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-   -   Ratings help! (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=7731)

Sportz 3rd March 2005 06:14 PM

Yeah, I rated that race. I got the trifecta in my top 3.

HAWK R7
2 NORTHERN LODGE (49.0) $3.20
4 AGUA CORRIENDO (48.5) $3.55
5 SHERWOOD FOREST (46.5) $5.60
1 Endowment (45.0) $8.00
8 Bronx Queen (44.5) $8.90

Very disappointed with the other race I rated though.

BALNA R7
1 CONCITAIRE (52.0) $4.20
7 PLANET LOVER (50.0) $6.55
6 GOTTA BE GOOD (49.5) $7.40
4 Intermagic (49.0) $8.40
11 Danefull (49.0) $8.40
--------------------------
5 Sensache (47.0) $13.10
8 Russell On (47.0) $13.10
9 Trendy Time (47.0) $13.10

I obviously made a mistake in not giving Lunalana a big enough bonus for recent good form and for great form on the track. It had won 3 and been placed in all 5 starts on the track, so it definitely should have been in the top 5 somewhere. Instead I had it 9th!

It's a learning process.

mickmc 3rd March 2005 06:21 PM

Good one Sportz.

As you say it is a learning process. I'll certainly be trying to refine mine over the next few weeks. Quite like the idea , hopefully it'll perform OK. Also need to find a way to do it quicker : - )

Gonna try MV race 2 & 7 for tomorrow nite. Will certainly be weighting track perfomances more there.

Do you actually bet with this system and if so how does it go ??
( you may have mentioned this before but I'm pretty new on here )

Sportz 3rd March 2005 06:36 PM

Yes, I do bet on these races, but I'm taking it easy until I think I've got it worked out well. I've really only been doing this for a couple of months, so it's all a bit experimental. Picked up the trifecta and first 4 on the Newcastle Newmarket yesterday, one race where the ratings really went well. Did very well on Saturday at Caulfield too. I'll try to have a look at those M.Valley races you mentioned and see what I come up with.

mickmc 3rd March 2005 06:39 PM

I had them in the wrong order for the first four yesterday , ************.

No prob if you can't do those races , just be interesting to see what you get. compared to me , esp since you're a bit further down the track ( pardon the pun ) with it than I am.

Cheers

Sportz 3rd March 2005 06:45 PM

Let's see how long it takes me. I'll start on those two races now.

mickmc 3rd March 2005 06:51 PM

I'm at work at the moment , I'll be leaving about 10 and I'll be doing those races when I get home tonite. I'll put mine on here after that.

Sportz 3rd March 2005 07:15 PM

Moonee Valley R2 is personally one that I might not be looking at, but I've had a go and come up with this:

2 FASHION SHOOT (53.0) $2.10
3 TANJIL MIST (49.0) $5.20
4 TELSA (48.0) $6.50
1 SHE'S A NIGHTMARE (45.0) $14.85
--------------------------
8 Ollie Cheval (43.5) $23.10
5 My Lady Gaila (43.0) $26.00
7 Roquette (38.5) $52.00
6 Wal's Princess (29.5) $208.00

That's rated for a good track. I personally thought She's A Nightmare might be rated higher than 4th, but she seems to prefer wet tracks.

Sportz 3rd March 2005 07:52 PM

Mooney Valley R7 looks very close:

2 DONBODINE (54.5) $4.95
6 OUR COURT (53.5) $6.20
9 OUR SPUR (53.0) $6.90
1 BENEVOLE (51.5) $9.90
10 ISLE OF MAJORCA (51.5) $9.90
4 HONG KONG CHERI (51.0) $11.00
--------------------------
3 Dynamic Danzer (49.0) $17.70
11 Lacristi Express (49.0) $17.70
12 Bridges Of Babylon (48.5) $20.65
13 Walla Walla (45.0) $55.10
5 French Tempo (40.5) $124.00
7 Jetset Lass (38.0) $165.35
8 Promulgate (38.0) $165.35

Again, that's for a good track. Any rain would change things.

