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-   -   2006 TIPS (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12223)

rabbitz 13th January 2006 07:55 AM

wen u post tips for eg. 1,2,3,4-5,6,7
does that mean that 1,2,3,4 are posted for first only and other no,s 5,6,7 for second and third or 1,2,3,4 for 1st and 2nd and 5,6,7 for third
please explain
cheers

Sportz 13th January 2006 11:24 AM

Well, basically, I write them in order of preference, but I also divide them into winning chances and place chances.

Take Race 7 at Cranbourne yesterday: CRAN R7 - 3 O'CANARVASS & 5 HELIUM (3,5,8,7 - 1,9)

What this means is that I think numbers 3 & 5 are the best winning chances in the race, numbers 8 & 7 are also winning chances but perhaps more likely to place, and numbers 1 & 9 are really just a place chance.

Now, everybody has different $ amounts that they're comfortable spending, so that's why I never tell people how they should bet on any of the selections. In previous days, my multi tips weren't going very well, because roughies have been getting up for 3rd that I haven't included, and if you had gone with a 2x4xfield trifecta, you would have gone okay. In that Cranbourne race, I was confident about O'Canarvass and Helium, so I ended up going with a 2x6x6 trifecta and a 2x4x6x6 first4.

Sportz 13th January 2006 12:38 PM

ROCK R6 - 1 MERSEY BEAT (danger 3) (1,3 - 2,5,4,9)
W.FM R4 - 3 ISLAND SWING & 2 GEIGERON (3,2,7,6 - 10,4)
W.FM R5 - 8 PATIENCE'N'VISION & 1 RESPECT (8,1,3,5 - 10,7)
W.FM R6 - 1 FRAZZLE DAZZLE (danger 3)
WARR R2 - 8 SAN PIETRO (danger 5)
WARR R6 - 6 GREAT STEPS & 9 PRINCE OF RUFFY (6,9,1,3 - 2,7)
WARR R7 - 3 SHANGO'S IMAGE (danger 1)

Others to consider:
P.Mac R3 - 2 Chocolate point
P.Mac R7 - 1 Jaegers & 3 Tondano
Canb R4 - 2 At The Show
Warr R5 - 1 Corrupt Judge & 4 Maxsteel

Perhaps a couple of tips for Moonee Valley later.

Sportz 13th January 2006 12:46 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
WARR R2 - 8 SAN PIETRO (danger 5)


What a ********** start. But I doubt that any of you would have had enough time to jump on. Hope not anyway. :o

Sportz 13th January 2006 02:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Others to consider:
Canb R4 - 2 At The Show
Warr R5 - 1 Corrupt Judge & 4 Maxsteel


Yeah, by all means consider them, but don't bet on them. :rolleyes:

Looks like a tough sort of day at present. Hope things pick up.

Sportz 13th January 2006 03:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
In that Cranbourne race, I was confident about O'Canarvass and Helium, so I ended up going with a 2x6x6 trifecta and a 2x4x6x6 first4.


Sorry, that should have been 2x6x6x6.

Sportz 13th January 2006 03:39 PM

Okay, it's a slow track now at Warwick Farm and getting worse all the time, so I'll be taking it VERY easy there. (especially after getting a handy little result at Cranbourne :) )

Horses you could think about including now with the wet track are R4-1, R5-2, R6-2,7. Of my top picks, Island Swing and Patience'N'Vision should go okay in the wet, but not entirely sure about the others. :o

Sportz 13th January 2006 04:08 PM

Mersey Beat's pretty good. My biggest bet today. :)

Sportz 13th January 2006 04:13 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Okay, it's a slow track now at Warwick Farm and getting worse all the time, so I'll be taking it VERY easy there.


VERY wise decision.

Sportz 13th January 2006 05:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Horses you could think about including now with the wet track are R4-1, R5-2, R6-2,7.


I hope perhaps someone got something out of this little tip. Personally, I haven't had a bet on either race 4 or 5. I may possibly have a go in the last race around numbers 1 & 3 but I won't be risking very much at all on that track.

xptdriver 13th January 2006 05:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
I hope perhaps someone got something out of this little tip. Personally, I haven't had a bet on either race 4 or 5. I may possibly have a go in the last race around numbers 1 & 3 but I won't be risking very much at all on that track.


Gday Sportz...

