Oh, and those R.Union stats don't include Wales vs S.Africa last week or Ireland vs S.Africa this morning, so I've actually gone 19 from 20 with it this year!!!

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-11-14 09:44 ]

Just a quick glance at your AFL results reveals a possible filter when the homedog is given over 20 points head start.
What I intend doing Sportznut,is allocate the teams rating to each player's Champion Data rating in proportion and then when the teams playing list for the next round comes out,I can tally them up individually and hopefully the couple of points difference this system comes up with could make me a winner more often.
Also I intend going back through lasr years result margins and comparing to my predicted margins and averaging could give me a better idea of how much and when to apply the home ground advantage.
For those interested,Stephen Clarke wrote something to the effect that the Home Advantage is due to 3 factors,not necessarilly equally.
Travelling causes fatigue and unfamiliarity.
The crowd influences players and umpires.
The ground played on is unfamiliar.

I have found a web site that shows me how to calculate power ratings based on points for and against.

Kings have a power rating of 103
Bullets have a power rating of 98

The result should be that the kings should win by 5 pts or more.

Benny

Yes, I know about that. I noticed it during the year, and I thought about halving my bet or possibly deleting them altogether, but I decided to stick with them till the end of the season. I'll have a think about it for next year though.

Chalk another one up for the system on Rugby Union with Scotland staying within 19.5 points of Australia.

Was playing around at the Swinburne website.
It is revealed that from 1997 till 2002,The homedogs at $1 on each,would have got you your money back overall.
So it seems 2004 was one out of the box!
Still,if you continue next year,I wish you all the best.
I tipped 119 winners last year for the home and aways.
I think I can do better than that!