I dont agree (about melb being terrible on the road). They might have only won 2/8 on the road, but only one game was lost by more than 8, i.e. they've been competitive.

The dragons have been appauling at home winning just 4/8, and just 1/4 against interstate teams.

Alot of people won big last night, but not for the right reasons. I doubt it was the injury that led to such a comfortable victory.

Today have the panthers -12.5 and the raiders at +6.5.

Panthers are my warriors. Inconsistent and I don't think my system picks them well. It is the business end of the season, so they should be looking for some form (along with the eagles not being motivated). I see penrith as very inconsistent, and that penrith might take this one easy, so a close game wouldn't surprise me.

Have been good at picking the raiders and I don't rate newcastle so am more comfortable with that one. Both sides will want to pick up this game to step closer to securing a finals spot. Should be a decent game.

Warriors (+9.5) another winner for the Homedog system. Now for the ultimate test tomorrow..... Richmond.

Ohhh, forgot one. The Wallabies... another homedog winner! :smile:

I was only the wallabies as well, but on the outight (2.35). Helped cushioned the 2-4 (thanks to my raiders +5.5 and swans miserable effort).

I disagree also, that being away from home plus such an important player out that the people won for the those exact reasons, plus i wouldnt say penrith are very inconsistant, they have had a lot of injuries and key players out, they are hopeless without their half back CRAIG GOWER but when he's there they are a totally different team, a fact you yourself said that your model doesnt take into account.

cheers

No it doesn't take injuries into account. I'm going to see if I can somehow factor them in for next season. I might just end up having a list for different classes of players (important players) and giving a team penalty if the player is out (with the penalty amount depending on what class of player).

Go the Bulldogs!!