Qld 5 1/2 start for me.

Current head to head markets:

sportsbet
New South Wales $1.48 (was $1.50)
Queensland $2.65 (was $2.60)

Tab SPORTSbet
New South Wales $1.50 (was $1.48)
Queensland $2.40 (was $2.45)

sportsTAB
New South Wales $1.50 (was $1.55)
Queensland $2.50 (was $2.35)

Current handicap markets:

sportsbet
New South Wales –6.5 (was –5.5) $1.90 (was $1.85)
Queensland +6.5 (was +5.5) $1.90 (was $1.95)

Tab SPORTSbet
New South Wales –5.5 $1.80 (no movement)
Queensland +5.5 $1.90 (no movement)


sportsTAB
New South Wales –3.5 $1.65 (was $1.72)
Queensland +3.5 $2.15 (was $2.05)

The +6.5 is the best value there.

The fact that it's half a point better than a key number is quite attractive.

BTW, pinnacle has +5.5 +102. Not sure about the value of each point in SOO but it has to be worth more than in NRL so the +6.5 might be slightly better.

I am thinking seriously about taking NSW -9.5 at $2.28,just to be safe because I think it could be a blowout,especially with the homeground advantage
cheers
P.S. Ht/Ft double NSW-NSW $2.05 is also good

As I already had a bet riding on NSW winning the series, I didn't have to have another bet last night, but when you think about it, NSW at Telstra Stadium should be a goldmine for serious punters. Qld simply can't win there. That's 8 wins and a draw for NSW from 9 games there, so anyone backing Qld to win is going right against the odds. I'm sure Qld will eventually win there, but at the moment it simply doesn't look like it.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-07-08 07:52 ]