I couldn't find one winner there today... crap fields crap track.. and I don't think Canterbury is much better tomorrow either... Sydney is hard enough this time of year without the tracks turning to bogs... maybe that explains the poor fields there tomorrow

Sportz 13th January 2006 05:43 PM

Okay, not really confident about anything at Moonee Valley tonight. Just looking at a couple of races:

M.Val R3 - 3 Recline & 7 Pardees
M.Val R7 - 5 Looming & 6 Your Call

Sportz 13th January 2006 05:52 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by xptdriver
Gday Sportz...

I couldn't find one winner there today... crap fields crap track.. and I don't think Canterbury is much better tomorrow either... Sydney is hard enough this time of year without the tracks turning to bogs...


Damn annoying. I worked out the tips on a good-dead track and was quite confident, but then the track quickly got worse and worse and no way was I going to risk much money on it!!! After the last, the caller said that leaders had little or no chance. In the end, the only bet I had there was an any2 in the last race with 1 & 3 from the field. And thanks to Zelotti getting 3rd, I got $41.20 back from $20, so that was okay.

rabbitz 13th January 2006 07:29 PM

thanks sportz
warnambool race 6 got tri $170
also got a good tri at ballarat trots race 5 $443 with a $1.70 fav
Mersey Beat was impressive again pity the tri $12 wasnt
Winning day all round though
Cheers

Sportz 13th January 2006 08:47 PM

Rabz,

I hope you didn't follow any of my tips for Warwick Farm today. Once the track deteriorated, they all basically went out the door.

Sportz 14th January 2006 01:17 PM

Saturday January 14

GCST R3 - 3 WILLY LEICA (danger 1) (3,1 - 4,8,7,2)
GCST R4 - 4 COINCIDENTAL (dangers 2 & 3) (4,2,3 - 9,6,5,1)
GCST R6 - 1 COOL FRONT & 3 AMEX (1,3,4,5 - 10,2,6)
GCST R8 - 1 ALL BAR ONE & 5 ALGORITHM (1,5,6,4 - 8,10)
CANT R8 - 5 SMART MAXIE & 3 FOR VALOUR (5,3,8,12 - 6,7,2)
SAND R5 - 1 FOREST SPY & 5 GIBERNAU (1,5 - 7,3,6)

Others to consider:
GCst R5 - 13 Fashions Afield & 5 Langarza
GCst R7 - 5 Churchill Downs (ew)
Cant R5 - 1 Fiery Venture
Cant R6 - 1 Warm Ride & 3 Mi Casa
V.Pk R4 - 8 Visconti
Toow R2 - 1 Show Biz Kid (ew)

Sportz 14th January 2006 02:24 PM

BREAK THE BARRIER??? :eek:

Sportz 14th January 2006 02:43 PM

Multi tips not doing well at all today. Sorry. :o

Stupid to leave Mock out of the minor tips. I was very confident that either Forest Spy or Gibernau would win, so I could have put the whole field in for the minor placings.

Amazed at the odds of Candy Vale today!!! If I had known she was going to start at nearly even money, I would definitely have tipped her here and made her a special. But I thought she was only going to be around $1.40 -$1.50.

Sportz 14th January 2006 03:51 PM

Note to self:

Please remember to totally ignore the Magic Millions meeting on the Gold Coast in future.

Sportz 14th January 2006 05:46 PM

All I can say after today is SORRY. :o

The multi tips were terrible and the top picks made a loss. Thank goodness for Coincidental to keep the best bets in the black.

Results

Best bets
GCST R3 - 3 WILLY LEICA $1.10
GCST R4 - 4 COINCIDENTAL $2.90/$1.50
Total Out 2 units, In 2.9 units
Update Out 6 units, In 7.95 units

Top picks
GCST R3 - 3 WILLY LEICA $1.10
GCST R4 - 4 COINCIDENTAL $2.90/$1.50
GCST R6 - 1 COOL FRONT & 3 AMEX
GCST R8 - 1 ALL BAR ONE $1.90 & 5 ALGORITHM
CANT R8 - 5 SMART MAXIE $1.20 & 3 FOR VALOUR
SAND R5 - 1 FOREST SPY $2.70/$1.60 & 5 GIBERNAU
Total Out 6 units, In 4.25 units
Update Out 18 units, In 17.9 units

Sportz 15th January 2006 12:02 PM

JACK'S BACK!!! :)

