Hugs Dancer
Mummify
Makybe Diva

I will be in Melbourne next week for the Cox Plate, cannot wait!

Good Punting
ShoeIn

Elvestroem
Strasbourg
Balmuse
Confectioner

Looks like an excellent race with many chances I can only narrow it down to these:

BALMUSE
ELVSTOEM
MUMMIFY
CONFECTIONER
(with some hope to DELZAO, HUGS DANCER & DESERT WAR)

Roughies: UPSETTHYM (70/1), DISTINCTLY SECRET (100/1) (fixed S-Tab)
Neither likely, but on best form both could be a big surprise like Econsul last week


_________________
may the horse be with you

Seeker


[ This Message was edited by: Seeker11 on 2004-10-15 15:31 ]

Why is BALMUSE such a good price?
I reckon it should be about 6 or 7-1

Might be because he has never raced over 2040m before? or not raced in Aussie and the bookies are unable to get a handle on him? Just my thoughts, no doubt someone will no know for sure.

5 ELVSTROEM
13 CONFECTIONER
1 MUMMIFY
7 HUGS DANCER

Might because of barrier 2 and he is a back marker. Might get stuck with big field.

Confectioner
Elvstroem
Grey Song
Upsetthym

Hugs dancer
Mummify
Makybe Diva
Delzao
Roman Arch

MAKYBE DIVA
DESERT WAR
ZAGALIA
MUMMIFY

BALMUSE
MAKYBE DIVA
DELZAO
WINNING BELLE

Delzao
Hugs Dancer
Elvis
Confectioner

would also have Mumify, Zagalia, balmuse and desert war in the multis....a heap of chances ...and heaps of value :wink:

My $30.00 trifecta for the race:

1*5
1*5*10*13*16*19
1*5*6*8*10*13*16*19

1
5* 12 7*
5* 12 7* 13*
5* 12* 7* 13* 16*

(9) BALMUSE
(13) CONFECTIONER
(11) GREY SONG
(17) YAKAMA

Current fixed odds market:

No. Selection Win Place
005 Elvstroem $3.75 $1.65
013 Confectioner $6.50 $2.35
001 Mummify $7.00 $2.50
010 Desert War $10.00 $3.25
007 Hugs Dancer $11.00 $3.50
009 Balmuse $12.00 $3.75
002 Makybe Diva $15.00 $4.50
018 Winning Belle $19.00 $5.50
003 Delzao $21.00 $6.00
011 Grey Song $21.00 $6.00
016 Vouvray $21.00 $6.00
012 Zagalia $31.00 $8.50
019 Strasbourg 1em $34.00 $9.25
015 Ain't Seen Nothin' $51.00 $13.50
020 Pacific Dancer 2em $51.00 $13.50
006 Distinctly Secret $67.00 $17.50
008 Roman Arch $81.00 $21.00
014 Upsetthym $81.00 $21.00
017 Yakama $101.00 $26.00
021 Dane Belltar 3em $126.00 $32.25
004 Distinction Scratched Scratched

Latest market movement:

No. Selection NOW WAS
005 Elvstroem $3.75 $3.75
013 Confectioner $6.50 $6.50
001 Mummify $7.00 $6.50
010 Desert War $10.00 $10.00
007 Hugs Dancer $11.00 $10.00
009 Balmuse $12.00 $13.00
002 Makybe Diva $15.00 $13.00
018 Winning Belle $19.00 $17.00
003 Delzao $21.00 $21.00
011 Grey Song $21.00 $26.00
016 Vouvray $21.00 $21.00
012 Zagalia $31.00 $26.00
019 Strasbourg 1em $34.00 $34.00
015 Ain't Seen Nothin' $51.00 $67.00
020 Pacific Dancer 2em $51.00 $51.00
006 Distinctly Secret $67.00 $67.00
008 Roman Arch $81.00 $67.00
014 Upsetthym $81.00 $81.00
017 Yakama $101.00 $81.00
021 Dane Belltar 3em $126.00 $126.00
004 Distinction Scratched Scratched

(5) ELVSTROEM
(16) VOUVRAY
(1) MUMMIFY
(15) AIN'T SEEN NOTHIN'

_________________


[ This Message was edited by: eddie72 on 2004-10-16 08:52 ]

5 ELVSTROEM
10 DESERT WAR
7 HUGS DANCER
6 DISTINCTLY SECRET

Some very game posters leaving Mummify out completely!

DESERT WAR *****

Track dead, scratched 4 - Distinction, 20 - Pacific Dancer & 21 - Dane Belltar

Elvstroem
Mummify
Makybe Diva
Hugs Dancer

MAKYBE DIVA
HUGS DANCER
GREY SONG
VOUVRY

Cant believe all the people tipping Elvstroem, sat 3rd on the fence last start over 2000m,waited for a split and it was a sprint home, with the back markers no chance of winning, won the weakest derby in history and the horses finishing behind him battling to win in timbucktoo, dont think he is a stayer and if i was a bookie i would be laying him till the cows came home!

Maybe you should contact the punter who has invested $400,000 on Elvstroem to win $1.2 million with Sportingbet :smile:

9 BALMUSE
1 MUMMIFY
8 ROMAN ARCH
5 ELVSTROEM

Hugs Dancer
Mummify
Elvestroem
Winning Belle
Desert War

Balmuse
Vouvray
Roman Arch
Delzao

Goldenmember has a point..technically Elvis on breeding should struggle to get 2400m
Danehill has never sired a CC or MC winner.

I'd love to see Elvis win it but i wouldnt be taking anything short about him.

Upsetthym / Yakama EW

....and technically she WON :smile:



[ This Message was edited by: ubetiwill on 2004-10-16 16:13 ]

When someones say something like that you should all jump on..i gave you guys the chance :smile:..i cant beleive i didnt have Grey Song in my multis..
Great to see history made and how short is Makybe Diva going to be in the cup ??

I am a happy chappy :grin:
I took the following:

1st. Elvstroem, Confectioner
2nd. Elvstroem, Confectioner, Makybe Diva, Mummify
3rd. Confectioner, Makybe Diva, Mummify, Grey Song, Balmuse

Woo Hoo.

Not a bad payout either. $895.00

Hey Goldmember.
Mug Punta tells me it takes about 11 days or so to get the egg off your face.

Be nice MO. I did nearly back Elvestrom simply due to the Port Power factor, but, I didnt bother in the end.
Cant wait for Shes Archie this week at the valley. Anything around evens will do nicely.
Ive hardly actually had a bet this carnival. Got alinghis tri in the thousand guineas 5 times but im gunna have a big crack at the archer.

Good strong win by Elvis, good chance in the Cox, no chance in the Melbourne. I have Vinnie Roe going for nearly 10,000 but have almost conceded defeat, what a run by Makybe Diva she is awesome and i dont think Vinnie can beat her, i hope i'm wrong.

i done my usual cautious betting,

elvstroem,
$20 win
$50 place,

ahh well still a $180 collect, cant complain

jimmy

Mr Ed I wouldn't be to worried I think that Vinnie will extremely hard to beat especially if the tracks stay the way they are right now.

I think Vinnie has a great chance of winning. I think that Archie and Diva has come to an end of their campaign although Diva did run a great run in C.Cup. He normally can't perform good twice. He might get 4th again. 4th place specialist.