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Interested as well AP, but just don't know how to apply this new piece of info.
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Thanks for your reply and honesty AngryPixie, In my experience with ratings, Good to Dead tracks have generally performed better. In the case of Heavy tracks, it appears the crowd are generally onto it, though somewhat cautious, so overs can be attained. Personally, I'm not afraid to back a wet tracker if they are top of the ratings and all their form is on wet tracks. I for one am always looking at your posts AngryPixie, as I greatly respect your knowledge and if I recall from one of your posts, you're a muso, so you're alright with me!! Have a great night. |
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Jose If you can wait a month or so we both might have more of an idea. |
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Thanks TS, nice of you to say so :blush: Quote:
Have been and somebody is trying to convince me to come out of retirement but the spandex doesn't fit as well as it did in the 80's. |
One application this could have is the jockeys challenge. Never bet on this before but have had 4 successes from 4 attempts over the last 2 weeks. My early impression is that its a very inexact market - find a market where there is a good "lay", dutch 3 or 4 to profit from this imperfection.
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Aah AP is Plastic Bertrand? :D |
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Using the Crowd Ratings? That would be impressive :D Quote:
My original thought for these ratings was to gather the top three in a group overlay but the strike rate of the top three is a little too low for this. |
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A bit more leather than plastic back then, and more nylon and elastic these days. :) |
Results to August 11th
A pleasing 32.14% of top raters winning today. Our first dead heat too.
ALL track conditions Top 1) won 72.5 from 250 (29.0%) Top 2) won 106.5 from 250 (42.6%) Top 3) won 146.5 from 250 (58.6%) Top 4) won 174.5 from 250 (69.8%) Top 5) won 186.5 from 250 (74.6%) GOOD and DEAD tracks only Top 1) won 53.5 from 170 (31.5%) Top 2) won 75.5 from 170 (44.5%) Top 3) won 97.5 from 170 (57.5%) Top 4) won 111.5 from 170 (65.5%) Top 5) won 122.5 from 170 (72.0%) |
Crowd Ratings August 18th
RHIL Race 1 1 69 $16.50 2 60 $379.90 3 100 $3.80 4 93 $4.60 5 76 $9.40 6 93 $4.60 7 91 $4.90 RHIL Race 2 1 99 $3.70 2 100 $3.60 3 82 $6.40 4 --- --- 5 82 $6.40 6 75 $9.30 7 79 $7.40 8 73 $10.70 9 60 $352.90 10 63 $42.30 RHIL Race 4 1 100 $4.60 2 94 $5.30 3 --- --- 4 100 $4.60 5 60 $450.90 6 91 $5.90 7 83 $7.90 8 94 $5.30 9 63 $54.00 10 94 $5.30 11 94 $5.30 RHIL Race 5 1 76 $10.00 2 86 $6.20 3 64 $37.20 4 70 $15.80 5 90 $5.40 6 72 $13.20 7 82 $7.30 8 100 $4.10 9 90 $5.40 10 76 $10.00 11 82 $7.30 12 60 $401.90 13 96 $4.50 RHIL Race 6 1 87 $4.50 2 91 $3.90 3 --- --- 4 100 $3.00 5 60 $299.00 6 63 $35.80 7 69 $13.00 8 70 $11.70 9 72 $9.80 RHIL Race 7 1 71 $9.60 2 66 $17.00 3 77 $6.30 4 100 $2.70 5 69 $11.60 6 68 $13.00 7 69 $11.60 8 60 $267.20 9 82 $4.90 10 62 $45.30 11 77 $6.30 12 68 $13.00 13 63 $32.00 RHIL Race 8 1 67 $21.10 2 83 $6.70 3 --- --- 4 100 $3.90 5 72 $12.60 6 65 $28.90 7 81 $7.30 8 95 $4.40 9 86 $5.90 10 90 $5.10 11 --- --- 12 81 $7.30 13 --- --- 14 67 $21.10 15 77 $9.00 16 --- --- 17 60 $382.30 CAUL Race 1 1 83 $6.40 2 100 $3.70 3 80 $7.40 4 --- --- 5 95 $4.20 6 --- --- 7 --- --- 8 90 $4.90 9 --- --- 10 60 $367.60 11 60 $367.60 CAUL Race 2 1 --- --- 2 76 $8.00 3 93 $3.90 4 100 $3.20 5 69 $13.90 6 84 $5.40 7 71 $11.50 8 --- --- 9 60 $321.10 10 62 $54.40 11 76 $8.00 CAUL Race 5 1 --- --- 2 78 $4.40 3 60 $198.60 4 100 $2.00 5 --- --- 6 63 $23.80 7 --- --- 8 78 $4.40 CAUL Race 6 1 68 $19.30 2 92 $5.00 3 100 $4.00 4 --- --- 5 70 $15.60 6 100 $4.00 7 64 $36.80 8 74 $11.20 9 78 $8.80 10 68 $19.30 11 90 $5.30 12 --- --- 13 60 $397.00 CAUL Race 7 1 92 $5.50 2 --- --- 3 100 $4.40 4 83 $7.60 5 66 $27.80 6 71 $15.60 7 77 $10.20 8 71 $15.60 9 98 $4.60 10 94 $5.20 11 83 $7.60 12 --- --- 13 60 $436.20 14 92 $5.50 CAUL Race 8 1 69 $15.20 2 78 $7.80 3 98 $3.70 4 60 $350.50 5 96 $3.90 6 100 $3.50 7 --- --- 8 --- --- 9 --- --- 10 --- --- 11 67 $19.30 DOOM Race 2 1 60 $343.10 2 98 $3.60 3 100 $3.50 4 94 $4.10 5 70 $13.50 6 76 $8.50 DOOM Race 3 1 100 $2.70 2 --- --- 3 75 $7.10 4 60 $269.60 5 82 $4.90 6 77 $6.30 7 65 $20.30 8 63 $32.30 9 68 $13.10 10 74 $7.60 DOOM Race 4 1 71 $8.90 2 82 $4.60 3 60 $250.00 4 66 $15.90 5 100 $2.50 6 62 $42.40 7 68 $12.10 8 79 $5.30 DOOM Race 5 1 100 $3.70 2 88 $5.30 3 95 $4.30 4 74 $10.50 5 88 $5.30 6 78 $8.20 7 --- --- 8 60 $370.10 DOOM Race 6 1 81 $5.50 2 63 $34.30 3 62 $48.60 4 --- --- 5 81 $5.50 6 79 $6.00 7 66 $18.30 8 --- --- 9 71 $10.30 10 74 $8.10 11 60 $286.80 12 100 $2.90 13 66 $18.30 DOOM Race 7 1 88 $5.50 2 85 $6.20 3 97 $4.20 4 77 $9.00 5 100 $3.90 6 65 $29.00 7 85 $6.20 8 70 $15.10 9 --- --- 10 67 $21.20 11 65 $29.00 12 63 $46.10 13 65 $29.00 14 70 $15.10 15 72 $12.70 16 --- --- 17 60 $384.80 DOOM Race 8 1 --- --- 2 --- --- 3 --- --- 4 100 $3.50 5 86 $5.30 6 84 $5.70 7 60 $343.10 8 88 $4.90 9 68 $16.70 10 64 $31.80 11 62 $58.20 12 80 $6.90 13 64 $31.80 MORP Race 1 1 100 $4.10 2 90 $5.40 3 88 $5.80 4 86 $6.20 5 77 $9.40 6 84 $6.70 7 98 $4.30 8 60 $401.90 9 65 $30.30 MORP Race 4 1 73 $13.90 2 --- --- 3 100 $4.60 4 98 $4.80 5 94 $5.40 6 79 $9.60 7 60 $455.80 8 94 $5.40 9 98 $4.80 MORP Race 5 1 78 $5.80 2 --- --- 3 69 $11.30 4 74 $7.40 5 100 $2.60 6 83 $4.50 7 63 $31.10 8 60 $259.80 MORP Race 6 1 100 $2.50 2 62 $42.00 3 76 $6.20 4 60 $247.60 5 --- --- 6 84 $4.10 7 63 $29.60 8 76 $6.20 MORP Race 7 1 --- --- 2 69 $13.90 3 75 $8.50 4 88 $4.60 5 82 $5.80 6 84 $5.40 7 100 $3.20 8 73 $9.80 9 61 $93.10 10 60 $321.10 COWR Race 2 1 91 $5.20 2 100 $4.00 3 72 $13.10 4 84 $6.60 5 91 $5.20 6 73 $12.10 7 76 $9.90 8 87 $5.90 9 91 $5.20 10 70 $15.60 11 69 $17.20 12 60 $397.00 K_GR Race 7 1 80 $8.80 2 71 $15.70 3 82 $8.00 4 91 $5.70 5 96 $4.90 6 95 $5.10 7 100 $4.40 8 95 $5.10 9 78 $9.70 10 --- --- 11 85 $7.00 12 84 $7.30 13 60 $438.70 TATU Race 8 1 --- --- 2 --- --- 3 --- --- 4 --- --- 5 100 $2.30 6 60 $223.10 7 85 $3.60 8 62 $37.80 9 75 $5.90 10 --- --- 11 67 $12.30 GCST Race 4 1 93 $4.90 2 86 $6.10 3 100 $4.00 4 79 $8.30 5 97 $4.30 6 60 $397.00 7 84 $6.60 8 62 $67.30 9 69 $17.20 GCST Race 5 1 87 $4.70 2 94 $3.80 3 73 $9.60 4 60 $316.20 5 100 $3.20 6 71 $11.30 7 64 $29.30 8 62 $53.60 9 73 $9.60 10 60 $316.20 GCST Race 8 1 100 $4.10 2 94 $4.80 3 60 $401.90 4 90 $5.40 5 76 $10.00 6 92 $5.10 7 70 $15.80 8 86 $6.20 9 --- --- 10 72 $13.20 11 68 $19.50 12 60 $401.90 |
