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dingoboy 23rd September 2005 12:02 PM

Tenasious spirit
 
I myself do something similar over the quiet ale,
Usually four or five of us head up the local wednesday night for a social couple, literally,
We all throw in a few bucks each and the boys leave it to me to put the trots or dogs on, its commonly refered to as earning beer money, thats the whole idea, a few free beers ! and a yack. We take the 2,3,4 or fifth fav, take them for a win then stand them out in a small tri (sometimes),
More often than not, i would say 80% we all walk home with a couple of TAB Bundy and cokes each for roadies, i wouldnt do it seriously though!

Good luck Oaksnaf
Cheers dingo

Oaksnaf 23rd September 2005 03:44 PM

Hey Dingo, taking out the favourite made me wonder what my results would be if i excluded the Pre-Race favourite.

I was only able to get 12 runs from this out of the last 26 races, whcih indicates 50% of my selections are pre-race favourites and don't seem to offer a lot of odds. So when i loose 2-3 its hard to make it up.

If the selection is Pre-Race favourite exclude the race.
If the selection isn't Pre-Race favourite then its included
If there are more than one Non-Pre Race Favourites eg; $5, $8. Then you take the lowest odds one.


Here are the results (exlcuding all races that had my selection as a pre-race favourite)


16/09/2005 Ballarat5 Vindication unplaced

16/09/2005 Harold Park3 Stormy Crusader 1st $3.10 $1.80

16/09/2005 MV2 Dicks the Man unplaced

16/09/2005 MV5 Ok Windermere unplaced
16/09/2005 MV6 Blakey unplaced
16/09/2005 MV7 Hi Ho Fitz 1st $3.00 $1.50

18/09/2005 Bendigo3 Family Destiney 2nd $1.30

18/09/2005 Bendigo5 Rasputin Lombo 1st $5.40 $1.70

22/09/2005 Mooney valley4 Miss Kellie 1st $10.50 $3.50

22/09/2005 Ballarat6 Jiliby Lightning unplaced
22/09/2005 Ballarat7 Manwarra Achiever unplaced
22/09/2005 Ballarat8 Princess Yum Yum unplaced


Also (i found an old form guide sitting around from 16 sept and included those results in this)

So here go:

Races: 12
Winners: 4
Ave Winnner: $5.50

Based on $5 win bets:

Profit: exactly $50 after 12 races.

So for the races which remain today we have:

Harold Park Race 8) #7
and thats it. The rest are pre-race favourites.

Oaksnaf 23rd September 2005 07:15 PM

Well 3 wins on the trot at harold Park so far tonight. And 4/6 so far today after Charlton R7) #8 was a late scratching!

So its looking good tonight, despite the skinny odds. But a wins a win.

Oaksnaf 24th September 2005 01:08 AM

Tonights Results:

23/09/2005 Charlton4 Ultimate Mark 1st $1.60 $1.20
23/09/2005 Charlton6 Disco Cisco unplaced
23/09/2005 Harold park1 Smooth Crusa 1st $1.20 $1.30
23/09/2005 Harold Park2 Clint Westwood 1st $1.40 $1.10
23/09/2005 Harold Park3 Miss Alberta 1st $3.20 $1.70
23/09/2005 Harold park4 Dominator Stride unplaced
23/09/2005 Harold Park8 Concorde 3rd NTD
23/09/2005 Kilmore6 Sopkyola 1st $1.20 $1.04
23/09/2005 Kilmore7 Toe Taper 1st $1.40 $1.04


Two races with the non pre-race favourite welded a 3rd NTD, and an unplaced.

So 6/9 races tonight, but skinny odds dont help a lot.

Based on $5 bets:

Races Winners Places
116 39 52


149.2 107.08
Ave Winner 3.825641026 2.059230769

For $5 investment
Profit WIN: $166.00
Profit PLACE: -$44.60


So its going alright.

Oaksnaf 24th September 2005 09:33 AM

Tonight there are just a 'few' races on. Just a few.

