Can i have a shot?...prices to come...
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No you can't Chuck.
Just kidding. Of course you can. |
i'm going to go and have a cry ...lol...i might occasionally stop to watch Molik and Baccanello demolish the yanks
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Well here goes nothing.
6. Hardy Steele $3.15 5 Pink Fit $ 4.55 3 Ruben $ 7.25 8 Close Encounters $12.50 7 Call Me Syd $15.85 |
HARDY STEELE 110.5
PRAY IN VAIN 109.5 PINK FIT 109 RUBEN 107.5 UNDER THE BRIDGE 107.5 CLOSE ENCOUNTER 106.5 CAUVERY 106 KEL 105 |
I might have a crack...
Pink Fit - $4.00 Hardy Steele - $4.90 Call Me Syd - $5.00 Pray In Vain - $6.80 Under The Bridge - $10.10 Good Luck :) Sven |
i actually see a pattern emerging. i quite like this race too. lack of early pace should be an issue so some horses will be disadvantaged.
Dry: Hardy Steele 64 3.30 Pray in Vain 62.5 5.50 Pink Fit 62 6.60 Call Me Syd 60.5 10.00 Cauvery 60 11.80 If it's wet, i'll subtract 3.5 kg of Call Me Syd's rating. |
To get a gauge of how those that participate perform, why not do a Dutch Book excercise of each of the five selections to return a $100 i.e.
A: Rated $4 outlay = $25 B: Rated $6 outlay = $ 16.50 C: Rated $8 outlay = $12.50 D: Rated $10 outlay = $10 E: Rated $12 outlay = $8.50 Total outlay = $72.50 If A won at SP odds of $5 then the return would be $125, a profit overall of $52.50. If on the other hand A won at SP odds of $3 the return would be $75, a profit of $2.50. |
Good idea La Mer.
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Non-weight-based ratings
5. Pink Fit $5.50
3. Ruben $6.60 11. Go Straight Home $7.70 2. Under The Bridge $8.80 6. Hardy Steele $9.90 Thanks |
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