Latest market movement:
Selection Now Was STARCRAFT $3.00 $3.25 GRAND ARMEE $4.75 $4.50 ELVSTROEM $5.00 $4.00 SAVABEEL $9.00 $17.00 ELEGANT FASHION $11.00 $11.00 REGAL ROLLER $13.00 $13.00 FIELDS OF OMAGH $16.00 $13.00 KING'S CHAPEL $21.00 $21.00 OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE $21.00 $34.00 DELZAO $34.00 $26.00 PAOLINI $41.00 $26.00 NATURAL BLITZ $101.00 $67.00 MISS POTENTIAL $151.00 $126.00 |
Mo the weather man reporting for duty.
To those who have any interest in Fields of Omaugh.Remember what happenned last year.Paid about $7 but you could have got $20 two days before.Suggest you take the $16 now,in case it ********es down tomorrow. |
Quote:
Straight from the Bureau of Meteorology, forcast for Melbourne for the next couple of days Friday A shower or two developing. Min 14 Max 24 Saturday Showers. Min 13 Max 18 _________________ may the horse be with you Seeker [ This Message was edited by: Seeker11 on 2004-10-21 10:46 ] |
[ This Message was edited by: umrum on 2004-10-21 12:05 ] |
Elegent Fashion
Starcraft Elvstroem FOO (if D.Nikolic is not riding - he is injured)else, Our Egyptian Raine/Grand Armee Not against Nikolic but see where Mummify ended in C.Cup? |
6 ELVSTROEM
13 SAVABEEL 7 STARCRAFT 4 FIELDS OF OMAGH |
If you back Elvstroem you will do your dough.It won't run a place.Horses that win Cox Plates are set specifically THAT race,and do not come via the Caulfield Cup.I have a high opinion of this horse as my previous posts will vindicate,even when I kept tipping it last time in ,and a certain poster kept calling it a cat.The 2 horses that have been specifically aimed at this race are FOO and Starcraft,and to a lesser extent Grand Armee.They are the only REAL chances,unless you care to listen to G.Rodgerson regards Savabeel.IMO Starcraft is a lay down misere,just depends on the ride.
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Grand Armee
King's Chapel Savabeel Starcraft |
Current fixed odds market:
No. Selection Win Place 007 Starcraft $3.00 $1.50 006 Elvstroem $4.00 $1.60 001 Grand Armee $5.00 $1.75 013 Savabeel $9.00 $3.00 010 Elegant Fashion $11.00 $3.00 003 Regal Roller $13.00 $4.00 004 Fields of Omagh $17.00 $4.60 011 Our Egyptian Raine $21.00 $4.00 008 King's Chapel $26.00 $6.00 009 Delzao $34.00 $7.25 002 Paolini $41.00 $9.25 005 Natural Blitz $101.00 $21.00 012 Miss Potential $151.00 $26.00 |
Latest market movement:
No. Selection Now Was 007 Starcraft $3.00 $3.00 006 Elvstroem $4.00 $5.00 001 Grand Armee $5.00 $4.75 013 Savabeel $9.00 $9.00 010 Elegant Fashion $11.00 $11.00 003 Regal Roller $13.00 $13.00 004 Fields of Omagh $17.00 $16.00 011 Our Egyptian Raine $21.00 $21.00 008 King's Chapel $26.00 $21.00 009 Delzao $34.00 $34.00 002 Paolini $41.00 $41.00 005 Natural Blitz $101.00 $101.00 012 Miss Potential $151.00 $151.00 |
1) Regal Roller
2) Starcraft 3) Elvstroem |
Starcraft
Savabeel Grand Armee Elegant Fashion |
No one has gone near Our Egyptian Raine..
I think its a fantastic chance for a place.. and could even win it with a good sit.. down in weight and good jockey.. |
Gday All...
Sticking my neck out here so it will probably get chopped. Ah well thats racing tho.. I think Starcraft is over rated and consequently over bet. It may well win the Plate but not with my money. When Elegant Fashion was running around here I made nice money on her, and I see no need to jump off. I would have thought Elvis was a special but for the going back in distance. Gai has done the right thing with Grand Armee and kept a low profile. As another poster mentioned Our Egyptian Raine hsn't been mentioned, she won well last week and is a good chance a place. The unkown is Paolini. Summing up I like: 10 Elegant Fashion 6 Elvstroem 11 Our Egyptian Raine 1 Grand Armee with the rider of watch Paolini. having said that I could very well miss the winner, it is a verey difficult race. |
Well churchy we are on different wave lengths again. I dont know how you give Our Egyptian Raine any hope but good luck to ya. He'll probly come out and do a PICKETT!!
I only think there are 3 winning hopes 1- Elvestrom. With so much pace in the race this will be a war of attrition. Any horse that is a bit of a squib will be found out. That was a gutsy win last week, and most horses would have let Makybe go straight past them. 2- Elegant Fashion. world class, loves the 200om. Has been set ONLY for this race by a super trainer. 3- Starcraft. The up and comer. Just a bit concerned that he isnt quite a 2000m horse. Dont worry about all this rubbish that he will get to far back. Boss is a super rider and will put him into the race, no problems, but I just wonder if the last 200 is a knock em down war that he can go past Elvestrom For my tri's I will be throwing in Regal Roller, flying but will struggle the last 200m to hold on. Savabeel, who may run ok with the light weight. Grand Armee, may plug on for the place but I dont think can win. Roughie is Natural Blitz but only if the rain has not come by that stage. Good luck to all having a bet. |
I think it would be easier to say who won't win but here are my selections for the Cox Plate:
Elegant Fashion Grand Armee Starcraft Elvestrom Savabeel No surpises if FOO RR or OER salute either... As for betting I might have to leave this race alone |
Starcraft
Elvstroem Fields of Omagh Grand Armee Regal Roller |
Listened to MOEEE to pick out from the hat and guess who I have got...Grand Armee. Not once but consecutive 3 times!!!. That is when I bet Runyon to win at 33/1 years back when he was on drugs. Won 12K+ on that race. Should I bet on G.Armee this race?.