Warrnambool R7 is a VERY strong race for a Sunday and he's been off the scene for a while, but he has a good each way hope, and he certainly owes me nothing. There are a heap of chances in the race, but I'm probably going to concentrate on four runnners - 2 Blue Collar Jack, 7 Postcode, 6 Myalansky and 12 Czar Of Macedon. 7 & 6 will be the favourites, but 2 & 12 should be okay value. 2,7,6,12 - 4,16,1

maverick1993 15th January 2006 12:49 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
JACK'S BACK!!! :)

Warrnambool R7 is a VERY strong race for a Sunday and he's been off the scene for a while, but he has a good each way hope, and he certainly owes me nothing. There are a heap of chances in the race, but I'm probably going to concentrate on four runnners - 2 Blue Collar Jack, 7 Postcode, 6 Myalansky and 12 Czar Of Macedon. 7 & 6 will be the favourites, but 2 & 12 should be okay value. 2,7,6,12 - 4,16,1


Good luck Sportz...jacks been very good to you..

I'm a fan of Showdown Kid ,,this horse has a huge sprint at the end,,,never looks in it till the last 5metres ,,,,,and also have Sir flex black booked ...
might have a big trifecta in this race ,,,and i'll have Jack in there somewhere :)

Sportz 15th January 2006 01:05 PM

MUSW R5 - 3 BATH (dangers 12 & 9) (3,12,9,11 - 10,7)
MUSW R6 - 6 SUTTON KING (dangers 1 & 5) (6,1,5 - 2,9)
MUSW R7 - 1 PRIOR VISCOUNT & 5 JACK AND ICE (1,5,3,10 - 2,4)
WARR R5 - 2 CAPE BRIDGEWATER & 10 MAGIC BREW
WARR R7 - 2 BLUE COLLAR JACK & 7 POSTCODE (dangers 6 & 12) (2,7,6,12 - 4,16,1)
KYNE R9 - 1 FULL TILT & 3 KING CHARLES
HBRT R4 - 6 LEKITAMA & 1 MIEWA'S QUEST (6,1,7 - 5,8)
GERA R8 - 4 SOLAR IMPACT & 7 HIGGINS GOLD (4,7,2,6 - 5,15,9)

Sportz 15th January 2006 03:11 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
WARR R7 - 2 BLUE COLLAR JACK & 7 POSTCODE (dangers 6 & 12) (2,7,6,12 - 4,16,1)


Tossed up between Kaseh and Big Poppa Pump for the last of the multi picks. Damn! Anyway, unfortunately, good old Jack wasn't quite up to it today, but Postcode certainly was. :)

Nice trifecta in R5 at Muswellbrook.

Sportz 15th January 2006 06:58 PM

Well, I definitely should have stuck to the regular venues and forgot all about Geraldton and Hobart. Apart from that, a good day.

Stix 16th January 2006 09:15 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Tossed up between Kaseh and Big Poppa Pump for the last of the multi picks. Damn! Anyway, unfortunately, good old Jack wasn't quite up to it today, but Postcode certainly was. :)

Nice trifecta in R5 at Muswellbrook.
Nevermind the tri..... what about the exacta....

9RENIKAE 11.002.00
10WARRABA JET 6.40
12LA PERU 1.40
SCR 5 8
Sub Fav 3
QN9*10158.10
EX9*10861.00
TF9*10*121082.80
A29*1029.90
9*124.80
10*1216.80

Sportz 16th January 2006 09:41 AM

What???? Geez, I never saw that. I had a quinella, but no exacta!!!

By the way, I still don't know how you reproduce those divs on here exactly as they appear on the TAB site? I can't seem to do it.

Sportz 16th January 2006 12:05 PM

MORU R8 - 1 FLURO FEVER & 6 LADY BRIONY (1,6,4,5 - 10,3)
WELL R1 - 12 ZELTA GLO (dangers 4 & 5)
WELL R3 - 5 TOP OCCASION & 6 CHYNNA SUCCESS (5,6,4,1 - 10,3)
WELL R8 - 1 CRAFTY POET & 5 INNOCENT LASS (1,5,2,6 - 7,9)
WELL R9 - 4 ELLA LA ROSSA & 1 CHIEF RESIDENT (4,1,3,6 - 5,2)

Stix 16th January 2006 01:23 PM

How to paste divy's............
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
What???? Geez, I never saw that. I had a quinella, but no exacta!!!