Sportz 3rd March 2005 09:43 PM

Here's another couple of races I've looked at:

DUBBO R8
5 JUERGA (48.5) $3.05
3 AVENUE TOLDA (45.0) $6.80
4 RED LEADER (43.5) $9.55
7 JOFFA DENARO (43.5) $9.55
8 THE LADY HUSSEY (43.5) $9.55
6 SWEEPERS DREAM (43.0) $10.90
--------------------------
1 Talee Special (39.5) $30.60
11 Gold Carriage (39.0) $34.00
2 Mister Daylight (38.0) $38.25
10 Mel Storm (36.5) $51.00
9 So Tough (33.0) $76.50

Not sure about that one. I agree with the number 5 being on top, but a bit surprised to see numbers 1 & 2 so far down.

M.VALLEY R4
1 STEELWORKER (59.5) $1.95
3 GOVERNOR MACQUARIE (56.0) $4.30
2 LAMPARO (49.5) $24.25
4 GOLDEN TENDER (49.5) $24.25
5 MOON COIN HARRY (49.5) $24.25
7 BOLD DECEIVER (48.5) $27.70
-------------------------
9 Pre Commitment (47.5) $32.35
6 Kaarston (45.5) $48.50
8 Only Joking (42.0) $64.70
10 Bridge Breaka (41.0) $97.00
13 Brevitas (39.5) $194.00
12 Muckaduck (39.0) $194.00
11 Brut (38.0) $194.00

Steelworker and Governor Macquarie rated well ahead of the rest of the field there. Not sure what the odds will be, but Steelworker will probably be favourite after it's last run.

Sportz 4th March 2005 10:30 AM

mickmc,

Here are the final ratings I worked out. I personally don't think I'll be worrying about MVal R2, but the other 3 races could perhaps be worth a bet.

M.VALLEY R2
2 FASHION SHOOT (53.0) $2.00
3 TANJIL MIST (49.0) $5.00
4 TELSA (48.0) $6.25
1 SHE'S A NIGHTMARE (45.0) $14.30
--------------------------
5 My Lady Gaila (43.0) $25.00
7 Roquette (38.5) $50.00
6 Wal's Princess (29.5) $200

M.VALLEY R4
1 STEELWORKER (59.5) $1.80
3 GOVERNOR MACQUARIE (56.0) $4.00
2 LAMPARO (49.5) $22.50
4 GOLDEN TENDER (49.5) $22.50
5 MOON COIN HARRY (49.5) $22.50
6 KAARSTON (45.5) $45.00
--------------------------
8 Only Joking (42.0) $60.00
10 Bridge Breaka (41.0) $90.00
13 Brevitas (39.5) $180.00
12 Muckaduck (39.0) $180.00
11 Brut (38.0) $180.00

M.VALLEY R7
2 DONBODINE (54.5) $4.20
6 OUR COURT (53.5) $5.25
9 OUR SPUR (53.0) $5.85
1 BENEVOLE (51.5) $8.40
10 ISLE OF MAJORCA (51.5) $8.40
--------------------------
11 Lacristi Express (49.0) $15.00
12 Bridges Of Babylon (48.5) $17.50
13 Walla Walla (45.0) $46.65
5 French Tempo (40.5) $105.00
7 Jetset Lass (38.0) $140.00

DUBBO R8
5 JUERGA (48.5) $3.05
3 AVENUE TOLDA (45.0) $6.80
4 RED LEADER (43.5) $9.55
7 JOFFA DENARO (43.5) $9.55
8 THE LADY HUSSEY (43.5) $9.55
6 SWEEPERS DREAM (43.0) $10.90
--------------------------
1 Talee Special (39.5) $30.50
11 Gold Carriage (39.0) $33.90
2 Mister Daylight (38.0) $38.10
10 Mel Storm (36.5) $50.80
9 So Tough (33.0) $76.25


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