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-   -   Mo's AFL roll-your-owns,2004 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=5401)

moeee 3rd September 2004 11:43 AM

I went like this:

Melbourne +9
Sydney -10
$50 returns $152

Port Power -8
Melbourne +9
Sydney -10
$40 returns $171.60

Brisbane -15
Melbourne +9
Sydney -10
$40 returns $184.50

Brisbane -15
Port Power -8
Melbourne +9
Sydney -10
$30 returns $195

Bank was at $651.50 which now drops to $491.50

I still think it's much more fun betting with winnings than it is with the bread and milk money!

goldmember 3rd September 2004 12:04 PM

Rabbs, i think BARELY A MOMENT will beat ONLY A WORD and SANZIRO.

hows that moeee, thats what i meant,maybe i should take a english course also, everybody is welcome to tag along

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-09-03 12:16 ]

moeee 3rd September 2004 12:11 PM

Well that's five.Are there any other runners in the race somebody'd like to nominate?

moeee 3rd September 2004 09:14 PM

Avery astute punter at the tote told me earlier that Wildly loves a wet track.And Flemington was rated dead.And now it's been ********ing down for 2 hours(Rabbitz need not comment,as usual),and it doesn't appear as though there will be any respite.So what price was this Wildly thing?(You can comment now Rabbitz)

rabbitz 4th September 2004 06:29 AM

Nothing like having a Melbourne weather man on course,beautiful.
Well mo it seems the old rabbitz has turned the corner with his first multi of the weekend coming in and the dividend covered all the others which are now kindly funded by Sport odds,Thanks Boys.The kindliest note of all was that Penrith(ah me beloved panthers)
leading by 22 with about 7 secs to go score in the corner to give my Penrith -25.5 multi mouth to mouth,Now if the other three get up it will be crownies all round.
Cheers
P.S.Do you live close to Flemington

moeee 4th September 2004 12:31 PM

Close to Flemington?
About a 20 minute walk,IF YOU RUN!

moeee 4th September 2004 07:04 PM

Had a losing saver of $40 on Essendon over 9 points,dropping Bank down to $451.50
So Sydney to win by over 10 points gets things happening in the right direction.
Saver of $20 on the Eagles to ease any possibility of heart seizure during the match.
Bank at $431.50 and off to the telly.
Good Luck everyone who is relying on Sydney for a comfortable win.

moeee 5th September 2004 11:01 AM

So sitting on $768 and the Power to go.
Feel much at ease that I took the fairly safe option of -8.5 points.
Looking forward to a collect to set the Bank to a new high of $1134.60
Also looking forward to next year with my new approaches to selections.
Modifying ratings to allow for the ins and outs of players.And trying to define more closely how to incorporate the Vibe and the Gut factor.
Still not quite sure if they are one and the same.
Good Luck everyone except Mug Punta.
Nothing personal Mugsy,but ******** mate you can afford to miss this one.
Hey,I know.What about Port to win between 9 and 22 points.
GO POWER!

rabbitz 5th September 2004 11:30 AM

Port adelaide -17.5(hopefully)
Roosters 13+(Yep)
Bulldogs -9.5(Yep)
DIVIDEND $4.22
Cheers

_________________


[ This Message was edited by: rabbitz on 2004-09-05 16:32 ]

rabbitz 5th September 2004 05:04 PM

Well thats a nice little earner for a Sunday
Rabbitz is back!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Cheers

rabbitz 5th September 2004 05:04 PM

Onya Rabs

erikson 5th September 2004 05:09 PM

Well done young Rabs
So next week we have
Essendon v Geelong then v Brisbane
St Kilda v Sydney then v Port Adelaide
So the most obvious scenario would be
Geelong beat Essendon
St Kilda beat Sydney
Brisbane beat Geelong
Port Adelaide beat St Kilda or other way round
Brisbane to crush either Port or St Kilda
Cheerio

mug punta 5th September 2004 05:34 PM

Well done Mo. Nice collect.
I ended up only betting small on the cats because I was well up for the weekend, but, im glad to see most punters on this forum seemed to have cleaned up this weekend.
I still have ? marks over Port. Cats had stage fright early but after half time had a lot more run than Power.
Final margin isn't a real reflection because the cats gave up in the last 10 mins when it became obvious they couldn't win.
Swans will be very hard to beat this week and ill be really looking 4ward to the prelim between Port and swans. Would be a great game.
Cats will give my bombers a touch up this week so im having something on the cats and swans to win the flag.
Reckon they will both be silly odds.
All you mugs out there can take the $1.58 about the Lions winning the flag. They're not even there yet and the cats will put up a much better show at the 'g then what the saints did at the Gabba.