By the way, I still don't know how you reproduce those divs on here exactly as they appear on the TAB site? I can't seem to do it.
Highlight the divy's with your cursor
Press [Crtl] + [c] (Copy highlighted section)
Go to your post click into text box (i.e. wher you type your post)
and then press [Crtl] + [v] (Paste divy's into your post)

NSW diy's come up better than UNITAB.....

.............good luck fella.............

Sportz 16th January 2006 01:33 PM

Still no good. :o


9 RENIKAE 11.00 2.00
10 WARRABA JET 6.40
12 LA PERU 1.40
SCR 5 8
Sub Fav 3


QN 9*10 158.10
EX 9*10 861.00

TF 9*10*12 1082.80
A2 9*10 29.90
9*12 4.80
10*12 16.80


Oh well, never mind.

Sportz 16th January 2006 04:04 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
MORU R8 - 1 FLURO FEVER & 6 LADY BRIONY (1,6,4,5 - 10,3)


Now it's a heavy track apparently, so I've lost confidence here. Starting to get annoyed with these changing tracks.

Sportz 16th January 2006 04:40 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
WELL R8 - 1 CRAFTY POET & 5 INNOCENT LASS (1,5,2,6 - 7,9)


:o Ummm, sorry. I can't work out why I didn't include Chasin Sheilas in my tips post. I actually had it rated 4th, but for some silly reason I've left it out completely. Don't know why, because even if I didn't have it rated highly, I always try to make sure I include the unitab 100 rater in my multi picks anyway.

Sportz 16th January 2006 05:11 PM

Very disappointing day for the tips today so far.

Sportz 16th January 2006 05:56 PM

A bit better now thanks to the last at Moruya.

Sportz 17th January 2006 12:34 PM

ROCK R8 - 1 BROWNS PLAINS & 6 TERRINADAR (1,6,4,5 - 7,3)
ECHU R6 - 1 LUCKY PETRIC & 2 FALLOIR
ECHU R7 - 1 SURFIE PETE
ECHU R8 - 1 INCINERATOR (EW) (dangers 5 & 8) (1,5,8,3 - 2,9,10)
ECHU R9 - 1 NORHAVE (danger 3) (1,3,8,9 - 12,2)
ECHU R10 - 1 FINLAYSON (1,6,10,3 - 8,9,13)

Sportz 17th January 2006 12:37 PM

If topweights don't do well today, I'm in a bit of trouble. :o

Stix 17th January 2006 12:42 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
If topweights don't do well today, I'm in a bit of trouble. :o
Think it looks that kind of day fella. That's why I'm a little nerous about today - because it feels like one of those days where the "standout" could quite easily get rolled..... it's not logical, but it's the ol' "gut feeling".... let's hope I'm wrong for your sake ;)

Sportz 17th January 2006 12:53 PM

Yeah, I call days like that "too good to be true" days. You get a number of horses which stand out or look like great bets right from the first time you look at the field. And it NEVER seems to work out that way. So I wouldn't be surprised if my tips bomb out big time.

Hey, Brendan Tupper picked Blake Shinn to ride 6 winners today, and he's just won one of the other 4 where he didn't tip him. :D

luv2bet 17th January 2006 01:57 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
ROCK R8 - 1 BROWNS PLAINS & 6 TERRINADAR (1,6,4,5 - 7,3)
ECHU R6 - 1 LUCKY PETRIC & 2 FALLOIR
ECHU R7 - 1 SURFIE PETE
ECHU R8 - 1 INCINERATOR (EW) (dangers 5 & 8) (1,5,8,3 - 2,9,10)
ECHU R9 - 1 NORHAVE (danger 3) (1,3,8,9 - 12,2)
ECHU R10 - 1 FINLAYSON (1,6,10,3 - 8,9,13)


Gday sports,
Hope your echuca tips go well, I have exactly the same on all races (first picks)
Must be doing something right with my ratings!!!!!!!! Or maybe not..

Sportz 17th January 2006 02:26 PM

Yeah, probably not. :D

Seriously though, if that's the case, then I hope you go well too. I actually had Mr Marju picked out in R5 as well, but I just wasn't quite as confident about it, so left it out of the tips. Same with Hattie at Murwillumbah.


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