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-   -   Anyone rate MALCOLM (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12070)

Sportz 15th December 2005 07:43 PM

Okay, don't laugh now.

I've been waiting for Havana Wind to start for some time. He's been training the place down at Randwick for a while now. Now, he's never done anything at all first up before, BUT that was over 1200m, not the more suitable 1600m. This is certainly a HUGE task, but he's also going to be HUGE odds, so who knows? He's certainly got the right trainer to do well over the Randwick mile. He might be able to sneak a place or something. If not, I still suspect their could be a good result around the corner for him in the next month or so.

At this stage, I'd probably rate them like this:
16 Malcolm
7 Aqua D'Amore
1 Wild Queen
6 Uber
13 Benedetti
9 Havana Wind

But that's leaving out Spirit Of Tara, Hit The Road, Spuruson and Sam Sung A Song. It's very tough. Have to study it a bit more.

mad 15th December 2005 09:41 PM

Nice barrier draw this weekend for old Malcolm.

Section C, Row 15, Seat a18.

bl4dez 15th December 2005 09:57 PM

AQUA DAMORE
CATECLIPSE

Chrome Prince 15th December 2005 10:30 PM

The barrier will not be a disadvantage for Malcolm, in fact it will be an advantage and a better price ;)

He's not a leader.

I can see Beadman dropping out to last, making his way to midfield and then coming home in the final 400m.

If he stays at the tail, he just won't run them down unless they go extremely hard early.

bl4dez 15th December 2005 11:11 PM

thats what im thinking
same thing with sam sung a song

rabbitz 16th December 2005 08:26 AM

i think if hawkes really wants to win he wont let him get too far back,i think malcolm could be vulnerable on slow,whats the weather

Real Deal 16th December 2005 08:49 AM

Sportz, I respect that!

Seeing something you like in a horse and telling us about it. Currently $81 to win on Fixed odds and drawn barrier 20 surely it is a massive ask. I think if Malcolm cannot win from 19 then Havana Wind is up a creek without a paddle from barrier 20. At the odds they are offering and going on your past tips and advise i guess my exotics just got a little larger for the villers.

Sportz 16th December 2005 09:08 AM

Hope I haven't cost you some money there, Real Deal. :o

Look, realistically, the chances are that he won't quite be up to it, but I personally reckon that $81 is way over the odds. In any case, as I said, I'll be following him over the next month or two.

xptdriver 16th December 2005 09:09 AM

Do they have parking cops at the Randwick car park..... If they do mal will have to be careful... ok crap joke

Having said that, I think he is good enough, but not at a silly price.. Wild Queen is not that far behind him IMO.. Me ol mate from up this way is going around in it as well, and his form has been magnificent... look for him to be finishing it off.. for those who dont know who I am talking about.. its that mighty cups horse Precise Timing.. I will be backing him at odds... he owes me nothin at all

I think Mal has a good chance to win, even taking the crap barrier into account, his form has been good, he has had 1 try at the distance and ran 3rd, 1400m and he would be 3's ON.. He is up a long way in class, from a 60K class 6 to a GR2 but will probably handle that.. they are the reasons I am not jumping in Boots'n'all..

I like Wild Queen with an impeccable record at the distance and good recent form as well as Precise Timing... His form speaks for itself...

My Ratings for the Race are

17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 16 MALCOLM 35
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 1 WILD QUEEN 31
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 13 BENEDETTI 28
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 21 HIT THE ROAD 27
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 2 VANQUISHED 27
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 3 PRECISE TIMING 27
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 7 AQUA D'AMORE 27
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 8 CATECLIPSE 26
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 19 TRIPLE DEE 26
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 9 HAVANA WIND 23
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 6 UBER 22
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 5 SAM SUNG A SONG 20
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 18 SPURUSON 20
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 14 FORCE APOLLO 19
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 4 FIERY VENTURE 19
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 11 SPIRIT OF TARA 18
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 20 PEKALAN 18
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 15 VILLA BLED 17
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 12 WEST COUNTRY 15
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 17 FIRE AT WILL 13
17/12/2005 4:25 RANDWICK 6 10 SEUL AMOUR 11
Good luck if you can find the winner

Sportz 16th December 2005 09:23 AM

How do your ratings figures work now, xpt? I remember your top picks used to have a rating of about 100 or so, but now only around 30. Is the margin of 4 between Malcolm and Wild Queen a big gap, small gap or about average?


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