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-   -   Who can pick losers easily? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=4479)

Mark 29th March 2004 10:39 AM

I use Friday's Courier Mail.

The relevance, accuracy and range of paper prices has been discussed before. I still find them a useful tool when compared to the bookies opening markets.

Luckyboy 29th March 2004 11:45 AM

Mark,

Thanks for that. I find the pre-post prices useful as well, but had not considered your approach.

You say you look for the drifts on 'opening price'. I assume this means the first price put up for the race after the finish of the previous race?


Thanks,
Luckyboy

Mark 29th March 2004 12:49 PM

Lucky

No, I don't look for 'drifts', I eliminate a runner if it's opening price (official) is the same or longer than the price in the paper.
eg SR4
2-Restless PP 7.00
5-Jameela PP 9.50
6-Saturday Fever PP 26
10-Ya Ya Effendi PP 35

2 opened 6.00, 5 opened 4.40, 6 opened 11.00, & 10 opened 16.00, every other runner opened the same or longer than their PP, so were weeded out.

Oh who cares, I'll put up another post outlining exactly what I do.

Luckyboy 29th March 2004 01:29 PM

Mark,

An interesting example... Look forward to your next posting.


Luckyboy

shoto 29th March 2004 01:59 PM

Mark,
what source do you use for the official opening prices?

Luckyboy 29th March 2004 02:28 PM

Bazza,

You seem to be a bit of a Sportsman aficionado like myself. I am interested in your 50 points or less criteria.

I have a friend who uses a rule where all horses weighted above their Zipform rating are eliminated.

Have you seen or heard of this or something similar?


Luckyboy

Mark 29th March 2004 04:03 PM

Shoto

First price given at the track, shows up on the monitors. Sunday Mail is pretty spot-on with the reults.

bilko 29th March 2004 04:22 PM

Hi

This is INNY, forgot me username and password.

Thankz to everyone that has posted, i'll add some of those ideas to mine and see if i can win myself some beer tokens.

Chrome Prince 29th March 2004 07:44 PM

"If you want to pick losers, just back favourites in maidens and favourites first up from a spell - in general their strike rate is awful."

A correction to my above statement. It should have read...

"If you want to pick losers, just back favourites which are first starters and favourites first up from a spell - in general their strike rate is awful."

shoto 29th March 2004 11:20 PM

Quote:
On 2004-03-29 17:03, Mark wrote:
Shoto

First price given at the track, shows up on the monitors. Sunday Mail is pretty spot-on with the reults.


Thanks Mark,
what if you're not at the track?


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