Hope the rain keeps falling,Stratum won a trial at newcastle a few months back on a wet track and swam through it, will take a postition and finish strongly, paul perry says its his best chance of winning the slipper,[ choisir had feet problems and fastnet rock was always going to be a better as a 3 year old].

Stratum
Media
Mnemosyne
Opportunity

Correct me if I am wrong (melburnian) but sydney is getting a fair bit of rain. This changes things exponentially. No longer will the horses drawn inside get such an advantage. The middle to outer part of the track is where to be which means horses like Snitzel and mnemosyne drawn 12 and 10 respectively may be abble the post themselves 3 or 4 back with cover. Mnemosyne is by Encosta de Lago and should handle the wet well.

Current fixed odds
 

Horse Win Place

Snitzel $3.60 $1.65
Fashions Afield $6.00 $2.25
Mnemosyne $7.00 $2.50
Stratum $8.00 $2.75
Undoubtedly $9.00 $3.00
Media $11.00 $3.50
Al Samer $13.00 $4.00
Written Tycoon $13.00 $4.00
Domesday $17.00 $5.00
Opportunity $17.00 $5.00
Flying Pegasus $26.00 $7.25
Dr Green $67.00 $17.50
Seidnazar $67.00 $17.50
Blizzardly $101.00 $26.00
Permissive $151.00 $38.50
Poetic Genius $151.00 $38.50

Market movement
 

Horse WAS NOW

Snitzel $3.75 $3.60
Fashions Afield $5.50 $6.00
Mnemosyne $7.50 $7.00
Stratum $7.50 $8.00
Undoubtedly $9.00 $9.00
Media $21.00 $11.00
Al Samer $13.00 $13.00
Written Tycoon $11.00 $13.00
Domesday $15.00 $17.00
Opportunity $17.00 $17.00
Flying Pegasus $26.00 $26.00
Dr Green $67.00 $67.00
Seidnazar $51.00 $67.00
Blizzardly $101.00 $101.00
Permissive $126.00 $151.00
Poetic Genius $126.00 $151.00

Media to win
Poetic Genius to place

Allready have Snitzle for a stack and still haven't changed my mind on him,,
all this talk about Stratum is bewildering to me considering he couldnt get close to snitzel...I give him a couple of lengths because of the barrier..maybe even 2 lengths for the wet track,,he's still 2 lengths off Snitzel..

1, Snitzel
2, Mnemosyne.... is the one i fear ..
3, Written tycoon ...will be there as well has the strength to bustle
through the pack and find a position....
4, Media ...will be running on but the jockey's a toss.

I did like Al samer but think he wont handle the wet...same with Opportunity..

i think Siednazar could grab a place at odds..

Hard race as usual..but will wait till i see how the track is playing before i load up on exotics

Fashions afield
Mnemosyne
Snitzel
Opportunity

mnemosyne
snitzel
media
dr green

MNEMOSYNE
SNITZEL
BLIZZARDLY
PERMISSIVE

Tipping Redoute's Choice first 4

5) Undoubtedly
1) Snitzel
4) Stratum
8) Al Samer