Crowd Ratings August 18th
BLMT Race 3
1 83 $6.10 2 85 $5.60 3 82 $6.30 4 78 $7.70 5 80 $7.00 6 90 $4.70 7 100 $3.50 8 60 $348.00 9 73 $10.60 BLMT Race 4 1 71 $12.40 2 71 $12.40 3 100 $3.50 4 95 $4.00 5 95 $4.00 6 67 $19.00 7 65 $26.10 8 78 $7.70 9 60 $345.60 BLMT Race 5 1 84 $7.10 2 95 $4.90 3 98 $4.50 4 100 $4.30 5 76 $10.60 6 95 $4.90 7 60 $426.40 8 82 $7.80 9 --- --- 10 73 $13.00 11 73 $13.00 12 67 $23.50 BLMT Race 6 1 60 $301.50 2 73 $9.20 3 73 $9.20 4 87 $4.50 5 76 $7.50 6 78 $6.70 7 78 $6.70 8 69 $13.10 9 64 $27.90 10 78 $6.70 11 78 $6.70 12 100 $3.00 13 60 $301.50 BLMT Race 7 1 100 $4.70 2 91 $6.10 3 62 $79.30 4 84 $7.80 5 77 $11.00 6 --- --- 7 86 $7.20 8 76 $11.60 9 100 $4.70 10 95 $5.40 11 86 $7.20 12 95 $5.40 13 97 $5.10 14 97 $5.10 15 86 $7.20 16 60 $468.10 BLMT Race 8 1 93 $4.10 2 84 $5.60 3 69 $14.60 4 60 $335.80 5 71 $12.00 6 78 $7.40 7 78 $7.40 8 60 $335.80 9 100 $3.40 10 73 $10.20 11 80 $6.70 12 76 $8.40 13 --- --- 14 --- --- 15 60 $335.80 16 67 $18.50 17 62 $56.90 TWBA Race 2 1 --- --- 2 100 $4.10 3 84 $6.70 4 --- --- 5 100 $4.10 6 90 $5.40 7 88 $5.80 8 60 $401.90 9 65 $30.30 TWBA Race 4 1 95 $4.90 2 90 $5.80 3 82 $7.80 4 78 $9.50 5 93 $5.20 6 --- --- 7 60 $428.90 8 --- --- 9 95 $4.90 10 100 $4.30 11 70 $16.80 TWBA Race 5 1 92 $4.50 2 94 $4.20 3 100 $3.60 4 75 $9.50 5 71 $12.80 6 83 $6.20 7 66 $22.80 8 66 $22.80 9 60 $357.80 |
Results to August 18th
Just over half the races were won by our top two raters yesterday. :cool"
ALL track conditions Top 1) won 81.5 from 290 (28.1%) Top 2) won 127.5 from 290 (43.9%) Top 3) won 172.5 from 290 (59.5%) Top 4) won 203.5 from 290 (70.2%) Top 5) won 217.5 from 290 (75.0%) GOOD and DEAD tracks only Top 1) won 59.5 from 198 (30.2%) Top 2) won 91.5 from 198 (46.4%) Top 3) won 116.5 from 198 (59.1%) Top 4) won 132.5 from 198 (67.2%) Top 5) won 143.5 from 198 (72.8%) |
AP,
I can get similar figures just using the tatts ratings. Top rank : 22% Top 2 : 40% Top 3 : 54% Top 4 : 66% Top 5 : 77% All Ratings are good at finding the main contenders but how are you going to use these to profit ? |
UB yes that's around about the same figure I get for the Tatt's top rater.
This really started as an exercise in to see if we could improve the accuracy of our three "crowd" members by combining their freely available ratings into a single rating. To date I think we're achieving that. From my very irregular recordings of their individual performances I show the following Tatt's: 22.74% Sky: 23.74% Neural: 20.06% At worst the "crowd" is doing 18.3% better than the best individual. Not too bad I think. I got that figure by dividing the Crowd's all track conditions top rated result 28.1% by the best of the individual's - Sky's 23.74% Now making a profit is another matter entirely and the next puzzle piece to work on after improving the pricing equation. If we can firm up our strike rate which can only happen over time, and improve the accuracy of our prices so they take that strike rate into consideration, there's almost certainly going to be some way of using these numbers for profit. There was very little value around last Saturday but the week before from memory a couple of double figure 100 raters won. |
AP I don't know how you can incorporate this but at this time of year any set of ratings struggle.
On the one hand you have rock hard fit "Winter" class horses meeting on the other hand not quite fully fit "Carnival" class horses. Which tends to even the fields out somewhat. If you can separate out the period from 1st July to 1st Sept from the rest of the year you may see some improvement. looking forward to the findings from this exercise as it happens, as surely there has to be a way to get a quid out of this. (That has been my war cry for 30+ years by the way) |
Jose
I understand what you're getting at and in a small way we can see that from the improved strike rate of our top selection on Good and Dead tracks. I've observed that a couple of the ratings services (Neurals mainly but also Sky to some extent) often over estimate the effect of returning from a spell. If I was to do this again I'd certainly set days last raced to zero in the Neurals. As we've pretty much operated this within the months you mentioned I look forward to an improved strike rate in the coming months :) Without pre-empting the findings at all I think I can say that the market must be respected and when the money is not there for our selection, or it comes for another lower ranked selection then our crowd have probably missed something. I think we'll find that there's a point where our overlay becomes a liability and we shouldn't go over. I think the optimum size of the "crowd" in this exercise is probably from 3 to 5. My feeling is that as we add more members the benefits will start to diminish until eventually our crowd will really just reflect the market which although being the most accurate crowd, is tough to make a profit from. :( With this in mind my view is that ratings and the prices we derive from them are really only useful in the way we can use them to influence the size our bet's. I feel some hold ratings in much higher regard than is warranted, especially in modern markets as opposed to the Don Scott market's of the 50's, 60's and 70's. To this end I don't believe in the conventional interpretation of overs or unders. I don't think a 3/1 rated horse starting at 5/1 has been missed by the market. It's just a 5/1 horse that we're hoping will run as a 3/1 horse. If we win on this "overlay" it isn't because we were right and everybody else was wrong, it's just that we've profited from variance and luck :) |
AP,
Thanks for your response and it was a really thought inspiring answer. I was talking more from the top 5 selections rather then top rater as the top 5 are probably similar between all the ratings in most races although tipped differnt order. But your top rater is out performing the other tipsters which is excellent. Thanks for the ratings. |
Saturday September 1st will be the last day of listing the Crowd Ratings in the current form. I'll spend September re-pricing and reviewing with view of returning in an improved form in October for the Spring.
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Crowd Ratings August 25th
More venues to follow.