Have change my selection now to Grand Armee, Elvstroem, Field Of Omagh, Our Egyptian Raine. Eliminated EF (all placing were soft placing) and Starcraft (Barrier 1 and Balmuse who finish back in the C.Cup breezed thru him and he can't even catch Mummify and G.Armee in Yalumba) Quinella on G.Armee, Elvs and OER... |
Hard to say this without sounding rude to you Matilda,but judging on your position in the comp. leader board,I reckon the hats gotta be worth a try.
Tell you what.I'll have $10 on it as well. And was that 3 times out of 3 tries! |
Yes---3 out of 3.
Go Grand Armee... |
Had my first shekel on him back in May.
Since that time, I've backed him again on seven different occasions; I'll probably have another "go" tomorrow. He got out to silly odds; ($3.40), before the Derby last Autumn when they all said he couldn't win. They're saying the same things again! Hardest to beat; perhaps only bad luck. Good punting. dundas lane....... |
Grand Armee
Regal Roller Elegant Fashion Starcraft |
Starcraft
Elvstroem Paolini Fields of Omagh |
Kings Chapel EW
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Delzao
King's Chapel Elegant fashion Starcraft |
With all the talk of a speed battle, most jockeys are saying that they will sit back and swoop at the end. If Regal Roller can get a soft lead, with the rest watching each other, he might just be able to pinch this. We'll know after about 600m.
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Current fixed odds market:
No Selection Win Price Place Price 007 STARCRAFT $3.50 $1.55 006 ELVSTROEM $4.00 $1.70 001 GRAND ARMEE $5.00 $1.85 013 SAVABEEL $9.00 $3.00 010 ELEGANT FASHION $10.00 $3.25 003 REGAL ROLLER $11.00 $3.50 004 FIELDS OF OMAGH $19.00 $4.50 011 OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE $21.00 $4.00 008 KING'S CHAPEL $26.00 $6.00 009 DELZAO $34.00 $7.25 002 PAOLINI $51.00 $11.00 005 NATURAL BLITZ $101.00 $15.00 012 MISS POTENTIAL $151.00 $26.00 |
Latest market movement:
No Selection Now Was 007 STARCRAFT $3.50 $3.00 006 ELVSTROEM $4.00 $4.00 001 GRAND ARMEE $5.00 $5.00 013 SAVABEEL $9.00 $9.00 010 ELEGANT FASHION $10.00 $11.00 003 REGAL ROLLER $11.00 $13.00 004 FIELDS OF OMAGH $19.00 $17.00 011 OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE $21.00 $21.00 008 KING'S CHAPEL $26.00 $26.00 009 DELZAO $34.00 $34.00 002 PAOLINI $51.00 $41.00 005 NATURAL BLITZ $101.00 $101.00 012 MISS POTENTIAL $151.00 $151.00 |
Savabeel **
Grand Armee Kings Chapel Elvstroem |
no. 3 Regal Roller
no. 10 Elegant Fashion no. 7 Starcraft no. 2 Paolini |
REGAL ROLLER
ELVSTROEM STARCRAFT GRAND ARMEE |
For those tipping Regal Roller, don't forget Miss Potential is in the race. RR will be wishing he was back running a cushy 1400-1600 at Caulfield as they pass the school at MV. Sprinter milers simply never win this race.
Either Starcraft or Grand Armee should win with Paolini a smoky. |
Track good, all starting.
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GRAND ARMEE e/w *
STARCRAFT REGAL ROLLER OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE |
#4 FIELDS OF OMAGH
#1 GRAND ARMEE #10 ELEGANT FASHION #13 SAVABEEL |
No 6 Elvstroem
No 7 Starcraft No 9 Delzao No 1 Grand Armee |
Final fixed odds market:
No. Selection Win Place 007 Starcraft $3.75 $1.75 006 Elvstroem $4.00 $1.75 001 Grand Armee $5.50 $2.10 010 Elegant Fashion $9.00 $2.50 013 Savabeel $9.00 $3.00 003 Regal Roller $12.00 $3.75 004 Fields of Omagh $19.00 $4.50 008 King's Chapel $26.00 $6.00 011 Our Egyptian Raine $26.00 $4.00 009 Delzao $41.00 $7.25 002 Paolini $51.00 $11.00 005 Natural Blitz $126.00 $17.50 012 Miss Potential $126.00 $21.00 |
I just cannot rate any of those horses with Savabeel winning that race sorry but that is average we are talking about a horse that barely beat an average field in sydney last start I love Starcraft but he isnot that great got a good run but was not good enough none of them were. All I can say is that this makes horse racing here in australia look extremely average.
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I think you're right Raw.
I don't like to bag our Racing but I backed Savabeel in the Champion Stks but gave him no hope today. I guess the 9.5kg FOO had to give him told in the straight. Also, the fields were average today. Best fields this Spring were on Caulfield Guineas day. |
i just cant see how the jockey on elvstroum could let him get so far back, he led all the way in the caulfield cup (2400m) why couldnt he be leading or atleast mid field in todays race (2040m), he was basically at the tail with no chance..........
although i did see him begin to fly down the outside only to be blocked by the jockey wearing orange colours.......... still im a little poorer tonight, and very dissapointed :sad: jimmy |
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