Cranbourne:
R3) #7 (Not pre-race favourite)
R5) #12
R6) #6
R7) #2 (Not pre-race favourite)

Albion Park
R1) #9 (Not pre-race favourite)
R2) #5
R5) #5
R6) #7
R9) #8 (Not pre-race favourite)

Newcastle:
R7) #4 (Not pre-race favourite)

Golbe Derby
R4) #2
R5) #5
R6) #4
R7) #6 (Not pre-race favourite)

So there you have it: 14 races in total, and 6 that are not pre-race favourites.

Should be an interesting night for sure, hopefully picking up the same % of winners as last night, but with better odds.

Oaksnaf 25th September 2005 08:15 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
Tonight there are just a 'few' races on. Just a few.

Cranbourne:
R3) #7 (Not pre-race favourite)
R5) #12
R6) #6
R7) #2 (Not pre-race favourite)

Albion Park
R1) #9 (Not pre-race favourite)
R2) #5
R5) #5
R6) #7
R9) #8 (Not pre-race favourite)

Newcastle:
R7) #4 (Not pre-race favourite)

Golbe Derby
R4) #2
R5) #5
R6) #4
R7) #6 (Not pre-race favourite)

So there you have it: 14 races in total, and 6 that are not pre-race favourites.

Should be an interesting night for sure, hopefully picking up the same % of winners as last night, but with better odds.


Cranbourne
Race 3) #7 unplaced
Race 5) #12 1st $1.50, $1.10
Race 6) #6 2nd $1.40
Race 7) #2 2nd $3.00

Albion Park
Race 1) #9 unplaced
Race 2) #5 2nd $1.80
Race 5) #5 1st $7.50, $1.90
Race 6) #7 3rd $1.40
Race 9) #8 unplaced

Newcastle
Race 7) #4 2nd $1.90

Globe Derby
Race 4) #2 1st $7.40, $2.20
Race 5) #5 1st $2.50, $1.70
Race 6) #4 2nd $1.04
Race 7) #6 unplaced

Races: 14
Winners: 4
Ave Winners: $4.725

Its going well.

Oaksnaf 25th September 2005 05:46 PM

Today at Geelong:

Race 5) #3
Race 6) #3
Race 7) #2
Race 8) #8

Oaksnaf 25th September 2005 05:49 PM

Yesterday's results look like this:

24/09/2005 Cranbourne3 Another Impression unplaced
24/09/2005 Cranbourne5 Immortal Quest 1st $1.50 $1.10
24/09/2005 Cranbourne6 Cullombo 2nd $1.40
24/09/2005 Cranbourne7 Smashin Sampras 2nd $3.00
24/09/2005 Albion Park1 Intheshadows unplaced
24/09/2005 Albion Park2 Master Mittens 2nd $1.80
24/09/2005 Albion Park5 Dream Royale 1st $7.50 $1.90
24/09/2005 Albion Park6 Battlers Prince 3rd $1.40
24/09/2005 Albion Park9 Itzallinthetimin unplaced
24/09/2005 Newcastle7 George Jetson 2nd $1.90
24/09/2005 Globe Derby4 Equity Jeb 1st $7.40 $2.20
24/09/2005 Globe Derby5 Black Venom 1st $2.50 $1.70
24/09/2005 Globe Derby6 Maka Million Lombo 2nd $1.04
24/09/2005 Globe Derby7 Casey's Best unplaced


Races Winners
130 43



Ave Winner 3.909302326

For $5 investment
Profit WIN: $190.50




Just for those wondering, Geelong Race's 7, 8 are both non pre-race favourits.

Have a good one.

Oaksnaf 25th September 2005 06:34 PM

Well not that I am up with all the units and stuff in terms of betting.

But one unit =100 dollars right?

Well based on 1 unit bets, this system has a profit of $3810 exactly after 130 races.

Ill be able to start rasing my bets soon hopefully.

Already today, had a winner $1.80 and a 2nd place. With two more to go.

Oaksnaf 25th September 2005 07:07 PM

Today's results:

25/09/2005 Geelong5 By The Palms 1st $1.80 $1.20
25/09/2005 Geelong6 Nitefever 2nd $1.04
25/09/2005 Geelong7 Bootylicious 3rd $2.70
25/09/2005 Geelong8 Purple Passion unplaced

Races: 4
Winners 1: $1.80

Total:

Races 134
Winners 44
Ave Winners: $3.86

Hope for better tommorow, but not a bad weekend.


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