WFRM Race 1 1 98 $3.40 2 100 $3.20 3 72 $10.40 4 85 $5.10 5 --- --- 6 72 $10.40 7 68 $15.30 8 60 $316.20 WFRM Race 2 1 93 $4.60 2 90 $5.00 3 100 $3.80 4 60 $375.00 5 80 $7.50 6 63 $44.90 7 88 $5.40 8 69 $16.30 WFRM Race 3 1 78 $6.70 2 100 $3.00 3 83 $5.30 4 90 $4.00 5 66 $19.20 6 65 $22.80 7 70 $11.80 8 60 $301.50 9 67 $16.60 WFRM Race 4 1 75 $10.10 2 --- --- 3 80 $7.60 4 95 $4.40 5 68 $18.40 6 78 $8.40 7 77 $8.90 8 88 $5.50 9 69 $16.50 10 60 $379.90 11 75 $10.10 12 82 $6.90 13 88 $5.50 14 --- --- 15 100 $3.80 WFRM Race 5 1 94 $5.00 2 84 $7.10 3 99 $4.40 4 100 $4.30 5 83 $7.40 6 70 $16.60 7 60 $424.00 8 94 $5.00 9 63 $50.80 10 75 $11.20 WFRM Race 6 1 78 $7.00 2 100 $3.20 3 74 $9.00 4 65 $23.90 5 73 $9.60 6 72 $10.40 7 61 $91.60 8 60 $316.20 9 81 $6.00 10 72 $10.40 11 75 $8.40 12 84 $5.30 13 84 $5.30 WFRM Race 7 1 72 $9.30 2 79 $5.90 3 60 $281.90 4 64 $26.10 5 --- --- 6 74 $8.00 7 77 $6.60 8 82 $5.10 9 75 $7.50 10 100 $2.80 WFRM Race 8 1 94 $4.20 2 88 $5.10 3 76 $8.80 4 100 $3.60 5 79 $7.50 6 78 $7.90 7 --- --- 8 82 $6.50 9 74 $10.10 10 69 $15.40 11 60 $355.40 12 70 $13.90 13 68 $17.30 M_V_ Race 2 1 85 $5.50 2 100 $3.40 3 84 $5.70 4 78 $7.60 5 89 $4.70 6 60 $340.70 7 79 $7.20 8 74 $9.70 9 76 $8.50 10 77 $8.00 11 75 $9.00 M_V_ Race 3 1 --- --- 2 100 $2.50 3 --- --- 4 93 $3.00 5 67 $13.50 6 --- --- 7 64 $22.70 8 --- --- 9 74 $6.90 10 60 $245.10 11 61 $71.00 M_V_ Race 4 1 100 $3.30 2 79 $6.90 3 78 $7.20 4 85 $5.20 5 69 $14.10 6 64 $30.20 7 84 $5.50 8 60 $326.00 9 83 $5.70 10 75 $8.60 11 71 $11.70 M_V_ Race 5 1 60 $308.80 2 100 $3.10 3 82 $5.60 4 76 $7.70 5 84 $5.20 6 82 $5.60 7 60 $308.80 8 63 $37.00 9 73 $9.40 10 61 $89.50 M_V_ Race 6 1 90 $4.80 2 74 $10.20 3 100 $3.60 4 74 $10.20 5 71 $12.90 6 --- --- 7 63 $43.10 8 90 $4.80 9 --- --- 10 --- --- 11 70 $14.10 12 73 $11.00 13 85 $5.80 14 80 $7.20 15 60 $360.30 M_V_ Race 7 1 76 $10.10 2 60 $406.80 3 84 $6.80 4 79 $8.60 5 76 $10.10 6 100 $4.10 7 65 $30.70 8 74 $11.50 9 79 $8.60 10 94 $4.80 11 95 $4.70 12 91 $5.30 13 67 $22.40 M_V_ Race 8 1 100 $3.90 2 81 $7.40 3 --- --- 4 92 $4.90 5 60 $389.70 6 98 $4.10 7 69 $16.90 8 76 $9.70 9 67 $21.50 10 78 $8.60 11 86 $6.00 12 76 $9.70 13 73 $11.90 DOOM Race 1 1 88 $5.20 2 100 $3.70 3 91 $4.70 4 88 $5.20 5 70 $14.30 6 80 $7.30 7 72 $12.00 8 60 $365.20 DOOM Race 2 1 82 $6.10 2 60 $335.80 3 97 $3.70 4 96 $3.80 5 100 $3.40 DOOM Race 3 1 95 $4.70 2 97 $4.40 3 91 $5.30 4 80 $8.10 5 68 $19.60 6 60 $404.40 7 76 $10.10 8 79 $8.50 9 73 $12.30 10 100 $4.10 11 76 $10.10 DOOM Race 4 1 100 $3.20 2 73 $9.50 3 86 $4.80 4 76 $7.80 5 80 $6.30 6 84 $5.20 7 68 $15.20 8 75 $8.30 9 68 $15.20 10 65 $23.70 11 63 $37.60 12 66 $20.00 13 60 $313.70 DOOM Race 6 1 100 $4.10 2 63 $49.00 3 94 $4.90 4 89 $5.70 5 94 $4.90 6 88 $5.90 7 69 $17.80 8 63 $49.00 9 75 $10.80 10 60 $409.30 11 --- --- 12 85 $6.60 13 --- --- 14 61 $118.60 DOOM Race 7 1 80 $8.40 2 100 $4.30 3 62 $71.40 4 100 $4.30 5 75 $11.20 6 82 $7.70 7 79 $8.90 8 74 $11.90 9 76 $10.50 10 79 $8.90 11 97 $4.60 12 74 $11.90 13 91 $5.50 14 61 $122.20 15 60 $421.50 16 82 $7.70 DOOM Race 8 1 --- --- 2 93 $4.90 3 77 $9.30 4 --- --- 5 86 $6.10 6 74 $11.20 7 100 $4.00 8 87 $5.90 9 94 $4.70 10 85 $6.40 11 80 $7.90 12 77 $9.30 13 60 $397.00 14 73 $12.10 15 61 $115.10 MORP Race 1 1 91 $3.90 2 100 $3.00 3 72 $9.80 4 75 $7.90 5 82 $5.40 6 60 $299.00 MORP Race 3 1 71 $6.80 2 63 $22.90 3 72 $6.30 4 70 $7.50 5 100 $1.90 6 --- --- 7 --- --- 8 60 $191.20 MORP Race 4 1 61 $88.10 2 100 $3.10 3 89 $4.20 4 74 $8.60 5 85 $4.90 6 74 $8.60 7 60 $303.90 8 64 $28.10 9 64 $28.10 MORP Race 5 1 85 $5.20 2 68 $15.70 3 100 $3.30 4 --- --- 5 71 $11.60 6 --- --- 7 97 $3.50 8 --- --- 9 70 $12.70 10 60 $323.50 11 77 $7.60 MORP Race 6 1 92 $4.60 2 --- --- 3 84 $6.10 4 90 $4.90 5 --- --- 6 81 $7.00 7 100 $3.70 8 67 $20.10 9 60 $365.20 MORP Race 7 1 88 $4.90 2 68 $16.70 3 77 $8.00 4 77 $8.00 5 88 $4.90 6 85 $5.50 7 --- --- 8 67 $18.90 9 63 $41.10 10 72 $11.30 11 60 $343.10 12 100 $3.50 MORP Race 8 1 99 $4.30 2 60 $419.10 3 89 $5.80 4 --- --- 5 69 $18.20 6 95 $4.80 7 100 $4.20 8 86 $6.50 9 77 $9.80 10 --- --- 11 80 $8.40 12 74 $11.90 |
Crowd Ratings August 25th
BLMT and TWBA to follow. Busy day today :eek:
GCST Race 5 1 --- --- 2 --- --- 3 66 $13.10 4 70 $8.10 5 79 $4.30 6 --- --- 7 67 $11.30 8 100 $2.10 9 60 $205.90 GCST Race 7 1 85 $5.60 2 100 $3.50 3 87 $5.20 4 84 $5.90 5 81 $6.70 6 85 $5.60 7 82 $6.40 8 77 $8.20 9 73 $10.70 10 72 $11.50 11 60 $350.50 12 72 $11.50 13 64 $32.40 GCST Race 8 1 94 $4.70 2 70 $15.50 3 95 $4.50 4 84 $6.60 5 86 $6.10 6 75 $10.50 7 100 $4.00 8 81 $7.50 9 --- --- 10 80 $7.90 11 68 $19.20 12 62 $66.90 13 60 $394.60 NCLE Race 5 1 99 $5.00 2 97 $5.30 3 87 $7.20 4 100 $4.90 5 100 $4.90 6 99 $5.00 7 83 $8.40 8 84 $8.10 9 --- --- 10 60 $482.80 TOWN Race 2 1 81 $7.40 2 94 $4.60 3 100 $3.90 4 84 $6.50 5 77 $9.10 6 93 $4.70 7 85 $6.20 8 74 $11.00 9 82 $7.10 10 60 $387.20 11 75 $10.30 12 75 $10.30 13 66 $24.70 14 69 $16.80 TOWN Race 4 1 99 $4.60 2 100 $4.50 3 90 $6.00 4 92 $5.60 5 87 $6.60 6 97 $4.80 7 91 $5.80 8 84 $7.40 9 60 $443.60 TOWN Race 5 1 100 $3.60 2 --- --- 3 77 $8.30 4 77 $8.30 5 68 $17.10 6 94 $4.20 7 71 $12.60 8 81 $6.70 9 90 $4.70 10 60 $352.90 11 63 $42.30 12 65 $26.60 13 62 $59.80 TOWN Race 6 1 96 $4.70 2 100 $4.20 3 94 $4.90 4 70 $16.30 5 69 $18.10 6 70 $16.30 7 91 $5.40 8 87 $6.20 9 60 $416.60 TOWN Race 7 1 83 $5.40 2 100 $3.10 3 78 $6.80 4 74 $8.70 5 75 $8.20 6 86 $4.80 7 72 $10.20 8 77 $7.20 9 65 $23.30 10 66 $19.70 11 60 $308.80 |
Crowd Ratings August 25th
BLMT Race 2
1 68 $20.50 2 64 $39.00 3 100 $4.30 4 83 $7.30 5 90 $5.70 6 60 $421.50 7 100 $4.30 8 97 $4.60 BLMT Race 3 1 100 $3.20 2 86 $4.90 3 89 $4.40 4 --- --- 5 --- --- 6 73 $9.60 7 60 $316.20 8 65 $23.90 9 79 $6.60 10 68 $15.30 BLMT Race 4 1 100 $4.10 2 81 $7.80 3 92 $5.20 4 60 $409.30 5 81 $7.80 6 92 $5.20 7 --- --- 8 77 $9.60 9 100 $4.10 10 67 $22.50 BLMT Race 6 1 96 $4.30 2 79 $8.00 3 100 $3.80 4 84 $6.40 5 76 $9.40 6 76 $9.40 7 81 $7.20 8 92 $4.80 9 72 $12.50 10 60 $379.90 BLMT Race 7 1 86 $6.50 2 100 $4.20 3 68 $20.30 4 93 $5.10 5 67 $23.10 6 77 $9.80 7 98 $4.50 8 60 $419.10 9 --- --- 10 75 $11.10 11 92 $5.30 BLMT Race 8 1 --- --- 2 --- --- 3 84 $7.00 4 87 $6.20 5 100 $4.20 6 83 $7.30 7 73 $12.80 8 --- --- 9 71 $15.00 10 81 $8.00 11 73 $12.80 12 78 $9.30 13 95 $4.80 14 --- --- 15 98 $4.50 16 82 $7.60 17 --- --- 18 89 $5.80 19 60 $419.10 TWBA Race 1 1 100 $3.50 2 90 $4.70 3 95 $4.00 4 78 $7.70 5 66 $22.20 6 77 $8.20 7 60 $348.00 8 61 $100.90 9 67 $19.20 TWBA Race 5 1 --- --- 2 100 $3.00 3 90 $4.00 4 76 $7.40 5 89 $4.10 6 64 $27.50 7 60 $296.60 TWBA Race 7 1 100 $2.70 2 92 $3.40 3 63 $32.60 4 77 $6.40 5 77 $6.40 6 60 $272.10 |
Here's one way to bet the top 5 rated, using estimated prices.
