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-   -   NBL Round 6 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6224)

Fernando 30th October 2004 10:20 AM

Ive deleted my last post because the figure were off. I'll redo them.

Lets say you played every bet with the same amount and were targeting away wins with a $2.60 average.

strike rate(SR) of 38.5% to break even(well +0.10%)
SR 40% = 4% gain on bankroll
SR 43% = 11.8%
SR 47% = 22.2%
SR 50% = 30%
SR 55% = 43%
SR 60% = 56%

So you need to be around 40% at least to see any value, which i dont think is to crazy. And you dont need to go much higher to see some fantastic results.

Fernando 31st October 2004 02:21 PM

Both teams played well in there second double header. Here are the stats if anyone wants a follow up.

Breakers 9 52% 48%
Razorba +9 45% 42%

Also in the above post the percentage gain is on bankroll turnover.

thebookie 31st October 2004 03:02 PM

You have to be mad to bet the line in basketball and completely insane to take the -

Teams/Players couldn't care less if they win by 5 or 50 despite you sitting at home throwing things at the TV and screaming for them to shoot the 3 to cover the -10.5 line!

If you watch the NBL, coaches are always pulling their guns off the court when they're 20 up in the last quarter...just watch that lead get whittled away to 9 and you've done your ass...

thefan 31st October 2004 03:13 PM

I agree with ya bookie. Ive lost on many occassions by just 0.5

thebookie 1st November 2004 01:00 PM

Just wondering if any of you guys do any business on the NBL totals?

thebookie 1st November 2004 01:13 PM

And can anyone give me a logical reason why tonight's game isn't on TV?!?!?!

Fernando 1st November 2004 01:39 PM

I havnt touched them bookie. Thats not to say i never would just havnt looked into it enough.

Beljulian 2nd November 2004 03:25 AM

Quote:
On 2004-11-01 14:13, thebookie wrote:
And can anyone give me a logical reason why tonight's game isn't on TV?!?!?!


Fox are too lazy to come to Perth.


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