erikson 5th September 2004 05:41 PM

No hope the cats,sorry mugs

mug punta 5th September 2004 05:44 PM

Its all about looking 4 value.
I reckon ill get 15-1 about cats and 10-1 about swans.
If they get through to the final 4 those odds will be looking ok to me.
Then if one of those 2 knock off the faves I cant lose cos ill lay off.

erikson 5th September 2004 05:52 PM

Yes I understand that but 15-1 and 10-1 may as well be 150-1 and 100-1,because there will be no return for your pocket,whereas Port and Brisbane will give a return,well one of them will.You might be better off taking 3 or 4 all up bets tredrea-Brisbane,Port,Riewoldt-Brisbane,Port,Judd-Brisbane/Port
Black-Brisbane/Port etc

moeee 5th September 2004 07:35 PM

Thanks Mugs.
You know.I love reading your stuff because much of it is full of ********.The rest is quite interesting.
It's the full of ******** bit that makes me feel confident.Like what the Power done today.
What they done was what they done and they are certainly capable of doing it again and again.Of course the Cats are better than that,but not much.
I'm surprised you are going against the Bombers.I agree with the tip but am surprised you can see it.
Money down the drain on those roughies.Suggest you take them in Quinellas with Brisbane.
And the biggest mistake you have made since tipping Melbourne that day,is flushing the Saints down the toilet.
What happened to them Friday night would have happened to any opposition that night.
Heed He Who Knows.

moeee 5th September 2004 09:07 PM

So back to $1134.60 and with St.Kilda and Geelong quite possibly starting the underdogs next weekend makes for more good value bets coming up.
And one to bear in mind is the St.Kilda - Brisbane Quinella.
Think it is about a $4 chance.
The other big danger of course is the Port - Brisbane Quinella.Think it should be about $2.15,but you won't get that.

moeee 7th September 2004 10:35 AM

Only 2 races to bet on makes it awkward to find value.
Fortunately the consensus of opinion has it wrong in both games.
Looks like I will go $70 straight out on St.Kilda.
And a $50 double straight out again with Geelong.
But thinking back to last weeks game with Melbourne,may take the security in both games of a 6 point head start.JUST IN CASE.
Especially as the punting season is almost over.Be nice to go out on a winner!

moeee 10th September 2004 05:10 PM

Well that's it then.

$70 on St.Kilda @ +4.5 points Returns $140

$50 Multi
St Kilda +4.5
Geelong +7.5
Returns about $170

Put $20 on Barry Hall to run a place in the Count.
And put $25 on NRL.
Can't remember what it was but Maverick said it is over the line.
2 short favourites plus the Storm in a threesome.

Total of $165 makes Bank about $969.

rabbitz 10th September 2004 05:27 PM

Yes Im the 100th responder to this post
Arent you popular Mo
I took some multis earlier in the week which dont fill me with confidence now
Hungary to beat Iceland (soccer)(hungary won)
Penrith -3.5
Dividend $3.50
New England Patriots -3.0 (against Indianapolis)(bet won)
Essendon -8.5
Roosters 13+
Dividend $5.55
Cheers


mug punta 10th September 2004 06:53 PM

I took an interesting multi.
Federer to beat Agassi (won)
Devenport to beat some nobody(won)
Swans 1-39
Dons 1-39
Man utd to win
Chelsea to win
Arsenal to win
Odds 44-1

Also took trebles based around Penrith, Canterbury and Roosters. Been forced to take a saver on St.George now

moeee 10th September 2004 11:20 PM

Little fish are sweet they tell me.
So Saints done the J.O.B. and there is now $1111 in the Bank with $173.50 lined up if the Cats can keep within a kick at the pointy end of the big one tomorrow night.

moeee 11th September 2004 10:18 PM

Thank you linesman,thank you ballboys.
Bank sitting on $1284.50
Started with $300.

thebookie 1st November 2004 11:41 AM

Moeee,

I'll give you a tip-never take the -

Cheers,

thebookie

moeee 1st November 2004 11:56 AM

That's one thing us punters do,give tips away freely without any backup supporting said tip.
I did tend to have less success when I took a - ,so I acknowledge the wisdom of your tip but never is a long time and as a gamblerholic I can't resist.

thebookie 1st November 2004 11:57 AM

Yeah, I noticed you seem to have a umm...errr..."problem" hahaha


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