Bet 1.0 unit on the unders. Bet 1.3 units on the overs. Try & target races where the 3rd Fav in the live market, is 6.20+ This generally helps to avoid being confronted with constant short paying results, thus helping in the process towards showing a profit overall. |
Using 3-5 tipsters is a sound idea,
rather than using , say 10 tipsters. I have noticed in the past that using say the 5 tipsters in the Herald seemed to deliver stronger priced results than say using the 10 tipsters in The Australian. |
Thanks Bhag's. There'll probably be a number of way's we can look at these ratings including ways I haven't envisaged. :)
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Crowd Ratings September 1st
Today concludes the trial in it's current form. Today's prices are a sneak peak at what I'll probably use when the Crowd Ratings return. I'd still take them with a grain of salt at this stage though. You'll notice that there's a more realistic spread of prices over the field. I've included a percentage next to each runner for ease of repricing the field in case of scratchings. The calculation of the ratings figure remains unchanged.
Hope you've found these of some use over the trial period. I'll post some of my reworkings during the month as I work out where (hopefully) the profit lays. I'd be interested to hear how you've used these numbers to date, if at all. BLMT and TWBA to follow. RHIL Race 1 1 100 37.4% $2.70 2 91 17.2% $5.80 3 --- --- --- 4 82 7.9% $12.60 5 89 14.5% $6.90 6 77 5.2% $19.40 7 80 6.7% $15.00 8 76 4.7% $21.10 9 60 1.2% $83.70 10 77 5.2% $19.40 RHIL Race 3 1 83 6.1% $16.30 2 --- --- --- 3 92 13.3% $7.50 4 94 15.8% $6.30 5 80 4.7% $21.10 6 99 24.4% $4.10 7 66 1.4% $70.40 8 100 26.6% $3.80 9 80 4.7% $21.10 10 70 2.0% $49.90 11 60 0.8% $117.90 RHIL Race 4 1 --- --- --- 2 67 1.9% $51.80 3 72 3.0% $33.70 4 77 4.6% $21.90 5 60 1.1% $94.70 6 87 10.8% $9.30 7 100 33.1% $3.00 8 --- --- --- 9 66 1.8% $56.50 10 100 33.1% $3.00 11 87 10.8% $9.30 RHIL Race 5 1 97 33.8% $3.00 2 100 43.8% $2.30 3 61 1.5% $65.70 4 89 17.0% $5.90 5 60 1.4% $71.60 6 67 2.6% $39.20 RHIL Race 6 1 60 1.6% $64.30 2 89 18.9% $5.30 3 64 2.2% $45.60 4 75 5.7% $17.70 5 100 48.7% $2.10 6 79 8.0% $12.50 7 68 3.1% $32.30 8 67 2.8% $35.20 9 65 2.4% $41.80 10 77 6.7% $14.90 RHIL Race 7 1 94 17.4% $5.70 2 72 2.6% $38.20 3 71 2.4% $41.60 4 100 29.2% $3.40 5 99 26.8% $3.70 6 91 13.4% $7.40 7 64 1.3% $76.10 8 73 2.9% $35.10 9 69 2.0% $49.50 10 62 1.1% $90.40 11 60 0.9% $107.40 RHIL Race 8 1 72 4.6% $21.90 2 70 3.8% $26.00 3 79 8.3% $12.00 4 83 11.8% $8.50 5 64 2.3% $43.60 6 --- --- --- 7 --- --- --- 8 85 14.0% $7.20 9 60 1.6% $61.60 10 --- --- --- 11 66 2.7% $36.70 12 --- --- --- 13 --- --- --- 14 100 50.9% $2.00 CAUL Race 2 1 88 11.7% $8.60 2 63 1.4% $73.60 3 85 9.0% $11.10 4 81 6.4% $15.60 5 60 1.0% $95.30 6 91 15.1% $6.60 7 91 15.1% $6.60 8 --- --- --- 9 76 4.2% $24.00 10 100 32.9% $3.00 11 67 1.9% $52.20 12 62 1.2% $80.20 CAUL Race 3 1 94 15.6% $6.40 2 86 7.8% $12.70 3 --- --- --- 4 89 10.2% $9.80 5 --- --- --- 6 100 26.2% $3.80 7 85 7.2% $13.90 8 95 17.0% $5.90 9 88 9.3% $10.70 10 60 0.8% $119.60 11 70 2.0% $50.50 12 68 1.7% $60.00 13 71 2.2% $46.40 CAUL Race 5 1 100 49.8% $2.00 2 --- --- --- 3 90 21.1% $4.70 4 66 2.7% $37.50 5 68 3.2% $31.50 6 --- --- --- 7 70 3.8% $26.60 8 60 1.6% $62.80 9 79 8.2% $12.20 10 81 9.7% $10.30 CAUL Race 6 1 79 6.3% $15.90 2 67 2.2% $44.70 3 87 12.5% $8.00 4 64 1.7% $57.90 5 60 1.2% $81.70 6 62 1.5% $68.80 7 67 2.2% $44.70 8 100 38.3% $2.60 9 71 3.2% $31.70 10 84 9.7% $10.30 11 72 3.4% $29.10 12 81 7.5% $13.40 13 66 2.1% $48.70 14 80 6.9% $14.60 15 61 1.3% $74.90 CAUL Race 7 1 75 2.9% $34.60 2 85 6.8% $14.60 3 94 14.8% $6.70 4 67 1.5% $68.90 5 94 14.8% $6.70 6 72 2.2% $44.80 7 100 24.9% $4.00 8 69 1.7% $58.00 9 81 4.8% $20.60 10 73 2.4% $41.10 11 86 7.4% $13.40 12 84 6.3% $15.90 13 60 0.8% $125.90 14 80 4.4% $22.50 15 70 1.9% $53.20 16 72 2.2% $44.80 CAUL Race 8 1 78 4.9% $20.20 2 81 6.4% $15.60 3 100 32.9% $3.00 4 62 1.2% $80.10 5 96 23.3% $4.30 6 --- --- --- 7 83 7.6% $13.10 8 75 3.8% $26.20 9 79 5.4% $18.50 10 60 1.1% $95.20 11 65 1.6% $61.90 12 65 1.6% $61.90 13 84 8.3% $12.10 14 66 1.8% $56.80 EFRM Race 1 1 85 10.5% $9.50 2 100 38.3% $2.60 3 86 11.5% $8.70 4 91 17.6% $5.70 5 88 13.6% $7.30 6 64 1.7% $58.00 7 68 2.4% $41.10 8 71 3.1% $31.70 9 60 1.2% $81.90 EFRM Race 2 1 60 1.6% $63.20 2 63 2.1% $48.80 3 100 49.6% $2.00 4 88 17.6% $5.70 5 73 4.8% $20.60 6 --- --- --- 7 85 13.6% $7.30 8 70 3.7% $26.70 9 60 1.6% $63.20 10 60 1.6% $63.20 11 70 3.7% $26.70 EFRM Race 4 1 86 10.5% $9.50 2 75 4.1% $24.50 3 100 35.1% $2.90 4 100 35.1% $2.90 5 75 4.1% $24.50 6 68 2.2% $44.80 7 --- --- --- 8 60 1.1% $89.30 9 76 4.4% $22.50 10 73 3.4% $29.20 EFRM Race 5 1 85 6.4% $15.60 2 90 9.9% $10.10 3 68 1.5% $67.30 4 88 8.3% $12.00 5 --- --- --- 6 81 4.5% $22.00 7 --- --- --- 8 80 4.2% $24.00 9 75 2.7% $36.90 10 99 21.4% $4.70 11 100 23.4% $4.30 