06:11 PM

Chrome,
I have a friend that is VERY good on the dogs, and He will NOT back a dog unless He checks the weights ( which we used to do years ago ****, so very very important, and gets back to what you said, you have to be at the track.

Now wasn't that good information I just gave to myself :lol:

GeneralGym 25th January 2004 08:03 AM

This would probably work at the trots as a lot of there fav's seem to win as well

GG

Chrome Prince 25th January 2004 01:31 PM

And yesterday's bonanza :grin:

WANGARATTA
R3 Mooney Ebony -
R5 Gallant Blaze $1.70
STOP PROFIT

BENDIGO
R3 Ikari Rapid -
R4 Lotsa Whoha $2.00
STOP PROFIT

WENTY PARK
R1 Brilliant Hand $2.20
STOP PROFIT

THE MEADOWS
R1 Triden Season $2.60
STOP PROFIT

CANNY PARK
R1 Bally Haige $1.70
STOP PROFIT

CANBERRA
R7 Silent Junior $2.10
STOP PROFIT

(only last 4 races available to bet on).

BETS: 8
PROFIT: 4.30
POT: 53.75%
S/R: 75%

SINCE USING AMENDED RULES....

Outlay 18 units
Return 24 units
33.33% POT using TAB prices.
61.11% win strike rate.


[ This Message was edited by: Chrome Prince on 2004-01-25 14:38 ]


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