I'd be contacting brave chief if I was you purpleheart68 & getting some of that $60 on offer for Leiutenant ;)

I have to agree with Maverick, Danehill Express finally gets to the 1600, the inside gate is a good draw and should get run of the race, Al Maher to run second, and Savabeel to run third.

Current fixed odds market
 

No. Selection Win Place

001 Savabeel $3.25 $1.55
008 Danehill Express $6.50 $2.25
002 Econsul $7.50 $2.60
004 Al Maher $9.00 $3.00
005 Lieutenant $9.00 $2.75
010 Russian Charm $9.00 $3.00
003 Barely a Moment $11.00 $3.00
007 Shinzig $13.00 $4.50
009 Niconero $13.00 $4.50
006 Classiconi $21.00 $5.00
011 Cargo Cult $51.00 $13.50

Market movement
 

No. Horse - Win Divi Last Post - Current Win Divi

001 Savabeel $3.00 $3.25
008 Danehill Express $7.50 $6.50
002 Econsul $7.50 $7.50
004 Al Maher $9.00 $9.00
005 Lieutenant $9.00 $9.00
010 Russian Charm $9.00 $9.00
003 Barely a Moment $11.00 $11.00
007 Shinzig $13.00 $13.00
009 Niconero $13.00 $13.00
006 Classiconi $21.00 $21.00
011 Cargo Cult $51.00 $51.00

now now Paddy, the $60 is to a 90% market :)
If I was laying the horse, the most I would offer would be around $45.00 (120% market). Still thats way better than the licensed brigade :p

No. Horse - Win Divi Last Post - Current Win Divi

001 Savabeel $3.00 $3.25
008 Danehill Express $7.50 $5.00 **
010 Russian Charm $9.00 $8.00 **
002 Econsul $7.50 $8.00
009 Niconero $13.00 $10.00 **
005 Lieutenant $9.00 $10.00
004 Al Maher $9.00 $11.00
007 Shinzig $13.00 $13.00
003 Barely a Moment $11.00 $15.00
006 Classiconi $21.00 $26.00
011 Cargo Cult $51.00 $67.00

Been some very strong support for Danehill Express today on the TAB. It is now below my assessed price so it looks like i'll have to bet around it. Shame. I'm on Niconero @ $13.00 and Al Maher @ $11.00.

Col Tidy's market:
1 - Savabeel 3.25 1.55
8 - Danehill Express 6.00 2.00
4 - Al Maher 8.00 2.50
2 - Econsul 9.00 3.00
9 - Niconero 9.00 3.00
3 - Barely A Moment 11.00 3.20
7 - Shinzig 11.00 3.50
10 - Russian Charm 11.00 3.00
5 - Lieutenant 12.00 3.20
6 - Classiconi 26.00 7.25
11 - Cargo Cult 51.00 9.00

NICONERO with 5 wins from 6 starts looks to be on the up and up.

SHINZIG going great guns of late looks the main danger.

Would of rated SAVABEEL higher, but a still a little concerned by his last run.

DANEHILL EXPRESS does meet SHINZIG much better at the weights this time around, so will also have to include.

OK well I am contradictory to everyone else's thoughts - here's mine:

SAVABEEL - ignore LS. Caulfield, soft track, very slowly run, second up, leader advantage. Cox plate winner against own age with level weights. Shame on you all for potting him. If he didn't run LS on the strength of his first up run he'd be $1.50. I'll be backing him.

ECONSUL - SUPER run LS, SUPER. Fabulous sectionals. Is a miler plus, you could tell it from his run LS too. Great value.

DANEHILL EXPRESS - over rated. Had enough on line LS, layed in near post indicating that. I am willing to go out on a limb and say it won't run a place.

THE REST - all about the same, not up to the top two I mentioned...

Good luck, I'm either a mug or a genius in this race!

OH yeah Niconero has promise, but tomorrow is acid test. Won't write it off, nor say it can't win, but won't take what I consider to be unders.

SAVABEEL *****************************************