12 93 12.8% $7.80 13 --- --- --- 14 80 4.2% $24.00 15 --- --- --- 16 60 0.7% $134.10 EFRM Race 6 1 96 15.5% $6.50 2 100 21.8% $4.60 3 86 6.5% $15.30 4 80 3.9% $25.70 5 80 3.9% $25.70 6 92 11.0% $9.10 7 89 8.5% $11.80 8 98 18.4% $5.40 9 71 1.8% $55.70 10 72 2.0% $51.10 11 70 1.6% $60.70 12 61 0.8% $131.80 13 66 1.2% $85.70 14 60 0.7% $143.60 15 64 1.0% $101.80 16 70 1.6% $60.70 EFRM Race 7 1 89 7.1% $14.10 2 93 10.0% $10.00 3 77 2.5% $39.60 4 86 5.5% $18.20 5 84 4.6% $21.70 6 100 18.3% $5.50 7 --- --- --- 8 --- --- --- 9 87 6.0% $16.70 10 83 4.2% $23.60 11 100 18.3% $5.50 12 94 10.9% $9.20 13 60 0.6% $171.00 14 95 11.9% $8.40 EFRM Race 8 1 82 7.9% $12.70 2 73 3.6% $27.60 3 --- --- --- 4 95 24.1% $4.20 5 --- --- --- 6 69 2.6% $39.00 7 --- --- --- 8 --- --- --- 9 60 1.2% $84.60 10 70 2.8% $35.80 11 68 2.4% $42.50 12 63 1.5% $65.40 13 87 12.1% $8.30 14 70 2.8% $35.80 15 100 37.0% $2.70 16 67 2.2% $46.30 MORP Race 6 1 60 1.2% $86.90 2 96 25.5% $3.90 3 --- --- --- 4 86 10.8% $9.30 5 68 2.3% $43.70 6 100 36.0% $2.80 7 83 8.3% $12.00 8 89 14.0% $7.20 9 --- --- --- 10 66 1.9% $51.90 MORP Race 7 1 91 16.1% $6.20 2 85 9.6% $10.40 3 75 4.1% $24.60 4 70 2.6% $37.80 5 78 5.3% $19.00 6 70 2.6% $37.80 7 88 12.5% $8.00 8 100 35.0% $2.90 9 76 4.4% $22.50 10 77 4.8% $20.70 11 --- --- --- 12 60 1.1% $89.40 13 65 1.7% $58.10 MORP Race 8 1 79 8.8% $11.40 2 100 53.6% $1.90 3 --- --- --- 4 65 2.6% $38.00 5 --- --- --- 6 --- --- --- 7 76 6.8% $14.70 8 72 4.8% $20.80 9 79 8.8% $11.40 10 70 4.0% $24.70 11 70 4.0% $24.70 12 65 2.6% $38.00 13 63 2.2% $45.20 14 60 1.7% $58.50 HAWK Race 2 1 100 58.1% $1.70 2 --- --- --- 3 90 24.6% $4.10 4 67 3.4% $29.50 5 67 3.4% $29.50 6 --- --- --- 7 78 8.7% $11.40 8 60 1.9% $53.90 HAWK Race 4 1 100 49.1% $2.00 2 90 20.8% $4.80 3 72 4.4% $22.70 4 90 20.8% $4.80 5 69 3.4% $29.40 6 60 1.6% $63.80 KILM Race 6 1 87 12.6% $7.90 2 91 17.8% $5.60 3 76 4.9% $20.40 4 92 19.4% $5.10 5 60 1.2% $80.90 6 70 2.9% $34.20 7 67 2.3% $44.30 8 --- --- --- 9 100 38.7% $2.60 GCST Race 1 1 60 1.6% $61.50 2 100 50.9% $2.00 3 91 23.4% $4.30 4 73 5.0% $20.10 5 81 9.9% $10.10 6 71 4.2% $23.90 7 73 5.0% $20.10 GCST Race 6 1 92 18.5% $5.40 2 100 36.9% $2.70 3 60 1.2% $84.90 4 81 7.2% $13.90 5 93 20.2% $5.00 6 74 3.9% $25.40 7 85 10.1% $9.90 8 66 2.0% $50.60 |
Crowd Ratings September 1st
BLMT Race 4
1 88 18.9% $5.30 2 78 8.0% $12.50 3 65 2.6% $38.30 4 81 10.3% $9.70 5 60 1.7% $59.00 6 69 3.7% $27.20 7 100 53.1% $1.90 8 60 1.7% $59.00 BLMT Race 5 1 80 5.0% $20.20 2 95 18.0% $5.50 3 69 1.9% $52.00 4 60 0.9% $112.80 5 94 16.6% $6.00 6 82 5.9% $17.00 7 --- --- --- 8 95 18.0% $5.50 9 75 3.2% $31.00 10 100 27.8% $3.60 11 73 2.7% $36.80 BLMT Race 6 1 86 10.8% $9.20 2 71 3.0% $33.60 3 88 12.9% $7.80 4 70 2.7% $36.60 5 68 2.3% $43.50 6 85 9.9% $10.10 7 88 12.9% $7.80 8 70 2.7% $36.60 9 60 1.2% $86.60 10 100 36.2% $2.80 11 78 5.4% $18.40 BLMT Race 7 1 85 8.9% $11.30 2 60 1.0% $97.00 3 100 32.3% $3.10 4 --- --- --- 5 86 9.7% $10.30 6 86 9.7% $10.30 7 86 9.7% $10.30 8 72 2.9% $34.50 9 77 4.5% $22.40 10 70 2.4% $41.00 11 85 8.9% $11.30 12 71 2.7% $37.60 13 83 7.5% $13.40 BLMT Race 8 1 100 19.0% $5.30 2 84 4.8% $20.90 3 84 4.8% $20.90 4 98 16.0% $6.30 5 78 2.9% $35.00 6 93 10.4% $9.60 7 87 6.2% $16.10 8 78 2.9% $35.00 9 99 17.4% $5.70 10 83 4.4% $22.80 11 90 8.0% $12.50 12 60 0.6% $164.90 13 61 0.7% $151.30 14 74 2.0% $49.40 TWBA Race 1 1 60 1.1% $93.40 2 --- --- --- 3 87 11.0% $9.10 4 93 18.4% $5.40 5 89 13.0% $7.70 6 86 10.0% $10.00 7 89 13.0% $7.70 8 100 33.5% $3.00 TWBA Race 2 1 --- --- --- 2 94 16.5% $6.10 3 100 27.7% $3.60 4 --- --- --- 5 85 7.6% $13.20 6 100 27.7% $3.60 7 94 16.5% $6.10 8 75 3.2% $31.10 9 60 0.9% $113.20 TWBA Race 4 1 88 15.8% $6.30 2 83 10.3% $9.70 3 60 1.4% $70.50 4 93 24.3% $4.10 5 100 44.4% $2.30 6 64 2.0% $50.00 7 63 1.8% $54.50 |
Any luck with how to apply this yet AP?
Out of curiosity, what are the sets of data are you using for this. As I have had a look at yesterdays results and when they are put up against another set of ratings that I use there is a laying opportunity there. Having said that, if the ratings that I am using are already in your "sets" of used ratings that would only amplify the ratings. Have just re-read this and I hope it makes some sort of sense. Anyhow, from yesterday there were 31 lay bets for 3 winners. All these bets were single figures in the market. The winners were $4.80, $4.40, $1.90. |
Quote:
Jose, just about to start looking at this. There's probably one very obvious way to use these which isn't too dissimilar to what you've suggested. Quote:
No secrets just the obvious three, Skyform, Tatt's and Neurals. Quote:
Nice, well if you feel like sharing angrypixie123-propun at yahoo dot com dot au |
Due to popular demand...
... I'll be posting the Crowd Ratings once more this Saturday. Good to hear your creative ideas.
|
Crowd Ratings September 8th
So this *IS* the last day. Not going to do a John Farnham.
