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Anyone who has a database of results already knows the rules proposed are going to lose long term.
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Wish I had those clairvoiant powers.
Cheers. |
History repeats itself. Short odds favs are over bet historically. Going forward short priced favs will be over bet again.
This whole system is flawed as it doesn't take into account anything which 1) gives you value 2) no (positive) backtest results have been posted 3) is a prime candidate for long term losing based on biases in the market. I can tell you right now based on my own backtest results you are going to lose between 8% and 11% long term. |
With all fairness to Neil he did only use it on Metropolitan Meetings.
For me Price indicates chance so I will continue to use it on a daily basis. What others do of course is up to each individual. Cheers. |
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Hi D'dog, my only filer when put into states is prices. Quote:
Only been going since 19th'3 U'better so not enough to go on as yet. But the ppost prices I have are going to be different to everyone elses. Will continue for a bit longer. 2nd'7 caulfield 2 3 longeron rosehill 1 1 foxplay morphet 6 4 ma jones |
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Almost every serious systems bettor will have a database whether they put it together themselves or bought it. All of these will have a x (or multiple) prepost prices. I can tell you long term its a losing set of rules based on my database going back years. Hence I wouldn't bother putting any real money on it. Follow it for fun, or when you want a bet and your at the track. |
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Nice return |
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Those stats quoted are nonsense. You need look no further than a form guide. |
9th
morphet 1 2 showpero fleming 2 1 euro angel doomben 2 3 upstart pride |
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16th caulfield 7 3 duke of brunswick e.farm 1 2 guard of honour |
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Totally agree Tipsy. |
The Stats.
Ignore at your own peril I say. |
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23rd doomben 1 1 royal tithe flemington 6 2 voodoo lad |
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Stats are only relevant against avg. price The stats you mentioned were tested on another forum and the loss on turnover was no different to backing horses under 55kg. The difference was the higher strike rate for horses 55kg plus but lower avg dividend. Still producing the same Loss. |
Hardly.
The Race Clubs Official Handicappers have declared these horses the Class horses of the the particular race. As you are a Lay bettor I can see why you might make money betting Under these Weights. But for the Win Bettor like me I prefer a Class horse, well weighted to win. Cheers. |
Just curious but what was that other forum.
Have you a link? |
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Its against Terms to provide. Do you know the Loss on Turnover? |
Off to shout friends at pub. picked up first 4 at townsville 3. 1st n 2nd both great runs under 55kg. Good luck all
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30th caulfield 1 2 turbo street morphet 1 1 subiaso |
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Last week had 2 in the 1 race at e.farm with the last start a winner Rednav paying $4.30 6th'8 e.farm 2 1 akavoroun randwick 5 7 capitalist |
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13th'8 rosehill 5 1 capitalist morphet 5 2 allez tara |
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20th randwick 7 6 winx belmont 2 3 sweet ora m.valley 7 9 pilote d'essai |
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27th belmont 4 2 first among equals |
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Thought Red Ora a top chance, same race But unfortunately meeting washed out |
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Am about to somewhat give up on this..lol. Only 2.40+ in front, and after a filter by $, bit better. Passed on Sr2-3 extensible & Mr2-1 honey steels gold, was left with Br3-5 now scr, & now belmont. |
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Honey Steel's Gold did the right thing ;) |
Wise move aferw.
Cheers. |
3rd'9
e.farm 5 7 the virginian morphet 1 2 allez tara see how go today, barely in front now, while the courier mail. very much behind. Both Victoria & Adelaide are the 2 venues doing well. Perth also watching, |
11 mar
rose r6 foxplay 1st flem r5 i am a star 1st doom r3 pinch river 1st ascot r4 three votes 1st morph r2 mile high 2nd 18 mar rose r5 winx 1st flem r5 tosen stardom 2nd goldc r1 miss exfactor 1st ascot r6 galaxy star 1st r7 seannie 3rd morph r2 pujols 2nd |
Did well
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Sat 10/6
Belmont R1 Art Series Doomben R6 Melody Belle Flemington R3 Santa Ana Lane Morphettville R7 Counter Pulse Randwick R4 Broadside |
4 Nov
Rosehill: Neutrality 1st. Black On Gold 1st. Flemington: Harlem 6th. Doomben: Ef Troop 1st. Chamalu 4th. Ascot: La Mouline 1st. Morphettville: Hussbay 1st. |
11 Nov
Rosehill: Bon Amis 1st. Flemington: Fastnet Tempest 1st. Doomben: Miss Exfactor 2nd. Ascot: Scales Of Justice 3rd. Morphettville: Set To Sparkle 2nd. |
18 Nov
Rosehill: Interlocuter 1st. Sandown: Gallic Chieftain 3rd. Doomben: Bring It Home Pop 1st. Ascot: State Solicitor 1st. Morphettville: Raahee 2nd. |
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I've found those with a Pace of L P or OP are the ones to concentrate on when using R&S form, good luck Shaun |
25 Nov
Rosehill: Plague Stone 2nd. Ballarat: Divine Quality 2nd. Doomben: Blue Book 1st. Ascot: Rhi’s Rocket 7th. Morphettville: Shrouded In Mist 2nd. |
16 Dec
Randwick: Broadside 2nd. Caulfield: Vinland 4th. Doomben: Long Time Ago 3rd. Ascot: Illustrious Tycoon 1st. Morphettville: Indian Thunder 1st. Via Balciano 3rd. |
13 Jan
Randwick: Sugar Bella 1st. Flemington: Nasaayim 2nd. Gold Coast: Sedanzer 2nd. Viddora 1st. Ascot: Street Fury 1st. Caipirinha 1st. Gawler: Go The Journey 1st. |
3 Feb
Rosehill: Performer 1st. Caulfield: Snitty Kitty 2nd. Doomben: Boomwaa 2nd. Ascot: Action 3rd. Morphettville: Belfast 2nd. |
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Interesting proposition for the place I'm thinking UB. Thoughts? Cheers LG |
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