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-   -   Jockey Challenge (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=7451)

Duritz 9th February 2005 09:34 PM

one thought - why doesn't the decimal chance total add up to 1.00?

Duritz 9th February 2005 09:35 PM

I am talking to myself here, and worse still, I don't know the answers. I do love maths sometimes though. Great challenge for the mind. Really makes it stretch.

Duritz 9th February 2005 09:37 PM

Actually, they do add up to one. The chances of each combination do. Problem is there were some dead heats, which I didn't account for.

BRB

Duritz 9th February 2005 09:43 PM

OK with dead heats accounted for, these are the decimals:

A - 0.53
B - 0.41
C - 0.06

and odds therefore are a matter of dividing those into 1, because those add up to 1.

For those who couldn't be bothered, however, here is one I prepared earlier:

ODDS

A - $1.89
B - $2.45
C - $15.75

OK - I reckon that is RIGHT. I reckon, given those outcomes, those are the TRUE ODDS of each of those jockeys WINNING the jockey challenge.

SIGH!

Thoughts, anyone?

I am going to get a glass of red.

Sportz 9th February 2005 10:35 PM

Having a good conversation with yourself???

mugwump 9th February 2005 10:39 PM

Now that you've had your Cab Sav, can you put it all in a nutshell so I can win some money?

Duritz 9th February 2005 10:55 PM

Mugwump yeah not really. Would need to write the program bigger. Wrote it merely for the possibilities only of this example.

Oh yeah, and it's shiraz.

Duritz

moeee 14th February 2005 09:14 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Think you're getting yourself confused Mo. If not, you're certainly doing a good job on the rest of us!


Don't you worry Buddy.
I'll make up for the mess during the Footy season.

moeee 14th February 2005 09:24 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Duritz
one thought - why doesn't the decimal chance total add up to 1.00?


Most likely because of a slight hiccup!
Or the vine expelling some of those fermented gasses!

moeee 14th February 2005 07:26 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Duritz
ODDS

A - $1.89
B - $2.45
C - $15.75

OK - I reckon that is RIGHT. I reckon, given those outcomes, those are the TRUE ODDS of each of those jockeys WINNING the jockey challenge.

SIGH!

Thoughts, anyone?



Yes my good man.You are spot on.
Prices being quite close to the original starting prices of the mounts.
And that,boys and girls is how it is done.
So with 8 races of 12 starters each,the permutations are somewhat daunting.
Can I borrow your calculator Filante?


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