Other venues to follow. WFRM Race 1 1 71 4.5% $22.40 2 100 54.2% $1.80 3 71 4.5% $22.40 4 --- --- --- 5 62 2.1% $48.70 6 60 1.7% $57.80 7 91 25.0% $4.00 8 78 8.2% $12.30 WFRM Race 2 1 71 2.5% $40.30 2 --- --- --- 3 94 18.0% $5.60 4 96 21.3% $4.70 5 87 9.8% $10.20 6 100 30.1% $3.30 7 80 5.4% $18.60 8 86 9.0% $11.10 9 73 2.9% $34.00 10 60 1.0% $104.00 WFRM Race 3 1 87 14.1% $7.10 2 --- --- --- 3 75 5.0% $19.90 4 72 3.9% $25.80 5 81 8.4% $11.90 6 100 43.3% $2.30 7 79 7.1% $14.10 8 89 16.8% $6.00 9 --- --- --- 10 60 1.4% $72.40 WFRM Race 5 1 89 18.2% $5.50 2 64 2.1% $47.40 3 60 1.5% $66.90 4 77 6.5% $15.50 5 68 3.0% $33.60 6 65 2.3% $43.50 7 68 3.0% $33.60 8 88 16.7% $6.00 9 100 46.8% $2.10 WFRM Race 6 1 81 5.3% $18.80 2 100 27.3% $3.70 3 96 19.4% $5.20 4 95 17.8% $5.60 5 91 12.6% $7.90 6 91 12.6% $7.90 7 --- --- --- 8 60 0.9% $114.60 9 70 2.1% $48.40 10 60 0.9% $114.60 11 64 1.2% $81.20 WFRM Race 7 1 83 12.6% $7.90 2 100 54.5% $1.80 3 --- --- --- 4 --- --- --- 5 74 5.8% $17.20 6 --- --- --- 7 60 1.7% $57.50 8 70 4.1% $24.30 9 88 19.4% $5.20 10 61 1.9% $52.80 WFRM Race 8 1 72 2.2% $45.30 2 82 5.2% $19.10 3 63 1.0% $98.20 4 97 19.0% $5.30 5 92 12.4% $8.10 6 83 5.7% $17.60 7 64 1.1% $90.10 8 100 24.6% $4.10 9 96 17.4% $5.70 10 76 3.1% $32.10 11 86 7.4% $13.60 12 60 0.8% $127.20 FLEM Race 3 1 73 3.2% $31.20 2 75 3.8% $26.30 3 70 2.5% $40.50 4 100 32.7% $3.10 5 82 6.9% $14.40 6 86 9.8% $10.20 7 86 9.8% $10.20 8 65 1.6% $62.20 9 --- --- --- 10 67 1.9% $52.40 11 69 2.3% $44.10 12 60 1.0% $95.70 13 81 6.4% $15.70 14 65 1.6% $62.20 15 68 2.1% $48.10 16 85 9.0% $11.10 17 79 5.4% $18.60 FLEM Race 4 1 74 2.8% $35.10 2 61 0.9% $107.60 3 75 3.1% $32.20 4 99 24.5% $4.10 5 67 1.6% $64.20 6 61 0.9% $107.60 7 60 0.9% $117.20 8 74 2.8% $35.10 9 99 24.5% $4.10 10 100 26.7% $3.70 11 68 1.7% $58.90 12 88 9.5% $10.50 FLEM Race 6 1 70 2.8% $36.20 2 93 20.0% $5.00 3 69 2.5% $39.50 4 --- --- --- 5 78 5.5% $18.20 6 85 10.0% $10.00 7 88 13.0% $7.70 8 60 1.2% $85.60 9 70 2.8% $36.20 10 62 1.4% $72.10 11 100 36.6% $2.70 12 75 4.2% $23.50 FLEM Race 7 1 87 7.9% $12.60 2 92 12.2% $8.20 3 84 6.1% $16.40 4 79 4.0% $25.20 5 60 0.8% $129.30 6 73 2.4% $42.20 7 80 4.3% $23.10 8 100 24.2% $4.10 9 81 4.7% $21.20 10 90 10.2% $9.80 11 76 3.1% $32.60 12 71 2.0% $50.10 13 75 2.8% $35.50 14 71 2.0% $50.10 15 68 1.5% $64.90 16 66 1.3% $77.10 17 84 6.1% $16.40 18 73 2.4% $42.20 19 71 2.0% $50.10 FLEM Race 8 1 86 9.1% $11.00 2 60 1.0% $103.30 3 67 1.8% $56.50 4 91 14.0% $7.20 5 79 5.0% $20.10 6 100 30.3% $3.30 7 71 2.5% $40.10 8 66 1.6% $61.60 9 78 4.6% $21.90 10 69 2.1% $47.60 11 86 9.1% $11.00 12 65 1.5% $67.10 13 79 5.0% $20.10 14 81 5.9% $16.90 15 71 2.5% $40.10 16 77 4.2% $23.90 DOOM Race 1 1 88 12.7% $7.90 2 69 2.5% $40.30 3 100 35.8% $2.80 4 82 7.6% $13.20 5 72 3.2% $31.10 6 86 10.7% $9.30 7 87 11.7% $8.60 8 67 2.1% $47.90 9 84 9.0% $11.10 10 60 1.1% $87.50 11 73 3.5% $28.60 DOOM Race 2 1 100 33.9% $2.90 2 85 9.3% $10.70 3 95 22.1% $4.50 4 86 10.2% $9.80 5 92 17.0% $5.90 6 71 2.8% $35.80 7 60 1.1% $92.30 8 74 3.6% $27.70 DOOM Race 3 1 73 3.5% $28.80 2 72 3.2% $31.40 3 --- --- --- 4 100 35.5% $2.80 5 96 25.2% $4.00 6 88 12.6% $7.90 7 91 16.4% $6.10 8 60 1.1% $88.10 9 69 2.5% $40.60 DOOM Race 4 1 100 60.9% $1.60 2 62 2.3% $43.30 3 87 19.9% $5.00 4 79 10.0% $10.00 5 71 5.0% $20.00 6 --- --- --- 7 60 1.9% $51.40 DOOM Race 5 1 81 7.9% $12.70 2 83 9.3% $10.70 3 --- --- --- 4 72 3.6% $27.60 5 100 40.3% $2.50 6 75 4.7% $21.30 7 68 2.6% $39.00 8 91 18.6% $5.40 9 84 10.2% $9.80 10 62 1.5% $65.30 11 60 1.3% $77.60 DOOM Race 6 1 88 14.1% $7.10 2 67 2.3% $43.30 3 72 3.5% $28.20 4 74 4.2% $23.70 5 100 39.5% $2.50 6 60 1.3% $79.20 7 82 8.4% $11.90 8 64 1.8% $56.10 9 --- --- --- 10 90 16.7% $6.00 11 72 3.5% $28.20 12 --- --- --- 13 75 4.6% $21.80 DOOM Race 7 1 94 15.1% $6.60 2 68 1.6% $62.00 3 96 18.0% $5.60 4 77 3.5% $28.60 5 --- --- --- 6 87 8.3% $12.10 7 71 2.1% $47.90 8 78 3.8% $26.20 9 60 0.8% $123.50 10 88 9.0% $11.10 11 100 25.4% $3.90 12 64 1.1% $87.50 13 60 0.8% $123.50 14 82 5.4% $18.60 15 65 1.2% $80.30 16 78 3.8% $26.20 DOOM Race 8 1 --- --- --- 2 100 23.3% $4.30 3 100 23.3% $4.30 4 92 11.7% $8.50 5 84 5.9% $17.00 6 --- --- --- 7 --- --- --- 8 83 5.4% $18.50 9 86 7.0% $14.30 10 --- --- --- 11 95 15.2% $6.60 12 80 4.2% $24.00 13 77 3.2% $31.00 14 --- --- --- 15 60 0.7% $134.20 MORP Race 1 1 93 15.4% $6.50 2 100 28.1% $3.60 3 --- --- --- 4 97 21.7% $4.60 5 99 25.8% $3.90 6 84 7.1% $14.10 7 60 0.9% $111.50 8 62 1.1% $93.80 MORP Race 2 1 87 11.9% $8.40 2 78 5.5% $18.20 3 100 36.6% $2.70 4 76 4.6% $21.60 5 79 6.0% $16.70 6 86 11.0% $9.10 7 87 11.9% $8.40 8 85 10.1% $9.90 9 60 1.2% $85.60 10 --- --- --- 11 60 1.2% $85.60 MORP Race 4 1 97 25.9% $3.90 2 66 1.8% $55.80 3 --- --- --- 4 78 5.0% $19.80 5 72 3.0% $33.30 6 --- --- --- 7 90 14.2% $7.10 8 87 10.9% $9.10 9 77 4.6% $21.60 10 100 33.5% $3.00 11 60 1.1% $93.50 MORP Race 5 1 100 39.7% $2.50 2 77 5.5% $18.20 3 91 18.3% $5.50 4 --- --- --- 5 69 2.8% $36.30 6 --- --- --- 7 72 3.6% $28.00 8 60 1.3% $78.80 9 69 2.8% $36.30 10 82 8.4% $11.90 11 84 10.0% $10.00 12 70 3.0% $33.30 13 71 3.3% $30.60 14 61 1.4% $72.30 MORP Race 6 1 100 45.6% $2.20 2 68 2.9% $34.50 3 77 6.3% $15.90 4 --- --- --- 5 71 3.8% $26.70 6 75 5.3% $18.90 7 62 1.7% $57.90 8 76 5.8% $17.30 9 91 21.0% $4.80 10 77 6.3% $15.90 11 60 1.5% $68.70 MORP Race 7 1 81 6.2% $16.20 2 100 31.6% $3.20 3 83 7.3% $13.70 4 60 1.0% $98.90 5 86 9.5% $10.50 6 83 7.3% $13.70 7 95 20.6% $4.90 8 73 3.1% $32.30 9 90 13.4% $7.50 MORP Race 8 1 --- --- --- 2 --- --- --- 3 60 1.0% $96.10 4 74 3.5% $28.80 5 100 32.6% $3.10 6 --- --- --- 7 92 16.4% $6.10 8 88 11.6% $8.60 9 88 11.6% $8.60 10 80 5.8% $17.20 11 89 12.6% $7.90 12 78 4.9% $20.40 |
Crowd Ratings September 8th
BLMT and TWBA to follow later
GCST Race 1 1 100 68.4% $1.50 2 89 26.5% $3.80 3 60 2.2% $45.80 4 63 2.8% $35.30 GCST Race 2 1 87 12.8% $7.80 2 92 19.8% $5.10 3 76 5.0% $20.10 4 100 39.4% $2.50 5 86 11.8% $8.50 6 75 4.6% $21.90 7 60 1.3% $79.60 8 77 5.4% $18.40 GCST Race 6 1 --- --- --- 2 76 5.6% $17.90 3 60 1.4% $71.10 4 --- --- --- 5 99 40.4% $2.50 6 63 1.8% $55.00 7 100 44.0% $2.30 8 67 2.6% $38.90 9 62 1.7% $59.90 10 67 2.6% $38.90 NCLE Race 6 1 78 4.2% $23.90 2 80 5.0% $20.10 3 87 9.1% $11.00 4 93 15.2% $6.60 5 89 10.8% $9.30 6 79 4.6% $21.90 7 87 9.1% $11.00 8 65 1.4% $73.20 9 100 27.8% $3.60 10 84 7.0% $14.20 11 --- --- --- 12 80 5.0% $20.10 13 60 0.9% $112.50 GRAF Race 3 1 87 12.6% $7.90 2 87 12.6% $7.90 3 100 38.7% $2.60 4 77 5.3% $18.70 5 76 4.9% $20.40 6 61 1.3% $74.30 7 76 4.9% $20.40 8 60 1.2% $81.00 9 66 2.1% $48.30 10 90 16.3% $6.10 GRAF Race 4 1 100 30.7% $3.30 2 92 15.4% $6.50 3 89 11.9% $8.40 4 81 6.0% $16.70 5 82 6.5% $15.30 6 79 5.0% $19.80 7 79 5.0% $19.80 8 84 7.7% $12.90 9 72 2.8% $36.30 10 60 1.0% $101.90 11 --- --- --- 12 70 2.3% $43.10 13 68 2.0% $51.20 14 75 3.6% $28.00 CRNS Race 2 1 87 9.8% $10.20 2 100 29.9% $3.30 3 78 4.5% $22.20 4 79 4.9% $20.40 5 99 27.4% $3.60 6 79 4.9% $20.40 7 70 2.3% $44.30 8 87 9.8% $10.20 9 60 1.0% $104.80 10 71 2.5% $40.60 11 74 3.2% $31.40 CRNS Race 3 1 85 11.5% $8.70 2 95 27.3% $3.70 3 80 7.5% $13.30 4 80 7.5% $13.30 5 100 42.0% $2.40 6 60 1.3% $74.60 7 69 2.9% $34.40 CRNS Race 4 1 100 54.5% $1.80 2 79 8.9% $11.20 3 74 5.8% $17.20 4 --- --- --- 5 82 11.6% $8.70 6 60 1.7% $57.50 7 84 13.7% $7.30 8 69 3.8% $26.50 CRNS Race 6 1 100 38.4% $2.60 2 87 12.5% $8.00 3 71 3.2% $31.60 4 88 13.7% $7.30 5 60 1.2% $81.60 6 --- --- --- 7 66 2.1% $48.70 8 71 3.2% $31.60 9 81 7.5% $13.40 10 80 6.9% $14.60 11 86 11.5% $8.70 CRNS Race 7 1 61 1.6% $63.90 2 65 2.2% $45.20 3 60 1.4% $69.60 4 100 45.0% $2.20 5 93 24.6% $4.10 6 80 8.0% $12.40 7 64 2.0% $49.30 8 60 1.4% $69.60 9 64 2.0% $49.30 10 81 8.8% $11.40 11 68 2.9% $34.90 CRNS Race 8 1 100 27.3% $3.70 2 90 11.6% $8.70 3 85 7.5% $13.30 4 97 21.1% $4.70 5 76 3.5% $28.90 6 85 7.5% $13.30 7 84 6.9% $14.50 8 --- --- --- 9 62 1.0% $96.40 10 83 6.3% $15.80 11 --- --- --- 12 75 3.2% $31.50 13 60 0.9% $114.50 14 75 3.2% $31.50 |
AP, i can't seem to open "my" site!!!!!!!!!!!
|
Quote:
It's not just you. |
Crowd Ratings September 8th
BLMT Race 2
1 80 6.5% $15.30 2 86 11.0% $9.10 3 95 23.8% $4.20 4 100 36.6% $2.70 5 74 3.9% $25.60 6 60 1.2% $85.50 7 70 2.8% $36.10 8 89 14.2% $7.00 BLMT Race 3 1 88 13.8% $7.20 2 100 38.9% $2.60 3 91 17.9% $5.60 4 82 8.2% $12.10 5 87 12.7% $7.90 6 61 1.4% $73.90 7 75 4.5% $22.10 8 60 1.2% $80.60 9 61 1.4% $73.90 BLMT Race 4 1 74 5.6% $17.80 2 85 14.5% $6.90 3 100 52.6% $1.90 4 76 6.7% $15.00 5 72 4.7% $21.20 6 77 7.3% $13.80 7 70 4.0% $25.20 8 67 3.1% $32.60 9 --- --- --- 10 60 1.7% $59.60 BLMT Race 5 1 92 20.9% $4.80 2 80 7.4% $13.50 3 86 12.4% $8.00 4 78 6.2% $16.00 5 74 4.4% $22.60 6 100 41.5% $2.40 7 67 2.4% $41.30 8 60 1.3% $75.40 9 63 1.7% $58.20 10 62 1.6% $63.50 BLMT Race 6 1 69 2.6% $38.60 2 100 37.4% $2.70 3 --- --- --- 4 70 2.8% $35.40 5 90 15.8% $6.30 6 78 5.6% $17.80 7 85 10.3% $9.70 8 --- --- --- 9 66 2.0% $50.00 10 94 22.3% $4.50 11 60 1.2% $83.80 BLMT Race 7 1 62 1.4% $72.30 2 71 3.0% $33.30 3 64 1.6% $60.90 4 92 18.3% $5.50 5 74 3.9% $25.70 6 76 4.6% $21.70 7 60 1.2% $85.90 8 78 5.5% $18.20 9 91 16.8% $6.00 10 --- --- --- 11 100 36.5% $2.70 12 71 3.0% $33.30 13 --- --- --- 14 75 4.2% $23.60 BLMT Race 8 1 83 7.6% $13.20 2 94 19.5% $5.10 3 98 27.6% $3.60 4 82 6.9% $14.40 5 67 1.9% $52.40 6 60 1.0% $95.70 7 --- --- --- 8 100 32.7% $3.10 9 --- --- --- 10 71 2.7% $37.10 TWBA Race 1 1 --- --- --- 2 94 29.9% $3.30 3 100 50.1% $2.00 4 72 4.5% $22.30 5 60 1.6% $62.60 6 70 3.8% $26.40 7 66 2.7% $37.30 8 78 7.5% $13.30 TWBA Race 6 1 75 5.4% $18.60 2 67 2.7% $37.00 3 95 30.2% $3.30 4 60 1.5% $67.50 5 100 46.4% $2.20 6 86 13.9% $7.20 TWBA Race 7 1 --- --- --- 2 100 69.1% $1.40 3 --- --- --- 4 60 2.2% $45.30 5 88 24.6% $4.10 6 67 4.0% $24.80 |
The best laid plans eh?
|
Jose
I'll shoot you off an e-mail in the next couple of days demonstrating my usage idea against today's Doomben results. |
Sounds good AP.
Don't know what happened to that site but it threw a spanner into my day I can tell you. |
Jose, check your email around midday.
|
Will do Pixie.
Cheers. |
Crowd Ratings October 6th
As promised I'm bringing these back for the Spring (well at least to the end of Cup week anyway). Sadly I've had very limited time to do any analysis on these at all. October should be less busy for me.
Later venues to follow. RAND Race 4 1 --- --- --- 2 100 44.3% $2.30 3 --- --- --- 4 88 15.8% $6.30 5 --- --- --- 6 80 7.9% $12.60 7 86 13.3% $7.50 8 84 11.2% $9.00 9 60 1.4% $70.70 10 67 2.6% $38.70 11 71 3.6% $27.40 RAND Race 5 1 100 54.7% $1.80 2 91 25.2% $4.00 3 75 6.4% $15.70 4 74 5.8% $17.20 5 62 2.1% $48.20 6 60 1.7% $57.30 7 70 4.1% $24.20 RAND Race 6 1 100 40.2% $2.50 2 81 7.8% $12.80 3 91 18.5% $5.40 4 76 5.1% $19.70 5 82 8.5% $11.70 6 87 13.1% $7.60 7 66 2.2% $46.50 8 71 3.3% $30.20 9 60 1.3% $77.90 RAND Race 7 1 100 24.5% $4.10 2 93 13.4% $7.40 3 89 9.5% $10.50 4 63 1.0% $98.50 5 65 1.2% $82.90 6 79 4.0% $24.80 7 89 9.5% $10.50 8 96 17.4% $5.70 9 77 3.4% $29.50 10 75 2.9% $35.10 11 70 1.9% $53.90 12 75 2.9% $35.10 13 82 5.2% $19.20 14 73 2.4% $41.70 15 60 0.8% $127.60 RAND Race 8 1 --- --- --- 2 --- --- --- 3 100 31.4% $3.20 4 88 11.2% $8.90 5 69 2.2% $45.90 6 93 17.2% $5.80 7 86 9.4% $10.60 8 69 2.2% $45.90 9 88 11.2% $8.90 10 72 2.8% $35.50 11 82 6.7% $15.00 12 71 2.6% $38.70 13 60 1.0% $99.70 14 69 2.2% $45.90 RAND Race 9 1 91 18.5% $5.40 2 66 2.1% $46.60 3 60 1.3% $78.10 4 84 10.1% $9.90 5 100 40.1% $2.50 6 73 3.9% $25.50 7 88 14.3% $7.00 8 62 1.5% $65.80 9 74 4.3% $23.40 10 73 3.9% $25.50 FLEM Race 4 1 --- --- --- 2 82 8.2% $12.20 3 --- --- --- 4 --- --- --- 5 100 38.7% $2.60 6 86 11.6% $8.60 7 65 1.9% $52.60 8 96 27.4% $3.60 9 61 1.3% $74.20 10 70 2.9% $34.20 11 65 1.9% $52.60 12 --- --- --- 13 60 1.2% $80.90 14 68 2.5% $40.60 15 67 2.3% $44.30 FLEM Race 5 1 100 27.5% $3.60 2 79 4.5% $22.20 3 64 1.2% $80.70 4 87 9.0% $11.10 5 --- --- --- 6 87 9.0% $11.10 7 83 6.4% $15.70 8 63 1.1% $87.90 9 60 0.9% $113.80 10 85 7.6% $13.20 11 76 3.5% $28.70 12 87 9.0% $11.10 13 88 9.8% $10.20 14 70 2.1% $48.10 15 78 4.1% $24.20 16 71 2.3% $44.10 17 70 2.1% $48.10 FLEM Race 6 1 96 15.8% $6.30 2 74 2.4% $42.00 3 86 6.7% $14.90 4 100 22.3% $4.50 5 99 20.5% $4.90 6 80 4.0% $25.10 7 83 5.2% $19.40 8 86 6.7% $14.90 9 67 1.3% $76.70 10 77 3.1% $32.40 11 73 2.2% $45.80 12 69 1.5% $64.60 13 79 3.7% $27.30 14 --- --- --- 15 77 3.1% $32.40 16 60 0.7% $140.20 17 62 0.8% $118.00 FLEM Race 7 1 66 1.2% $84.70 2 67 1.3% $77.70 3 89 8.6% $11.70 4 74 2.4% $42.60 5 83 5.1% $19.60 6 91 10.2% $9.80 7 65 1.1% $92.40 8 100 22.0% $4.50 9 94 13.2% $7.60 10 79 3.6% $27.70 11 99 20.2% $4.90 12 76 2.8% $35.80 13 60 0.7% $142.10 14 --- --- --- 15 73 2.2% $46.40 16 80 3.9% $25.40 17 70 1.7% $60.00 FLEM Race 8 1 --- --- --- 2 100 31.2% $3.20 3 65 1.5% $65.20 4 100 31.2% $3.20 5 76 4.0% $25.30 6 84 7.9% $12.70 7 75 3.6% $27.50 8 64 1.4% $71.00 9 60 1.0% $100.20 10 60 1.0% $100.20 11 93 17.1% $5.80 FLEM Race 9 1 --- --- --- 2 66 1.3% $75.00 3 --- --- --- 4 76 3.2% $31.70 5 100 24.9% $4.00 6 98 21.0% $4.80 7 80 4.4% $22.50 8 88 8.9% $11.30 9 92 12.5% $8.00 10 73 2.4% $41.10 11 88 8.9% $11.30 12 80 4.4% $22.50 13 84 6.3% $15.90 14 63 1.0% $97.10 15 60 0.8% $125.80 EFRM Race 3 1 --- --- --- 2 100 75.5% $1.30 3 73 7.4% $13.50 4 81 14.7% $6.80 5 --- --- --- 6 60 2.4% $41.50 EFRM Race 5 1 64 2.0% $49.30 2 60 1.4% $69.50 3 100 45.0% $2.20 4 92 22.6% $4.40 5 79 7.4% $13.50 6 76 5.7% $17.50 7 85 12.4% $8.10 8 70 3.4% $29.40 EFRM Race 6 1 83 10.4% $9.60 2 95 29.2% $3.40 3 --- --- --- 4 67 2.6% $38.10 5 100 45.0% $2.20 6 --- --- --- 7 84 11.3% $8.80 8 60 1.4% $69.60 EFRM Race 7 1 100 32.3% $3.10 2 97 24.9% $4.00 3 77 4.5% $22.40 4 79 5.3% $18.90 5 96 22.9% $4.40 6 60 1.0% $97.00 7 82 6.9% $14.60 8 69 2.2% $44.70 EFRM Race 8 1 84 7.1% $14.10 2 60 0.9% $111.20 3 75 3.3% $30.60 4 98 23.7% $4.20 5 90 11.9% $8.40 6 67 1.6% $60.90 7 95 18.3% $5.50 8 80 5.0% $19.90 9 100 28.2% $3.60 EFRM Race 9 1 77 4.5% $22.10 2 100 32.8% $3.00 3 87 10.7% $9.30 4 78 4.9% $20.30 5 92 16.5% $6.10 6 88 11.7% $8.60 7 78 4.9% $20.30 8 74 3.5% $28.60 9 66 1.8% $56.90 10 60 1.0% $95.40 11 83 7.6% $13.20 MORP Race 2 1 --- --- --- 2 97 29.4% $3.40 3 100 38.0% $2.60 4 90 16.1% $6.20 5 85 10.5% $9.60 6 69 2.6% $37.90 7 67 2.2% $45.10 8 60 1.2% $82.30 MORP Race 4 1 100 60.0% $1.70 2 61 2.1% $47.90 3 --- --- --- 4 60 1.9% $52.20 5 83 13.9% $7.20 6 76 7.6% $13.20 7 73 5.9% $17.00 8 66 3.2% $31.10 9 72 5.4% $18.60 MORP Race 5 1 69 2.3% $43.30 2 79 5.5% $18.30 3 100 33.4% $3.00 4 --- --- --- 5 74 3.6% $28.10 6 67 1.9% $51.40 7 93 18.3% $5.50 8 98 28.1% $3.60 9 --- --- --- 10 80 6.0% $16.80 11 60 1.1% $93.90 MORP Race 6 1 100 42.0% $2.40 2 94 25.1% $4.00 3 81 8.2% $12.20 4 85 11.6% $8.70 5 66 2.3% $44.40 6 --- --- --- 7 75 4.9% $20.50 8 61 1.5% $68.30 9 --- --- --- 10 60 1.3% $74.50 11 70 3.2% $31.50 MORP Race 7 1 71 2.3% $43.80 2 77 3.8% $26.10 3 67 1.6% $61.80 4 83 6.4% $15.60 5 66 1.5% $67.40 6 82 5.9% $17.00 7 94 16.5% $6.00 8 81 5.4% $18.50 9 100 27.7% $3.60 10 72 2.5% $40.20 11 60 0.9% $112.90 12 99 25.4% $3.90 MORP Race 8 1 63 1.2% $80.90 2 100 29.9% $3.30 3 73 2.9% $34.20 4 97 23.1% $4.30 5 85 8.2% $12.20 6 85 8.2% $12.20 7 82 6.3% $15.80 8 --- --- --- 9 60 1.0% $104.80 10 79 4.9% $20.40 11 84 7.5% $13.30 12 73 2.9% $34.20 13 76 3.8% $26.40 NCLE Race 2 1 100 31.7% $3.20 2 75 3.7% $27.10 3 79 5.2% $19.20 4 100 31.7% $3.20 5 98 26.7% $3.70 6 --- --- --- 7 60 1.0% $98.80 P_MQ Race 7 1 99 16.5% $6.00 2 100 18.0% $5.50 3 93 9.9% $10.10 4 94 10.8% $9.30 5 94 10.8% $9.30 6 84 4.5% $22.00 7 99 16.5% $6.00 8 77 2.5% $40.20 9 62 0.7% $146.20 10 71 1.5% $67.40 11 86 5.4% $18.50 12 60 0.6% $173.70 13 70 1.4% $73.40 14 66 1.0% $103.60 MURT Race 3 1 91 16.7% $6.00 2 72 3.3% $30.70 3 98 30.6% $3.30 4 --- --- --- 5 100 36.4% $2.80 6 --- --- --- 7 87 11.9% $8.40 8 60 1.2% $86.10 MURT Race 6 1 90 10.4% $9.60 2 99 22.7% $4.40 3 100 24.7% $4.00 4 100 24.7% $4.00 5 91 11.4% $8.80 6 79 4.1% $24.70 7 65 1.2% $82.40 8 60 0.8% $126.70 GCST Race 3 1 100 43.0% $2.30 2 74 4.6% $21.80 3 88 15.3% $6.50 4 80 7.7% $13.00 5 60 1.4% $72.80 6 95 28.0% $3.60 GCST Race 7 1 100 40.7% $2.50 2 93 22.3% $4.50 3 --- --- --- 4 --- --- --- 5 90 17.2% $5.80 6 85 11.2% $8.90 7 60 1.3% $77.00 8 71 3.4% $29.80 9 68 2.6% $38.60 10 61 1.4% $70.60 GCST Race 8 1 --- --- --- 2 97 31.8% $3.10 3 --- --- --- 4 --- --- --- 5 90 17.4% $5.70 6 --- --- --- 7 100 41.2% $2.40 8 63 1.7% $58.70 9 69 2.9% $35.00 10 72 3.7% $27.10 11 60 1.3% $76.00 |
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